MJO812 Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 Today's soi index -20.3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 32 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Eps still has a coastal signal for the 12th while the op has a vigorous negative tiled trough. I like that one, more powerful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 The goods are beginning to poke through in the LR, like when a little weenie realizes his fly is down....hello. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 1 hour ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Maybe looks to be trending weaker and well when that is a “good thing” I’m not psyched . I’m not looking for more than advisory with this anyway. Well see let’s see what 12z does. Your standards are too high if you are trying to get more than 6" with this storm....it's not a very juiced system as currently modeled. Maybe if everything goes right it happens but I'd just aim for keeping things mostly frozen for now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 Quiet in here this morning. All the weenies shook their sillies out yesterday.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 MEX looks good for snow numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 Euro is close up here for the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 27 minutes ago, weathafella said: Quiet in here this morning. All the weenies shook their sillies out yesterday.... Or they closed the shades for a while, snuggled up alongside the chipmunks.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 16 minutes ago, dendrite said: Euro is close up here for the weekend. But it seems debatable whether any precipitation of significance gets up here, yes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Your standards are too high if you are trying to get more than 6" with this storm....it's not a very juiced system as currently modeled. Maybe if everything goes right it happens but I'd just aim for keeping things mostly frozen for now. A couple of days though didn’t it look more juiced? Maybe it will trend back in that direction. I think it also had a look of a slow moving system but that seems to be off the table. Gyx says 12 hours and all waa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 20 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: But it seems debatable whether any precipitation of significance gets up here, yes? Euro gets snow up here. What do you consider significant though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 1 hour ago, weathafella said: Quiet in here this morning. All the weenies shook their sillies out yesterday.... Looks boring for the foreseeable future. Next weeks winter event looks like W/C/NNE special with little to no snow south of the border for the Metro Boston area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 Euro snowmaps on Weather.US still spitting out 4-6" for my area. I would be happy as a pig in snow if that verified Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2019 Author Share Posted January 4, 2019 22 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Looks boring for the foreseeable future. Next weeks winter event looks like W/C/NNE special with little to no snow south of the border for the Metro Boston area. I'm not sure I'd resign myself to "little to no snow" in Boston metro next week yet. Define little...could certainly see like 2" or more... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 41 minutes ago, dendrite said: Euro gets snow up here. What do you consider significant though? Looks like 1-2" or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 56 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: But it seems debatable whether any precipitation of significance gets up here, yes? Euro is significant. Right in the deformation. We'll see. https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/new-hampshire/acc-total-precipitation/20190106-0600z.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 I just ... I dunno doc ... I get the feeling like I'm not supposed to forget about her. I know it's not rational and whatever - but no one understands how symbolic reality its self seems to be; like everywhere I look there is something there that reminds me of her in a very specific way... 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Looks like 1-2" or so. Sneaky if it happens. Nobody really talking about it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: Euro is significant. Right in the deformation. We'll see. https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/new-hampshire/acc-total-precipitation/20190106-0600z.html It's so marginal looking at 925-850. But who knows with the deformation band possibly into your area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 1 minute ago, MaineJayhawk said: Sneaky if it happens. Nobody really talking about it Charlie has mentioned it on WGME13, 06z Euro cut back some though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: Charlie has mentioned it on WGME13, 06z Euro cut back some though. Cool. Thinking it might be more drippy than anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's so marginal looking at 925-850. But who knows with the deformation band possibly into your area. Agree...I think that's the whole key on getting accums. I feel like whoever is under that best deformation lift may be snowing. Other models kinda suck though so we'll see if the euro goes south at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 1 minute ago, MaineJayhawk said: Cool. Thinking it might be more drippy than anything. I'd lean more toward dry than drippy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 6 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said: Cool. Thinking it might be more drippy than anything. The other issue is there is a s/w in the northern stream that giving this a "kick east as it gains lat so some of these solutions we whiff on. DE areas are seeing more in the way of snow as the colder air gets in for them sooner, The Nam just did it again at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 55 minutes ago, dendrite said: Euro gets snow up here. What do you consider significant though? more than .25qpf very cool that the Euro has it as snow - how much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: I'd lean more toward dry than drippy. Beware the Gulf Stream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 12 minutes ago, dendrite said: Euro is significant. Right in the deformation. We'll see. https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/new-hampshire/acc-total-precipitation/20190106-0600z.html Oh wow. So MHT would be heavy rain? And us are barely snow, but siignificant? We are talking about this weekend right? Not next MonTues? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said: more than .25qpf very cool that the Euro has it as snow - how much? It's borderline with -1C to +1C in the column. I just feel if the deformation gets up here we could parachute for a bit. If not, it's rain or RASN down in S NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: The other issue is there is a s/w in the northern stream that giving this a "kick east as it gains lat so some of these solutions we whiff on. DE areas are seeing more in the way of snow as the colder air gets in for them sooner One thing is certain - the rain this will produce in SNE will only further amplify the melts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 Just now, mahk_webstah said: Oh wow. So MHT would be heavy rain? And us are barely snow, but siignificant? We are talking about this weekend right? Not next MonTues? dryslot said the 6z euro backed off a bit and the ncep models are too far south. So I wouldn't go getting too excited. Was kinda just throwing it out there. And yeah that's not the M/T SWFE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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