40/70 Benchmark Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nao can help in December when storms tried to ride up the coast. That’s the one nice thing about it. Yea, insurance...but as long as the Pacific is not eradicating the continental cold supply, then we will still be fine...latitude can help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Big 4 in SNE through 11/20 BOS: -0.3 ORH: -3.1 BDL: -2.5 PVD: -1.3 Those are gonna get slammed the next 3 days. If the forecast through Saturday doesn't drastically change, I have ORH down to roughly 36.2F for November with 6 days remaining. Their coldest November on record going back to 1892 is 34.4F in 1967....so depending on how cold early next week shakes out and they don't get warm sectored in any of those storms...it could start to get interesting. It's a long shot, but either way it will end up high on the list. They need to get to 35.3F for top 5 coldest. It’s funny too how all the talk was torch coast to coast. Instead exact opposite happened Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'll bet the coldest el nino November seasons went on to be pretty good. Coldest El Nino is 1976 (2nd coldest overall)....so that's a check for great winter column. But then the next 3 are pretty meh....1972, 1997, and 1951. '72-'73 sucked, '97-'98 was bad, and '51-'52 was merely just decent. Then next two are 1965 (very good) and 1939 (dogcrap). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Coldest El Nino is 1976 (2nd coldest overall)....so that's a check for great winter column. But then the next 3 are pretty meh....1972, 1997, and 1951. '72-'73 sucked, '97-'98 was bad, and '51-'52 was merely just decent. Then next two are 1965 (very good) and 1939 (dogcrap). Oops....toss '97 and '72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 ..A FEW VERY LOCALIZED SNOW SQUALLS ARE POSSIBLE BETWEEN 3 AND 8 PM ALONG WITH BRIEF STRONG WIND GUSTS... Widely scattered snow showers will move across southern New England between 3 and 8 pm. There is also a low risk for an isolated heavy snow squall. The greatest threat will be along the east slopes of the Berkshires and northern Massachusetts, but very localized snow squalls are possible across the entire region. Any snow squall that is able to develop will bring the potential for very brief heavy snow with poor visibility and slippery roads. In addition, brief 40-50 mph wind gusts are possible mid to late afternoon as the arctic front moves through. The best chance for these stronger gusts will be over the higher terrain. While snow squalls are not expected to be widespread across our region...they have the potential to result in very localized hazardous travel so motorists should be prepared. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: ..A FEW VERY LOCALIZED SNOW SQUALLS ARE POSSIBLE BETWEEN 3 AND 8 PM ALONG WITH BRIEF STRONG WIND GUSTS... Widely scattered snow showers will move across southern New England between 3 and 8 pm. There is also a low risk for an isolated heavy snow squall. The greatest threat will be along the east slopes of the Berkshires and northern Massachusetts, but very localized snow squalls are possible across the entire region. Any snow squall that is able to develop will bring the potential for very brief heavy snow with poor visibility and slippery roads. In addition, brief 40-50 mph wind gusts are possible mid to late afternoon as the arctic front moves through. The best chance for these stronger gusts will be over the higher terrain. While snow squalls are not expected to be widespread across our region...they have the potential to result in very localized hazardous travel so motorists should be prepared. good times! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Coldest El Nino is 1976 (2nd coldest overall)....so that's a check for great winter column. But then the next 3 are pretty meh....1972, 1997, and 1951. '72-'73 sucked, '97-'98 was bad, and '51-'52 was merely just decent. Then next two are 1965 (very good) and 1939 (dogcrap). 97-98 was normal to slightly above normal snowfall up here...plus we had the big ice storm too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 The 1997-1998 El nino was a strong one, This is a weak el nino so some of those years aren't good analogs to work with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 Yea that was detrimental to my eyeballs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 Need to get rid of those cutters need more coastals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 Just now, leo2000 said: Need to get rid of those cutters need more coastals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 The Snow Squall Warnings flying like severe t-storm warnings are interesting. Radar indicated dangerous snow squalls. The National Weather Service in Binghamton has issued a * Snow Squall Warning for... Oneida County in central New York... Northwestern Madison County in central New York... Central Cayuga County in central New York... Onondaga County in central New York... * Until 1145 AM EST. * At 1050 AM EST, a dangerous snow squall was located along a line extending from near Forestport to near Cicero, moving southeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...Poor visibility in heavy snow and blowing snow. Wind gusts greater than 30 mph. A quick inch or so of snow could fall in about 30 minutes. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Dangerous life-threatening travel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 We squall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 Should we have an arctic front and snow squalls as well as Ocean Effect Snow observations thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 4 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Should we have an arctic front and snow squalls as well as Ocean Effect Snow observations thread? Made a thread... https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/51739-1121-1122-coldsnow-shower-obs/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 8 minutes ago, powderfreak said: The Snow Squall Warnings flying like severe t-storm warnings are interesting. Radar indicated dangerous snow squalls. The National Weather Service in Binghamton has issued a * Snow Squall Warning for... Oneida County in central New York... Northwestern Madison County in central New York... Central Cayuga County in central New York... Onondaga County in central New York... * Until 1145 AM EST. * At 1050 AM EST, a dangerous snow squall was located along a line extending from near Forestport to near Cicero, moving southeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...Poor visibility in heavy snow and blowing snow. Wind gusts greater than 30 mph. A quick inch or so of snow could fall in about 30 minutes. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Dangerous life-threatening travel. I think they should be called Ginxdex warnings. That way you'll be prepared for the squalls and a nude middle aged guy from SE CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Made a thread... https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/51739-1121-1122-coldsnow-shower-obs/ Thanks, I saw it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 What a pattern next week. If you want a stalled/slow moving, intense Nor’ Easter this is the setup to get one... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 6 minutes ago, jbenedet said: What a pattern next week. If you want a stalled/slow moving, intense Nor’ Easter this is the setup to get one... rain? snow? kitchen sink? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Ginxy froze thy nickers on his first annual ski trip that March! Nice , FYI Dec will indeed rock ASOUT, belly to belly welcome to 02/03 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 38 minutes ago, mreaves said: I think they should be called Ginxdex warnings. That way you'll be prepared for the squalls and a nude middle aged guy from SE CT Lol windsexy is much more appropriate. Middle age has passed MR Eaves 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 33 minutes ago, jbenedet said: What a pattern next week. If you want a stalled/slow moving, intense Nor’ Easter this is the setup to get one... Dec 92? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 Next week still seems like more a liquid scenario to me. We’ll need the 6z evolution or the 12z NORLUN from hell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 1 hour ago, leo2000 said: Need to get rid of those cutters need more coastals. Your cutter is our coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Next week still seems like more a liquid scenario to me. We’ll need the 6z evolution or the 12z NORLUN from hell. lol that really was quite the depiction. Measuring with a yardstick haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 58 minutes ago, Hoth said: Your cutter is our coastal. Not always I have seen you guys getting hit by a coastal then we would also get hit afterwards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 Boy if we had any cold air next week. Euro pops a nice coastal low near BM with tons of moisture for Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 Close, But the mtns of NNE would be inline to cash again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: Close, But the mtns of NNE would be inline to cash again. does this look like a situation where a trend colder as we get closer or warmer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 A heavy NORLUN watch is in effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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