CheeselandSkies

Eh, to me garbage in early spring is sustained much BA conditions, which I'm not really seeing. Lots of temperature whiplash and chances for precip, which we need. Edit: @Chicago Storm beat me to the punch. Although, conditions can vary quite a bit across the region. I've seen on here how someone from Minneapolis, Chicago, Detroit and Dayton/Cincinnati can have entirely different perceptions of a given season.

With the latest 12Z GFS/NAM outputs, Sunday is getting rather interesting for severe potential especially in the eastern Illinois/western Indiana area.

NWS forecast for next week Wednesday: Rain likely, possibly mixed with snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 54. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

0Z GFS wants to give southern Wisconsin a wintry mix with the low on Sunday. Yuck.

Pretty sure the CFS has already backed off considerably on that. Noah Bergren was the guy who was on air with Trent Okerson at WPSD covering the December 2021 tornado outbreak live. Now he's at FOX 35 in Orlando.

Not even within the general thunder contour for today:

Nice to get some rain that's not imbued with Texas dust.

Yeah, liking the drought removal over our area, not a fan of the widespread drought/drought development over the Plains. Maybe it will keep sending more of the our way but will we be able to see them?

Interesting, I keep hearing a lot of talk about how we just had a big SSWE. I used to think those inevitably led to prolonged cold springs in the East/Midwest.

If they go into the LSRs as tornado reports, they'll appear on the SPC page. However, they won't go into the official count if not confirmed by survey.

Again, LCLs weren't looking prohibitive on the CAM (mainly HRRR) forecast soundings even as late as 09-10Z this morning, problem is they didn't verify.

Actually a decent patch of clearing (including [lack of] dust) seems to be working its way into WC IL at the moment. Wouldn't be the morning of a chase day without a few headscratchers from the atmosphere, I guess.

RAP/HRRR crashed back down to earth hard starting around 11Z this morning. Not sure if the dust had anything to do with it but it's also gonna ruin the photogenic potential of any convection this afternoon.

Looks almost pitch black outside with a reddish tint.

Regardless of whatever else happens, had my first thunder of the year a few minutes ago and it was a doozy. Flash momentarily stung my eyes even though I had my back turned to the windows, followed by a boom that made my apartment building vibrate. Wasn't even really expecting anything more than cold rain at home in the morning with temps in the 30s.