• Member Statistics

    15,734
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    dorkchopper
    Newest Member
    dorkchopper
    Joined
Hoosier

December 2019 Discussion

Recommended Posts

3 hours ago, ovweather said:

Louisville currently blow-torching at 63 degrees. The record high for Christmas is 68 degrees. That record could fall Wednesday.

Looking at the visible satellite, the snow pack from last week's storm across central Illinois and Indiana is trying desperately to hang on.

Yep...that 7-8 inch snowpack is hanging on longer than I thought it would given these warmer temps.  Supposed to be 60 Christmas day with possible t storms Sat, according to some mets around here.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Didn't realize how warm Christmas has been lately.  Wednesday will mark the 4th out of the last 6 Christmases at MLI AOA 50 degrees.  2014 hit 50, 2016 hit 56, 2018 hit 50, and this Christmas it looks to make a run at 60.  Pretty crazy.

I guess next year I'll just assume December will be another dud, and look forward to another warm Christmas.  Seems to be the new norm.

  • Like 1
  • Sad 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
41 minutes ago, cyclone77 said:

Didn't realize how warm Christmas has been lately.  Wednesday will mark the 4th out of the last 6 Christmases at MLI AOA 50 degrees.  2014 hit 50, 2016 hit 56, 2018 hit 50, and this Christmas it looks to make a run at 60.  Pretty crazy.

I guess next year I'll just assume December will be another dud, and look forward to another warm Christmas.  Seems to be the new norm.


Yeah, this trend of awful December’s preceded by awful springs needs to stop. Seems as if almost every December since 2010 is an expansion of fall, and then spring is an expansion of winter lol. Obviously outlier months March 2012, December 2013 etc.. 

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, cyclone77 said:

Didn't realize how warm Christmas has been lately.  Wednesday will mark the 4th out of the last 6 Christmases at MLI AOA 50 degrees.  2014 hit 50, 2016 hit 56, 2018 hit 50, and this Christmas it looks to make a run at 60.  Pretty crazy.

I guess next year I'll just assume December will be another dud, and look forward to another warm Christmas.  Seems to be the new norm.

The other way to look at it is that it is a pretty anomalous stretch of warm Christmases that can't keep going.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Since 2014 we've been in a +ENSO feature across the region. 2016-17 was a borderline La Nina and the 2017-18 La Nina barely lasted 6 months. If we take away those years, the last true La Nina event was 2011-12. Cold Decembers are more closely correlated with La Nina's so unless next year is a decent La Nina, the chances of another crappy December are higher than usual. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I got back from my trip to Ohio. I was in the Akron/Canton area, and I drove to Toledo and back. We had 5 consecutive sunny days, with no low stratus clouds. (Thursday-Monday) There is a very low chance to have 5 sunny days in a row at this time of year, with no overcast stratus clouds at any time. Here's my thinking. The chance of having roughly 24 hours of clear(ish) skies is 20% or less. Weather tends to change in some predictable ways over the course of 5 days. But if you just think of this as a series of random events, then the chance of 5 sunny days is (0.2)^5 = 0.00032 = 0.032%

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Finished product. Just pulled steaks off the grill for the wife and family. Here’s to a to a rocking January, and hoping I can reel in a much needed big dog this winter. 

DEB4E11B-24DC-452B-B019-61F979746AD3.jpeg

  • Like 5

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, bowtie` said:

Can't ask for much more. No weather related travel woes this year.

 

Happy, Happy, Merry, Merry everyone.

Merry Christmas to you. We do have some travel woes in this area as dense fog has hung out since early this morning and doesn't look to break until late tomorrow morning.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 hours ago, Chambana said:

Finished product. Just pulled steaks off the grill for the wife and family. Here’s to a to a rocking January, and hoping I can reel in a much needed big dog this winter. 

DEB4E11B-24DC-452B-B019-61F979746AD3.jpeg

Very nice.  I'm still stuffed from earlier, and seeing that still makes my mouth water lol.  

Merry Christmas everyone!

EDIT:  MLI ended up hitting 61 today.  

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

But seriously 20 states currently with some sort of Dense fog or Freezing Fog advisory, just goes to show you how stagnate this pattern is currently.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.