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Somebody from CLT south is getting ready to have a bad night.  Worried about these high winds across the triad too as wet as the ground is.  Power outages ahead me thinks.

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This is the fastest I’ve seen clouds move over my head in a non-tropical related system. Coupled with the fact that it feels like late April, I’m thinking this will be an entertaining night. 

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1 minute ago, oconeexman said:

Tornado watch in early Jan..wtf?

Not totally unheard of. All of central NC and a good portion of SC had one on this date in 2014.

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Should have some OBS coming in over the next 45 minutes.  Post em if ya got em.  Watching my security cams up in Stuart and waiting for that line back around Mt Airy to blow thru.  70mph gusts with that one.

Get those chainsaws ready.

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The line was uneventful here in McDowell, but the rain and flash flooding have been the bigger concern. 

 

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will probably see some ground truth on this couplet from 2-3am last night.....PGV gusted to 43 with the squall, sounded way worse lol, I expected half the trees around my house to be on the ground when the sun came up.

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1 hour ago, downeastnc said:

will probably see some ground truth on this couplet from 2-3am last night.....PGV gusted to 43 with the squall, sounded way worse lol, I expected half the trees around my house to be on the ground when the sun came up.

eb1f34d1-9c77-495d-a460-0df0c7c8d4c5.thumb.gif.ec33a4605131ff49549295e8fc7c6199.gif

It woke me up when the line came thru. I had expected the same but thankfully found nothing down.

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8 NE Garland [Sampson Co, NC] 911 CALL CENTER reports TSTM WND DMG at 1:38 PM EST -- *** 3 INJ *** A WATER LOADED MICROBURST OCCURRED OVER UNION INTERMEDIATE SCHOOL, CAUSING A PARTIAL ROOF COLLAPSE. THREE STUDENTS WERE TREATED FOR MINOR INJURIES AND TRANSPORTED TO THE HOSPITAL.

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The SPC doesn’t throw out Day 6 outlooks that often. The wind shear parameters are off the charts over the region late next week. 

0CD6668D-FB3D-45C4-9DF0-B4CC10194E7A.gif

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That’s one heck of a boundary for Thursday evening. Also there will be an elevated STP along the boundary. Absolutely Insane 850mb winds of 75 knots. 

751E1DD4-6413-4026-8A9E-6E29BEE76C6B.jpeg

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Surprised this isn't getting more attention:

image.png.27a24379c027258961fc337a0bcb504c.png

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1127 PM CST Wed Feb 05 2020

   Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

   ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE
   FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO NORTH CAROLINA...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are expected to spread from the northeast Gulf
   Coast this morning to the Carolinas by early evening. Damaging winds
   could be common with this activity, and a few tornadoes are also
   possible.

   ...Northeast Gulf Coast to the Carolinas...

   Strong low-latitude trough is beginning to shift east across the Big
   Bend of TX/northeast Mexico as a pronounced mid-level speed max
   approaches the base of this feature. By mid day, 500mb speed max in
   excess of 100kt will translate into the lower MS Valley, then
   strengthen to near 140kt over the Carolinas by 27/12z. In response,
   intense 12hr mid-level height falls (200m) will spread across the
   northern Gulf States into the western Carolinas.

   LLJ is forecast to strengthen across the northern Gulf Basin into
   southern AL by sunrise Thursday. This will encourage boundary-layer
   moistening with upper 60s surface dew points expected to advance
   inland across southern AL/GA, with near 70F dew points across the FL
   Panhandle. This moistening will be more than adequate for
   substantial SBCAPE ahead of the surging cold front. Latest thinking
   is scattered-numerous thunderstorms will be ongoing along the front
   at the start of the period. As large-scale forcing approaches this
   region, a sharpening band of frontal convection should evolve. Given
   the strengthening wind fields there is increasing confidence that a
   potentially damaging squall line will race northeast across the ENH
   Risk area. In addition, a few pre-squall line supercells may also
   develop as minimal forcing will be needed to initiate convection.
   Tornado threat will be most concentrated with these more discrete
   structures, though embedded squall-line circulations are also
   expected given the shear.

   A well organized squall line should progress across GA/northern FL
   into the Carolinas during the evening hours. This linear MCS should
   advance off the NC Coast shortly after midnight.

   ..Darrow/Bentley.. 02/06/2020

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