CheeselandSkies

I would love to be proven wrong, but it's hard to be optimistic looking at the models now and having to clear my car off before I can go to work for the second time this week on April 19th.

*Sigh.* Already steeling myself for another wasted spring. What does it take to get an active severe pattern this decade (after the extremes of April 2011, of course)? La Nina, El Nino, anomalous warmth, anomalous cold, nothing works. Need to see a year where events like June 16th-18th, 2014, April 9th, 2015 and May 24th-25th, 2016 are part of a sustained pattern and not just diamonds in the rough...and this isn't going to be it.

What I don't get is how is it even possible for it to be above normal in WI/MI/ME but below normal in Florida? Cold air comes from the north, warm air from the south.

Can I rage quit the atmosphere?

In the spirit of the subtitle of this thread, you would think the atmosphere has to be setting us up for some epic severe weather outbreak (think Palm Sunday 1965, which was likewise preceded by a heavy late season winter storm over much of the affected area), but looking at the models such is just not forthcoming. The position of the anomalous late season snowpack is something to keep an eye on, as it can often act as a brick wall for warm fronts, so just south of it ends up being a severe weather hot spot. However, that would actually require systems coming through and the Gulf not getting wiped bone dry.

At this point, I'll believe it when I feel it.

Major impacts ongoing on both the winter and severe sides of this storm system and The "Weather" Channel hasn't had one minute of live weather coverage all afternoon. Disgraceful. Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

Woodward, OK tornado was in early April. Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

Too bad it's in such a radar hole. Probably would be as or more impressive than the Mountainburg cell if it were a similar distance from a radar.

Speak for yourself. Still haven't cracked 60 (and won't for the foreseeable future), and barely cracked 40 today.

So...who had WI leading the nation in severe reports at any point today? I sure didn't. We broke in to the Today Show/Megyn Kelly Today three times this morning. Was well north of Madison, just foggy cold rain here. Geoboy645, anything by you? Looked like parts of Richland/Sauk/Columbia got rocked pretty good.

Several warnings in WI, now, too. It's not even 40 degrees. Must be April.

In terms of placement of the risk, this day reminds me a lot of April 27, 2014. Stuff expected to light up around the KS-OK/MO-AR border region, with a bullseye over AR. Of course, that ended up going to HIGH, but as impressive and deadly as the Mayflower-Vilonia tornado was, it was the only such storm of the day and a 15% hatched MDT would probably have adequately covered it. Meanwhile further north, some wind profile issues tempered more significant tornado activity, but there was still the Quapaw-Baxter Springs event.

Never cracked 60 here yesterday or today, and we won't for some time. Might be a record, and not one I want to see set.