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Median to above confidence for moderate (major?) impact event, midweek

Typhoon Tip

By Typhoon Tip,
in New England

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tamarack

tamarack

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, WthrJunkyME said:

First time all winter I feel locked in for some great snow and Thursday happens to be my birthday!  Unfortunately, I suffered a heart attack Saturday night.  Thank you to dryslot’s neighbors in Lewiston for saving my sorry ass!  Proud owner of two stents, no restrictions, feel great and will be blowing snow Thursday. :D  I am in complete awe of medical science right now.

Not fun.  Two months ago today I had an a-fib episode (heart rate cycling between 70 and 170 every 3-4 minutes - my normal is 48-50) that earned me a very bumpy meatwagon ride and two nights in hospital with lots of tests, plus a heart cath the following Friday.  Did the symptoms start at midday that windy and bitter Saturday (my max was -6) while I was chopping away the solid 3-4 ft deep plow pile so we could get mail delivery?  Of course not.  It was 8 hours later as I sat at the dining room table addressing envelopes.  However, I got away lots easier than you did.  After the cath, the specialists (and later visits with the cardiologist) recommended no invasive procedures, just meds and staying alert.  The cardiologist also noted that for folks with sleep apnea (like me - I use a CPAP every night), a-fib is a question of when, not if.  Later I talked with my older - by 3 years - brother on his 75th birthday, and found out he'd had some a-fib episodes as well, and his rate spiked to over 180.  (All our lives he's been able to beat me at almost everything, except deer hunting and that's only because I live in the woods and he spent 28 years traveling all over with the Army COE.)

Comment on the bypass - My wife had a heart attack 10+ years ago, near complete blockage of the left coronary artery.  We had 30 minutes notice before she headed in for a double bypass.  (Heart surgeon said later that even the smallest clot and there would've been no chance of survival.)  That was October of 2007 and she's been symptom free ever since.  May you do even better.  There are too few Maine peeps on this board - we can't afford to lose any.  ;)

And I'm looking forward to the 12-18" that GYX is currently predicting for my area.  In my 19 previous March snows, I've had 15"+ just twice, 8 days apart late month in 2001.  It's time for #3.

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TalcottWx

TalcottWx

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Hoth said:

It makes me feel better to see it is sleeting down in VA right now with temps in the mid 40s. The upper levels are much colder this go round. With dynamics, I think we'll do better.

Doesn't really have much to do with our storm besides the general fact we have much colder temps aloft. So yes, it's great to see sleet vs rain, but we have to hope it translates to the coastal 

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powderfreak

powderfreak

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm Not saying it' right or wrong...just mentioned it. Still a good storm there.

18z GFS does it too..  Not saying its right but load is blown western SNE and then up in your area up into NH/ME.

Berkshires are destroyed this run.  No thermal issues and great moisture feed into the terrain.

Xsi0qMf.png

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JC-CT

JC-CT

Posted
Posted
Just now, powderfreak said:

18z GFS does it too over NE CT.  Not saying its right but load is blown western SNE and then up in your area up into NH/ME.

Well if it's right it doesn't matter, now does it. Snowfall will end up looking like the last storm lol

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Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Wrong..

Forcing and lift explodes over NYC and sw CT, before shunting east, then lifting up over e MA again. 

Get a clue.

Here your clue, of course there is a redevelopment of lift, what we are talking about is the QPF depiction location is forever wrong every time, can you follow the CTRIVER valley here all the way to VT. Stop being a know it all dick, cuz you dont. There is down sloping also involved

qpf_acc.us_ne.png

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40/70 Benchmark

40/70 Benchmark

Posted
Posted
Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Here your clue, of course there is a redevelopment of lift, what we are talking about is the QPF depiction location is forever wrong every time, can you follow the CTRIVER valley here all the way to VT. Stop being a know it all dick, cuz you dont. There is down sloping also involved

I think the model knows where the valley is. That is not because of elevation. You would think someone so tech savvy relative to his age would be better schooled in this.

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Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think the model knows where the valley is. That is not because of elevation. You would think someone so tech savvy relative to his age would be better schooled in this.

again it happens every time, it shows a minimum displaced east, climo dude. I understand the redeveloping forcing but lol we are talking .25 qpf displaced east. Your age discrimination is displaced, many  people my age are teaching your age code.

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40/70 Benchmark

40/70 Benchmark

Posted
Posted
Just now, Ginx snewx said:

again it happens every time, it shows a minimum displaced east, climo dude. I understand the redeveloping forcing but lol we are talking .25 qpf displaced east.

I'v seen the mimimum correctly placed squarely over the valley with a local maxima over Kevin quite often.

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78Blizzard

78Blizzard

Posted
Posted
27 minutes ago, erfus said:

 

This is a couple hours old, but...

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=pmdhmd

 

Per BTV:

"The guidance has come into better agreement and the solutions lie fairly clustered in regards to the low track, with a slight westward trend over the past couple of runs. The European model (ecmwf) continues to be a southern outlier and has generally been disregarded for this package. The 12z GFS was just a touch further west than the NAM and the Canadian, and thereby is a bit warmer. Have stayed close to a model blend to account for these small but potentially significant differences."

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powderfreak

powderfreak

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Tension

I just picture back in the 1800s a weather weenie gets 10" of snow and is all giddy and happy walking around getting thy knickers wet.... then someone rides in on horseback talking about how where they just came from got half thy yardstick covered.  The weenie is like oh that's interesting.  Then the mail horse rides in and is like we were over yonder in Bos-Town and the snow was up to thy nutsack.  Then the weenie spends the rest of the day angrily chopping wood, cursing his screw zone.  He was all pleased with his snowstorm until he found out what what happened else where.

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