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NYCSNOWMAN2020

WINTER 2019/2020 BANTER

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And Britain is getting the East Coast's winter - the tabloid Daily Mail's UK front page (not the US, the UK) is half full of stories on "Storm Ciara" which is blasting, with 90+ and 8+ mph winds, a story on surfers riding wages up a river, disruptions at airports.  Here's one: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7988499/Britain-faces-fresh-SNOW-ice-warning-tonight-tomorrow.html

They are already anticipating that this storm hitting now will be battering them this weekend.

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I am actually starting to look forward to the warmer weather and hopefully plenty of severe weather chances. By mid February I usually start getting tired of winter unless it has been a good winter for cold/snow. I wouldn't mind seeing a few high end storm threats develop though for the rest of February/March regardless of precipitation type.

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44 minutes ago, Pellice said:

And Britain is getting the East Coast's winter - the tabloid Daily Mail's UK front page (not the US, the UK) is half full of stories on "Storm Ciara" which is blasting, with 90+ and 8+ mph winds, a story on surfers riding wages up a river, disruptions at airports.  Here's one: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7988499/Britain-faces-fresh-SNOW-ice-warning-tonight-tomorrow.html

They are already anticipating that this storm hitting now will be battering them this weekend.

there's not much cold in Europe-they are also having a historically warm winter

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2 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

I am actually starting to look forward to the warmer weather and hopefully plenty of severe weather chances. By mid February I usually start getting tired of winter unless it has been a good winter for cold/snow. I wouldn't mind seeing a few high end storm threats develop though for the rest of February/March regardless of precipitation type.

Its likely going to just be a continuation of drab miserable weather

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9 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Its likely going to just be a continuation of drab miserable weather

Without a doubt, crap weather right through May.

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19 hours ago, gravitylover said:

And holy sht what a storm that was. 17" of tree snapping glue! It fell in just a few hours with insane winds and the temp dropped 30 degrees while it was happening. That was one of the most memorable and damaging storms of the last 25 years where I live.

wow we supposedly had 5" here but I dont remember it at all, sounds like it was a really wet kind of snow?  I guess Philly didn't get diddly as they ended up with a T for the entire season!

 

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18 hours ago, Isotherm said:

 

Utilizing NOAA data, I did a couple of quick calculations. NYC-Central Park's mean snowfall for 1990-2020 is 30.1", and their median snowfall is about 27". The median, as you know, is a very indicative number, as it represents the relative frequency of above versus below normal snowfall winters. So, the 27" is fairly good, given the proximity to the mean, suggesting that there's an almost equal split of snowier than normal versus less snow than normal winters in NYC (I would guess probably 45% snowier than normal / 55% less snow than normal). The farther south one heads, the worse the median. For example, Washington DC sees much more below normal snowfall winters than above normal, so their mean snowfall is arguably inflated by a relatively small number of major winters. Conversely, I would guess Boston's median is almost identical to their mean.

funny thing is the standard deviation must be high since it's fairly uncommon around here to see winters close to the median or the mean, they're either much higher or much lower.

 

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15 hours ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

In the 151 years of record keeping at Central Park, the average snow fall is 28.8 inches per season and the median is 27.1 inches so very little variation in the two numbers. I've never run the numbers for Boston and WDC but I would agree with your guess. I would think Bostons mean and median like NYC's are within a few inches of each other.  In a place like Washington where the average snowfall is in the mid teens, a couple of 50 inch seasons will skew the average much more than a couple of 5 inch winters will.

Notice how it was consistently above 30 inches and close to 35 inches a year at NYC during the first several decades of that dataset.

 

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2 hours ago, Pellice said:

And Britain is getting the East Coast's winter - the tabloid Daily Mail's UK front page (not the US, the UK) is half full of stories on "Storm Ciara" which is blasting, with 90+ and 8+ mph winds, a story on surfers riding wages up a river, disruptions at airports.  Here's one: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7988499/Britain-faces-fresh-SNOW-ice-warning-tonight-tomorrow.html

They are already anticipating that this storm hitting now will be battering them this weekend.

its rainy just like it is here.  A friend in Norway told me they haven't had any snow there at sea level either.

 

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21 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

wow we supposedly had 5" here but I dont remember it at all, sounds like it was a really wet kind of snow?  I guess Philly didn't get diddly as they ended up with a T for the entire season!

 

If I recall it melted in 6 hours. I remember waking up to a couple slushy inches. It was a surprise as the night before it was forecast to stay rain and maybe end as snow showers 

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2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

If I recall it melted in 6 hours. I remember waking up to a couple slushy inches. It was a surprise as the night before it was forecast to stay rain and maybe end as snow showers 

if that storm had gone as forecast we would have set a new record low for snowfall at 0.5"!

I think that would have been more memorable than slush that lasted for six hours lol.

 

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Just now, LibertyBell said:

if that storm had gone as forecast we would have set a new record low for snowfall at 0.5"!

I think that would have been more memorable than slush that lasted for six hours lol.

 

Yeah winter was long over by that point and I doubt any of that even stuck to pavement. But it still counted and kept us from breaking the record 

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6 hours ago, coastalplainsnowman said:

I agree.  He is absolutely not controversial from what I've seen.  He publishes incredibly insightful maps on a regular basis.  He has opinons for sure (who doesn't), and goes about defending them in quite the personable way that encourages discussion and debate. 'Happy warrior' is an apt description I'd say. 

he's a climate scientist who posts about warm records. the denier mob hates him

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1 hour ago, LibertyBell said:

If no snow I'd just like to get an early spring and temps in the 80s and no rain for a few weeks lol.

1989-90 reboot

 

85 in mid March 1990...1" of snow April 7th...

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18 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

I dont remember after April 7th lol....did we have a cool and wet spring or did it get hot again?

 

90 at the end of April...it was not a hot summer...

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5 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

funny thing is the standard deviation must be high since it's fairly uncommon around here to see winters close to the median or the mean, they're either much higher or much lower.

 

The mode might be even more useful....what is the most common snowfall in an event, and what is the most common total for the winter....

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2 hours ago, weatherpruf said:

The mode might be even more useful....what is the most common snowfall in an event, and what is the most common total for the winter....

IMO the mode is better suited for a situation such as trying to find what item at your candy shop sells the most. 

In terms of snow, it may not be the best.  For example, imagine a city has the following snowfall amounts in the last 10 years...21, 21, 54, 36, 41, 45, 48, 33, 28, 39.  Those two dud years would make the most common total 21 inches, whereas the average is 36 inches.  The real problem though is that when seasonal totals are reported to the decimal, it would be even less likely that two years would repeat the same exact number.

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8 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

I remember another snowless winter around here when parts of Israel got over a foot of snow!

 

Israel’s biggest snowfalls usually occur with an AO+.

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Of the 151 complete years recorded so far NYC has an average snowfall of 28.8 inches and a median of 27.1

Of those 151 seasons the breakdown is as follows:

  • 69 seasons have had between 20-40 inches of snow or 46% of their winters. Maybe call that your normal NYC winter.
  • 35 seasons over 40 inches or 23%,
  • 38 between 10-19.9 inches or 25% 
  • 9 seasons below 10 inches or 6%.
  • Summary, so far this winter in NYC ranks up there among the all time stinkers, and when you throw in the ridiculously high temperature anomaly so far just makes it worse.
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Despite awful winter...i still say we sneak one moderate in..for city and coasties and at least 2 for inland folks..now when i say moderate i would be thirilled with 3 to 6 type event  ....we shall see ..

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1 hour ago, NYCSNOWMAN2020 said:

Despite awful winter...i still say we sneak one moderate in..for city and coasties and at least 2 for inland folks..now when i say moderate i would be thirilled with 3 to 6 type event  ....we shall see ..

I thought you said we would get two massive blizzards?

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3 minutes ago, psv88 said:

I thought you said we would get two massive blizzards?

This cold season only (I hope) a revamped definition of the term Blizzard. A brief flurry with a stiff breeze, salt drifts optional. As always.....

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2 hours ago, NYCSNOWMAN2020 said:

Despite awful winter...i still say we sneak one moderate in..for city and coasties and at least 2 for inland folks..now when i say moderate i would be thirilled with 3 to 6 type event  ....we shall see ..

unlikely.    Every telly is against us and doesn't look to change anytime soon.  Snowless and likely sunless coming up

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14 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

unlikely.    Every telly is against us and doesn't look to change anytime soon.  Snowless and likely sunless coming up

You need to be inland and elevated to pull anything off. And I mean well inland and well elevated 

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13 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

You need to be inland and elevated to pull anything off. And I mean well inland and well elevated 

The top of Hook Mountain should be good...

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