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July 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread


bluewave
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2 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

With 1.75" rain through 11:08 pm, New York City's year-to-date precipitation has surpassed 30.00". New York City's year-to-date precipitation for 2019 is now 30.02". New York City remains on track for its second consecutive year with 50.00" or more precipitation.

You think we're on track for a warm, wet autumn?

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Next 8 days averaging 79.5degs., or 3degs. AN.

Month to date is  +3.1[79.4].        This means basically no change over the next 8 days, or +3.1[79.4], by the 26th.

 

GFS DP for 40.6W  74.0N does not exceed 75* on Sat.  PM.     I guess the member below is talking about Newark near 80* DP, or somewhere else nearby.

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44 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The NAM is picking up on the Euro theme and now has 80 degree dew points for Saturday. The humidity will be so high, that the models introduced convection chances both Saturday and Sunday. Euro continues with 22C to 23C 850 mb temperatures. So even partly sunny conditions will allow a run on 100 degrees in the warmer locations with very high heat indices.

CC31347D-16D2-41FC-9958-C762C2F549BC.png.327448e0fc6b5126f245c1b29082014c.png

 

Heat index’s will be some of the highest we have seen in many many years with dews near 80. The scale is rightfully skewed higher for heat index’s. 

Expect the park to run way low again after 2” of rain, until things fully dry out by Sunday 

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44 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Heat index’s will be some of the highest we have seen in many many years with dews near 80. The scale is rightfully skewed higher for heat index’s. 

Expect the park to run way low again after 2” of rain, until things fully dry out by Sunday 

That's going to cause some power outages or two.

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78/75 here mostly cloudy.

 

we'll see if we can enough clearing to notch 90.  Fri - Mon should net 4 more (pending on clouds monday).  Then a reprieve Tue 7/24 - Fri 7/27, before maybe more heat comes in ahead of and into aug.

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57 minutes ago, purduewx80 said:

The OKX 12Z sounding came in w/ a 2.47" PWAT, among the highest on record. This is the highest observed July value and 12Z observation there, and it ties for the 2nd highest on record overall.

This to me is the loudest alarm bell for CC. If it gets hot, you can usually cherry-pick a comparable day in like 1893 that was only a degree or two cooler. But we're just consistently breaking PWAT and surface Td records, in all months and seasons, seemingly every time the low-level flow turns SW.

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1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

78/75 here mostly cloudy.

 

we'll see if we can enough clearing to notch 90.  Fri - Mon should net 4 more (pending on clouds monday).  Then a reprieve Tue 7/24 - Fri 7/27, before maybe more heat comes in ahead of and into aug.

Too much cloud coverage for 90 today and front passes through early Monday. 

Fri-Sun will likely yield 95+ readings, can't rule out 100 for Sat or Sun in the hottest spots. 

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1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said:

Too much cloud coverage for 90 today and front passes through early Monday. 

Fri-Sun will likely yield 95+ readings, can't rule out 100 for Sat or Sun in the hottest spots. 

Low moving through lets see if we can get some late PM sun and maxes, doubtful but maybe closer especially into C/S-NJ

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