STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Disturbing didn’t Scooters wife has some questions for him when she found all the shower toaster photos of “the fellas” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Disturbing didn’t Scooters wife has some questions for him when she found all the shower toaster photos of “the fellas” Oh yeah, she knows I'm far gone. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 18 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Good lord. Very young PF right there. That's like circa 2007 or even before? Walking down the streets of ORH, man I look good in those jeans. LOL, look how happy you look. Like when the BTV has a meso bullseye of precip over the massif. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: LOL, look how happy you look. Like when the BTV has a meso bullseye of precip over the massif. Looks like they are frolicking...waiting for upslope shenanigans Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 I actually recall that pic being made on some topic that powderfreak and I were both promoting and everyone else was poo-pooing like IVT snows or something...and someone said "they can go prance down the street in their reindeer sweaters while the rest of us don't give a crap" or something like that...lol. And then the photoshop happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: I actually recall that pic being made on some topic that powderfreak and I were both promoting and everyone else was poo-pooing like IVT snows or something...and someone said "they can go prance down the street in their reindeer sweaters while the rest of us don't give a crap" or something like that...lol. And then the photoshop happened. The matching sweatshirts make it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 54 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said: Well, I guess I do have these images after all these years Oh' wow. That's something I can't unsee. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 2 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Maybe it does poorly in this kind of setup? It has been really really bad as of late (from what I can see). I don’t have the current verification scores, but ugh We have had multiple types of set ups that its done bad on, I think it just sucks period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
photovision Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 This a question from the average public layman. Regarding all the different weather models, they all have their own parameters and bias in processing the same data I believe. But generally they do not agree on much until maybe the very last hours before a potential weather event. Toss this run and then toss that run. Have we all come to accept that these models are the best we can have and so they all are just accepted as is? Will there ever be a model that is not quirky? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Just now, photovision said: This a question from the average public layman. Regarding all the different weather models, they all have their own parameters and bias in processing the same data I believe. But generally they do not agree on much until maybe the very last hours before a potential weather event. Toss this run and then toss that run. Have we all come to accept that these models are the best we can have and so they all are just accepted as is? Will there ever be a model that is not quirky? Thanks Chaos prevents any exact match. More data in does help but their is a limit hence why human forecasts are so important. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 12 minutes ago, dryslot said: We have had multiple types of set ups that its done bad on, I think it just sucks period. Well..there is always that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 When you combine a zoo and a circus, you have NEAMX.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 PF looks so happy being with Will but Will kinda looks like he’s eyeing another weenie, he’s done with this one. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 31 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: PF looks so happy being with Will but Will kinda looks like he’s eyeing another weenie, he’s done with this one. Used and abused. Tossed to the side like the GFS. I find it hilarious that Eric in Maine doesn't post much anymore but he drove by to drop that image in here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 2 hours ago, powderfreak said: Good lord. Very young PF right there. That's like circa 2007 or even before? Walking down the streets of ORH, man I look good in those jeans. Back in those feminine curves days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Here I was coming in here to ask about the off hour euro verification scores...and wham, suplexed with the reindeer sweaters 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 26, 2019 Author Share Posted January 26, 2019 4 hours ago, Hoth said: GFS also told me I was going to be 55 degrees last Saturday while it was 28 with freezing rain. Tossed. Always tossed. Im not sure I agree with your reputation of the GFS. When it was forecasting that 55 rain the euro was forecasting 20 inches of snow… What happens? Something in between. Grantedthe GFS is not as good as the euro model but it's not as bad as you guys are making it out to be. Sounds like people so desperate for the emotional high of a snowstorm in the models and not seeing one that they're just scapegoating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 26, 2019 Author Share Posted January 26, 2019 4 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: I'm surprised how vastly different the solutions are given the close range. "Close range"? 5 days chief. Somebody's expectations are a little bit high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 0z NAM was so close to being something fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 0z NAM was so close to being something fun No kidding. Where’s our NW ticks now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 GFS had a recent rally...then fell down... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 26, 2019 Author Share Posted January 26, 2019 8 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 0z NAM was so close to being something fun What are you focusing on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 18z EPS looks really good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Just now, ineedsnow said: 18z EPS looks really good for what system? or in general? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 18z EPS looks really good Interior is getting some snow next week. Latitude will help but I think you score too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Interior is getting some snow next week. Latitude will help but I think you score too! Longitude ? Ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 25 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Im not sure I agree with your reputation of the GFS. When it was forecasting that 55 rain the euro was forecasting 20 inches of snow… What happens? Something in between. Grantedthe GFS is not as good as the euro model but it's not as bad as you guys are making it out to be. Sounds like people so desperate for the emotional high of a snowstorm in the models and not seeing one that they're just scapegoating. The Euro is certainly not as reliable as it once was, but we've seen the GFS puke all over itself so many times with east coast cyclogenesis that I'm always inclined to minimally weight its output. I can't speak for your area, but the Euro wasn't giving me 20 inches inside 24 hours with the most recent system. It busted warm with the surface temps too, and gave me a cold rain instead of major ice, but it was not off by 25+ degrees like the GFS. I'm also skeptical of the upcoming system. Maybe it pans out, but it seems to develop too late for my area at least. Maybe eastern Mass up into NNE get smoked. Perhaps nobody does. We'll see. It's folly to think I care enough either way to scapegoat a model for not showing what I'd like to see. Would it be nice to see snow? Sure. But it's not like I've been in Saharan Africa for a decade. My thoughts will tend toward warmer weather, sun dresses and sails soon enough anyway. If it snows, great. If not, I've got another 5 decades of average life expectancy. We'll give it another go next year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 26, 2019 Author Share Posted January 26, 2019 The annihilation of the GFS is not justified leave it at that. But when you said 55 originally I thought you were talking like three or four days ahead I was splitting the difference from the early middle range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 BOX already throwing a 15F high for next Thursday for me in their p n c. Its gonna be cold... similar to Monday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 These temperatures are obscene for 18z readings. Even with the time change. This is daytime stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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