Typhoon Tip Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 36 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro has max there around -15F. Def could be some all time records with this one. That's insane cold for NYS into central/NNE the day after that Miller B, too... Seems to somehow manage to miss SNE (the flow is parallel under that vortex) but what a cryo hell - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: That's insane cold for NYS into central/NNE the day after that Miller B, too... Seems to somehow manage to miss SNE (the flow is parallel under that vortex) but what a cryo hell - Much like this winter, so far. Wow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 I'm not that intrigued for this area. Low ceiling in this, as is presently constituted. Its either a hug, or very little imo. Unlikely we get just enough of a PV phase to track this favorably for sne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Hey we did that. My son in law asked if we could set the picnic table on fire if he promised to build a new one. Why not, month later we had a beautiful 10 footer that's still there. I did the same with a Hexagon one we had, Never used it other then to park my sled on top of one winter........lol, Made for a great bon fire though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Another bit of a wild card in this is the subtle tendency for the PNA ridge to trend to the west on the EURO....that could make it a bit more interesting... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: That's all i have seen here since Nov, They all have been slop storms.................... Better than our all rain storms. 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm not that intrigued for this area. Low ceiling in this, as is presently constituted. Its either a hug, or very little imo. Unlikely we get just enough of a PV phase to track this favorably for sne. West and North preferred. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Better than our all rain storms. West and North preferred. Congrats SLK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Better than our all rain storms. West and North preferred. Yup, No complaints, The riding has been great just NW of here, All i care about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 Definitely interested in the EPS ... that blend led this operational trend, so curious to see where this next rendition goes - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Im hoping this bombs somewhere on the east coast what a thermal gradient Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Definitely interested in the EPS ... that blend led this operational trend, so curious to see where this next rendition goes - EPS looks pretty close to the OP...might even be a little better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 That’s actually pretty good for the WOR crowd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That’s actually pretty good for the WOR crowd. excuse me .. "wor" ... as in 'west otlantic ridge' ... er? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 I am still intrigued by the low depicted off the Florida coast at 72hrs. Slow that down by 1/2 a day, then watch it orbit the mother ship towards New England. Far-fetched maybe, but that could get ENE back into the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: excuse me .. "wor" ... as in 'west otlantic ridge' ... er? West of river. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: West of river. West Longitude FTW DIT could sneak in on that as Ray dives into Merrimack river from 495 overpass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 What happens later in the week/weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, mahk_webstah said: What happens later in the week/weekend. Cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: EPS looks pretty close to the OP...might even be a little better. Tracks low near Boston....PNA isn't quite as good as OP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: EPS looks pretty close to the OP...might even be a little better. Hmm... I might replace "close to the op..." with "trended a little again toward more coastal" I just think that the elephant that's an important take away... is the trend. We are getting close, tho. This is what ...D5? Concomitant with a highly steeped and gradient saturated flow is that whole-scale features move and morph the flow very quickly. Case in point... the intermediate stream S/W mechanics (that ultimately became the Euro's southern stream component down wind) are only succeeding the western ridge arc 24 hours from now. It will enter over the NW Territories/N. B.C. 12z tomorrow's initialization...after which, it careens like an unabated Himalayan geologic gravity event ...although way down to a nadir in the MV or TV regions... in just 48 hours later. Meanwhile, there is a small PV fragment sitting up there over the far N. Canadian archipelago; between day 2 and 3 there is a subtle ridge flex in the eastern EPO domain/Alaska that sends that ball of joy also on a free fall trajectory through the Canadian Shield. See where I'm going ... ? This is a highly sensitive synoptic evolution and handling those two disparate sources as they wend their way into (maybe?) become a single source ...or partial is ... pretty delicate. Then... what is the exact amount of Quebec cold exertion/CAD ... oy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: West Longitude FTW DIT could sneak in on that as Ray dives into Merrimack river from 495 overpass Anyone who dives to to a 120 hr prog should should have dived long ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 24 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: EPS looks pretty close to the OP...might even be a little better. Man that looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, powderfreak said: Man that looks good. Its your winter, so far. 1969 redux. Hopefully February plays ball. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Need a couple more runs of improvements to get excited, could just be a head fake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Crushes Southbury, CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Wouldn't it be something if this actually turned into something Formidable overnight tonight and into this weekend, on the same weekend the Jan Blizzard of 15 came back to life too. Now that would be some serious Dejavu.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its your winter, so far. 1969 redux. Hopefully February plays ball. Even I could use a slight east shift. A lot of lows on the Ensembles like the GGEM, tracking it over my fanny in VT. But overall, getting a deepening low near BOS and PWM often works out well here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its your winter, so far. 1969 redux. Hopefully February plays ball. He was due for some payback after he was spending many recent years staying up until 3am drinking scotch and looking at ARW runs that hit Stowe while the rest of the models were jackpotting Scooter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Need a couple more runs of improvements to get excited, could just be a head fake. EPS mean snowfall looks pretty similar for both of us..like 3-5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: He was due for some payback after he was spending many recent years staying up until 3am drinking scotch and looking at ARW runs that hit Stowe while the rest of the models were jackpotting Scooter. Now it's me having some of the same Scotch the UKMET seems to be drinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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