40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Just now, Ginx snewx said: When you trade great winter storms for forecast verification, what the point? I would rather horribly bust in favor of a big winter storm, it's not like you do it for a living. I didn't trade $hit. I have no control over it. ...but verifying is of some consolation to me. I think it's human nature to strive for success...regardless of whether its a career or hobby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Does anyone offhand know the snow total for Logan this month? Gotta figure under double digits? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 41 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The last event literally trended 600 miles northwest in about a 48 hour period. Granted, slower pattern....but this doesn't need 600 miles either. Slow until it turned on the jets and went up the left exit. Models showing 24-36 hr of continuous SN became 6 hr of +RA almost overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Euro look more amped out west with the ridge....this might be a bit better than 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 47 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The last event literally trended 600 miles northwest in about a 48 hour period. Granted, slower pattern....but this doesn't need 600 miles either. Its a faster pattern, but I think there is more latent energy available here...like 4 SWs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro look more amped out west with the ridge....this might be a bit better than 00z. Yeah looks better, Should be west of the 0z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Size-able change with the nrn stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Gonna still be a miss or scraper, but that's a drastically better look....tons of N stream energy diving in....I'll bet ensembles are better than 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 That norther stream s/w was digging pretty far south this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Gonna still be a miss or scraper, but that's a drastically better look....tons of N stream energy diving in....I'll bet ensembles are better than 06z. All I needed to see for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Yeah the bleeding to the east stopped here at least. Much better nrn stream look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 ASOUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: All I needed to see for now. Yeah....I mean at some point w'ere gonna have to quit the foreplay and see a real solution by the Euro, but we haven't quite reached that point yet. But by tonight or tomorrow I think. That's when we'll be getting inside of 4 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: That norther stream s/w was digging pretty far south this run. If I could, I wipe my a$$ with the outlook in exchange for having that polar stud bend the southern bell over the benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Yeah....I mean at some point w'ere gonna have to quit the foreplay and see a real solution by the Euro, but we haven't quite reached that point yet. But by tonight or tomorrow I think. That's when we'll be getting inside of 4 days. Yea...12z tmw is my deadline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: That norther stream s/w was digging pretty far south this run. Euro tried to form another low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah the bleeding to the east stopped here at least. Much better nrn stream look. That should get Wolfie off the Tobin for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Does it actually track closer, or is at just H5 improvement? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 4 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: That should get Wolfie off the Tobin for now Nah he will say the euro sucks many times before growling at all of us and mother nature’s inability to make a flake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah....I mean at some point w'ere gonna have to quit the foreplay and see a real solution by the Euro, but we haven't quite reached that point yet. But by tonight or tomorrow I think. That's when we'll be getting inside of 4 days. Yeah running out of time. We need to see an actual hit at some point. Don’t want to be working inside of d4 just to manage a scrape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 8 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Euro tried to form another low A few of the models seem to have that low out ahead of the southern one, That's some of the multiple pieces in the flow I think that's skewing the main low coming west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 33 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: DT and Judah.. I think Earthlight, too farmers almanac Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Bottom line is the system stays in a watch or monitoring mode with eastern areas preferred. If this were tropical season, we would say the cone of uncertainty has shifted east some from yesterday but it's still wide enough at this lead time to cover most of the region, even on the western flank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Polishing a Euro turd today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Navgem isn’t even close. Way SE... that solution needs a lot of correction west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Well... if it makes anyone feel any better ... the Euro rewards the region with 60 F full sunny early bee release weather on D 7 to make up for it - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 19 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Does it actually track closer, or is at just H5 improvement? It tracked closer. 00z was pretty awful...I'm not counting that little shit front-runner low that dropped like an inch of slop on the 00z run. We don't want this if we're trying to get a real storm in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: Well... if it makes anyone feel any better ... the Euro rewards the region with 60 F full sunny early bee release weather on D 7 to make up for it - I think the "bee" word that most were looking for had a couple zz's in it.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: Well... if it makes anyone feel any better ... the Euro rewards the region with 60 F full sunny early bee release weather on D 7 to make up for it - Followed by a cutter a day later. Good times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Looks like wave spacing/interference is preventing the Euro from being a pretty sizable storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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