mahk_webstah Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 You just knew it was Chris from GYX when you read this phrasing about the sprawling and arcing. He shoulda just went full banana. Could you imagine if Scott were writing these? “ a scooter high will lock in the cold”. “A poopy streak is all that is between us and SECS”. “It is so cold even burly men will cry for their mommas”. Late in the week could see greater impacts from the next approaching storm system. Sprawling high pressure will be arcing over the top of the Northeast...and a deep trof will be swinging thru the central CONUS. It is a favorable set up for overrunning precip...with predominantly wintry ptypes on the front end followed by dry slotting. We are still over 120 hrs out from any potential impacts though...so significant changes are still possible with trof still over the NE Pacific. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 DT after looking at the indicies "HERE IT IS !! MAJOR PATTERN CHANGE UNDERWAY - Even though Models keep forecasting -NAO/ Greenland Block it has YET to show up. After FEB 9-10 if the -NAO/ Greenland Block still does NOT show up... Winter in eastern US will end early" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 How much for RIC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 6 minutes ago, Snow88 said: DT after looking at the indicies "HERE IT IS !! MAJOR PATTERN CHANGE UNDERWAY - Even though Models keep forecasting -NAO/ Greenland Block it has YET to show up. After FEB 9-10 if the -NAO/ Greenland Block still does NOT show up... Winter in eastern US will end early" I feel better now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 25 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: Dont drive Angry! I should try to rephrase- the geographical areas that needed big positive changes to salvage winter, have not had any big positive changes...the pattern is always more optimistic at D11 and beyond...but nothing really comes to fruition...Meteorological Winter is D, J, F...we are now into Feb and some red tags have posted things akin to punting the first 10 days of Feb You’ll probably get 3 feet on April 5. Your roof will leak, your ac will break, and 4 days later it will be 88/69 with a fluke heatwave. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 DT in an unholy alliance with Punxsutawney Phil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 9 minutes ago, weathafella said: You’ll probably get 3 feet on April 5. Your roof will leak, your ac will break, and 4 days later it will be 88/69 with a fluke heatwave. April fools, redux please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 10 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: April fools, redux please 4/1/98 or 4/1/97? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 2, 2019 Author Share Posted February 2, 2019 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: 4/1/98 or 4/1/97? 97 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 1 minute ago, NorEastermass128 said: 97 So you choose 3ft of snow instead of an epic BDCF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 33 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I feel better now. His winter forecast was record cold and snow . His track record has been brutal last few years 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 Gefs and EPS looks very good mid month. Things might get rolling soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 2, 2019 Author Share Posted February 2, 2019 8 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Gefs and EPS looks very good mid month. Things might get rolling soon. They better. We’re quickly running out of runway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 8 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Gefs and EPS looks very good mid month. Things might get rolling soon. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 9 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Luckily we have the better guidance in our favor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 But the GEFS have the -NAO when you look at a time lagged approach. ok. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 Where’s Zach’s pop to tell me to use the GEFS? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 53 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: His winter forecast was record cold and snow . His track record has been brutal last few years He verified around Richmond don't think he actually cares about anywhere else. RIC must have 200 percent of normal at least if not move Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Where’s Zach’s pop to tell me to use the GEFS? What happened to him? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 30 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Things look good mid month. I'm on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 27 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Luckily we have the better guidance in our favor. I choose the JMA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 13 minutes ago, qg_omega said: He verified around Richmond don't think he actually cares about anywhere else. RIC must have 200 percent of normal at least if not move December and January had above normal temperatures For Richmond. December had 11.5 inches of snow and January 1.5. Zilch for November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: December and January had above C normal temperatures For Richmond. December had 11.5 inches of snow and January 1.5. Zilch for November. More snow than BOS and NYC combined. Pretty close to what ORH had for those 2 months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 39 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Where’s Zach’s pop to tell me to use the GEFS? Exiled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 4 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: Dismissing what ...? not sure what you're addressing in deference to me ... I was just being a wise-ass before. haha The idea that we could just keep getting porked. I know you were being tongue in cheek...just saying. 3 hours ago, #NoPoles said: Dont drive Angry! I should try to rephrase- the geographical areas that needed big positive changes to salvage winter, have not had any big positive changes...the pattern is always more optimistic at D11 and beyond...but nothing really comes to fruition...Meteorological Winter is D, J, F...we are now into Feb and some red tags have posted things akin to punting the first 10 days of Feb Oh, yea...hell, I punted the first 10 days of february as far as big sne snow goes....days ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 That's not that far out there in time. That could conceivably start around 90 or 96 hours and run out to 144… Basically two straight days of plausible accretion. It'll be interesting if the Euro op continues to deny the flatter colder scenario of the GFS tonight. Seems like each model is still playing into their own bias and haven't budged in the other direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 GFS is a string of SWFE's after the late week interior icing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 6 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: GFS is a string of SWFE's after the late week interior icing. Interior icing gone on 6z GFS. Nice long overrunning rains, excect for damaging ice Northern Champlain Valley with cold air surface drain. Then more SWFE but it is amazing how these models engineer any way for it not to snow in the populated parts of this regional forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 20 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Interior icing gone on 6z GFS. Nice long overrunning rains, excect for damaging ice Northern Champlain Valley with cold air surface drain. Then more SWFE but it is amazing how these models engineer any way for it not to snow in the populated parts of this regional forum. Time time put winter 2018-19 into the ash heap of the shitty winter hall-of-fame. Hopefully Worcester will cash in on some good things in Winters of Fore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 27 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Interior icing gone on 6z GFS. Nice long overrunning rains, excect for damaging ice Northern Champlain Valley with cold air surface drain. Then more SWFE but it is amazing how these models engineer any way for it not to snow in the populated parts of this regional forum. It just doesn't want to snow in SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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