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Indystorm

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  1. AT 343 PM CDT, SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR BEECHER TO NEAR GRANT PARK TO AROMA PARK, MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH. THE MOST INTENSE PART OF THESE STORMS ARE MOVING TOWARD CEDAR LAKE AND LOWELL, INDIANA. HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED POWERLINES DOWN NEAR MANHATTAN, ILLINOIS.
  2. Well, I just moved my car away from trees at the apt complex for the svr warning this next hour. Hopefully hail won't get me.
  3. SFC-3K helicity approaching 300 se of the present tor warned storm in Will county. LCL height 1250-1500 Report of brief tor near Minooka with rotation near Shorewood.
  4. ARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE 304 PM CDT TUE SEP 7 2021 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... WEST CENTRAL WILL COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS... * UNTIL 330 PM CDT. * AT 303 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NORTH OF MINOOKA, MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... JOLIET AND ELWOOD AROUND 310 PM CDT. CREST HILL AROUND 315 PM CDT. NEW LENOX, MANHATTAN AND INGALLS PARK AROUND 320 PM CDT. OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE ORLAND PARK, TINLEY PARK, MOKENA, FRANKFORT AND FRANKFORT SQUARE. THIS INCLUDES... UNIVERSITY OF ST. FRANCIS, CHANNAHON STATE PARK, CHICAGOLAND SPEEDWAY...ROUTE 66 RACEWAY, JOLIET JUNIOR COLLEGE, AND JOLIET SLAMMERS BASEBALL.
  5. HE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN KENDALL COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS... NORTHEASTERN LA SALLE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS... NORTHWESTERN GRUNDY COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS... * UNTIL 315 PM CDT. * AT 228 PM CDT, SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM LELAND TO EARLVILLE, MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH. THESE ARE DESTRUCTIVE STORMS FOR EARLVILLE, LELAND, SERENA, NEWARK, AND SHERIDAN. HAZARD...BASEBALL SIZE HAIL AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE SEVERELY INJURED. EXPECT SHATTERED WINDOWS, EXTENSIVE DAMAGE TO ROOFS, SIDING, AND VEHICLES. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... SHERIDAN, LAKE HOLIDAY, SOMONAUK, EARLVILLE, SERENA, NEWARK, LELAND, MILLINGTON, MILLBROOK, LISBON, PLATTVILLE, HARDING AND NORWAY.
  6. Have appreciated your decisions as a moderator and especially your postings and educational knowledge, neighbor. Hope you will continue to enrich us with your observations.
  7. Am concerned that the gap between the svr warned storm over Skokie and west of Aurora will soon fill in.
  8. Definitely don't want to take my car to the repair/glass shop due to large hail since it is sitting outside my apartment with no protection. Will be watching the storms closely. Both mid and low level lapse rates are high.
  9. That would mean NOLA definitely gets the NE eyewall.
  10. And if we do get ERC in the Gulf I assume this would expand the wind field geographically. I haven't seen much discussion of how large this storm is expected to be , And if it gets very powerful in the Gulf this will increase surge and wave action.
  11. I think I read somewhere that the criterion for RI is an increase in wind speed of 35 mph in a 24 hour period or a 20 mb drop in 24 hours. This storm will rapidly intensify.
  12. At least Ricky is using observations rather than relying on CAMS As had noted in earlier update, the MCV slowly pushing east from the Quad Cities area will be the trigger mechanism for convection the rest of this afternoon into the evening. A small cluster initiated right over the Quad Cities within the past hour. Aside from near the new CI, the cumulus over most of the area isn`t all that impressive with the exception of a more congested look near the lake breeze convergence. Possible that the Quad Cities activity just pushes east with CI near it or the ascent from the MCV gradually triggers widely scattered convection through the late afternoon. Had noted a modest wind response from 850 mb up to 500 mb on the DVN VWP, so deep layer shear as the MCV transits the area could sneak up to as much as 20-25 kt. The CAMs have once again no help in the forecast, so utilizing observational trends for the most part. The anticipated scattered convection that develops should gradually building/spreading southeast through the evening. Main threat from the tallest cores will be localized wind gusts strong enough to down tree limbs (level 1 severe threat). PWATs up in the 1.7-1.9" range will certainly yield efficient rainfall rates, so a localized flooding threat is there as well.
  13. Why is SPC relying on CAMS in this meso discussion when CAMS have been horrible recently?
  14. mesoanalysis indicates 2000-3000 J/kg of MLCAPE is present across much of Illinois owing to strong heating and surface dewpoints in the 70s F. As the cluster of storms east of Davenport continues south and east, strong buoyancy will continue to support vigorous updrafts with occasional hail or damaging gust potential. CAM guidance is not overly bullish with any organization of the ongoing convection. However, hints at a weak cold pool developing suggest some clustering may occur as storms move southeastward. Across far western Indiana and eastern Illinois, a westward propagating cluster of storms may also pose an isolated risk for downbursts this evening. Little vertical shear is in place with multicell storms exhibiting pulse characteristics. However, as additional development takes place, collapsing storms may produce a few strong wind gusts into this evening.
  15. ED AUG 25 2021 ILC073-252115- /O.CON.KDVN.SV.W.0097.000000T0000Z-210825T2115Z/ HENRY IL- 403 PM CDT WED AUG 25 2021 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN HENRY COUNTY... AT 402 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR WOODHULL, OR NEAR CAMBRIDGE, MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THIS IS A DESTRUCTIVE STORM FOR ULAH...BISHOP HILL...NEKOMA AND GALVA. HAZARD...BASEBALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE SEVERELY INJURED. EXPECT SHATTERED WINDOWS, EXTENSIVE DAMAGE TO ROOFS, SIDING, AND VEHICLES. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... KEWANEE, CAMBRIDGE, GALVA, WOODHULL, ALPHA, ANDOVER, LYNN CENTER, BISHOP HILL, OPHIEM, NEKOMA, KEWANEE MUNICIPAL AIRPORT AND ULAH.
  16. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA/IL 343 PM CDT WED AUG 25 2021 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE QUAD CITIES HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL HENRY COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN ILLINOIS... * UNTIL 400 PM CDT. * AT 343 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR GENESEO, OR 7 MILES NORTH OF CAMBRIDGE, MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... GENESEO AROUND 350 PM CDT.
  17. I am wondering if these multiple t storm clusters will morph into more of an east-west oriented band later this evening along the OFB and would produce training of heavy rains. Maybe I am just reacting to what happened in TN although I don't expect anything near that amount of precip.
  18. I wonder where that OFB will eventually settle for tonight before it moves back north tomorrow with hot and muggy conditions predicted once again. That location might be the focus for heavier rains overnight.
  19. Flash flood warning for parts of Boone and McHenry counties. I am concerned with training storms over certain areas this evening given multiple bands extending west into Iowa.
  20. I am rooting for the development of a good cold pool to push the storms se.
  21. UL 29 2021 WIC079-101-127-133-290715- /O.CON.KMKX.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-210729T0715Z/ MILWAUKEE WI-WALWORTH WI-RACINE WI-WAUKESHA WI- 144 AM CDT THU JUL 29 2021 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 AM CDT FOR MILWAUKEE...NORTHEASTERN WALWORTH...RACINE AND WAUKESHA COUNTIES... AT 142 AM CDT, TORNADO PRODUCING STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR WAUKESHA TO POTTER LAKE TO NEAR ELKHORN, MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 50 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO WEST OF WAUKESHA. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... MILWAUKEE, RACINE, WAUKESHA, WEST ALLIS, WAUWATOSA, NEW BERLIN, BROOKFIELD, GREENFIELD, OAK CREEK, MOUNT PLEASANT, MUSKEGO, SOUTH MILWAUKEE, CUDAHY, WHITEFISH BAY, GREENDALE, PEWAUKEE, ST. FRANCIS, HARTLAND, HALES CORNERS AND MUKWONAGO.
  22. Storm with rotation and history of producing tornadoes moving directly for Milwaukee and suburbs.
  23. LOT issues its first warning of the episode for 70 mph winds for McHenry Boone and Winnebago counties.
  24. SOURCE...MULTIPLE RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO IN EASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... WATERTOWN, WHITEWATER, FORT ATKINSON, HARTLAND, JEFFERSON, DELAFIELD, LAKE MILLS, WALES, OKAUCHEE LAKE, OCONOMOWOC, OTTAWA, MERTON, JOHNSON CREEK, DOUSMAN, NORTH PRAIRIE, PALMYRA, LAC LA BELLE, LAKE RIPLEY, LAKE KOSHKONONG AND IXONIA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TO REPEAT, A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND.
  25. EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 114 AM CDT THU JUL 29 2021 WIC055-133-290645- /O.CON.KMKX.TO.W.0005.000000T0000Z-210729T0645Z/ WAUKESHA WI-JEFFERSON WI- 114 AM CDT THU JUL 29 2021 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 145 AM CDT FOR WESTERN WAUKESHA AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES... AT 113 AM CDT, TORNADO PRODUCING STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR LAC LA BELLE TO 6 MILES EAST OF JOHNSON CREEK TO NEAR JEFFERSON, MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF WATERTOWN. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... WATERTOWN, WHITEWATER, FORT ATKINSON, HARTLAND, JEFFERSON, DELAFIELD, LAKE MILLS, WALES, OKAUCHEE LAKE, OCONOMOWOC, OTTAWA, MERTON, JOHNSON CREEK, DOUSMAN, NORTH PRAIRIE, PALMYRA, LAC LA BELLE, LAKE RIPLEY, LAKE KOSHKONONG AND IXONIA.
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