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Median to above confidence for moderate (major?) impact event, midweek


Typhoon Tip

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3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm Not saying it' right or wrong...just mentioned it. Still a good storm there.

18z GFS does it too..  Not saying its right but load is blown western SNE and then up in your area up into NH/ME.

Berkshires are destroyed this run.  No thermal issues and great moisture feed into the terrain.

Xsi0qMf.png

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Just now, powderfreak said:

18z GFS does it too over NE CT.  Not saying its right but load is blown western SNE and then up in your area up into NH/ME.

Well if it's right it doesn't matter, now does it. Snowfall will end up looking like the last storm lol

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5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Wrong..

Forcing and lift explodes over NYC and sw CT, before shunting east, then lifting up over e MA again. 

Get a clue.

Here your clue, of course there is a redevelopment of lift, what we are talking about is the QPF depiction location is forever wrong every time, can you follow the CTRIVER valley here all the way to VT. Stop being a know it all dick, cuz you dont. There is down sloping also involved

qpf_acc.us_ne.png

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Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Here your clue, of course there is a redevelopment of lift, what we are talking about is the QPF depiction location is forever wrong every time, can you follow the CTRIVER valley here all the way to VT. Stop being a know it all dick, cuz you dont. There is down sloping also involved

I think the model knows where the valley is. That is not because of elevation. You would think someone so tech savvy relative to his age would be better schooled in this.

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2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think the model knows where the valley is. That is not because of elevation. You would think someone so tech savvy relative to his age would be better schooled in this.

again it happens every time, it shows a minimum displaced east, climo dude. I understand the redeveloping forcing but lol we are talking .25 qpf displaced east. Your age discrimination is displaced, many  people my age are teaching your age code.

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27 minutes ago, erfus said:

Per BTV:

"The guidance has come into better agreement and the solutions lie fairly clustered in regards to the low track, with a slight westward trend over the past couple of runs. The European model (ecmwf) continues to be a southern outlier and has generally been disregarded for this package. The 12z GFS was just a touch further west than the NAM and the Canadian, and thereby is a bit warmer. Have stayed close to a model blend to account for these small but potentially significant differences."

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6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Tension

I just picture back in the 1800s a weather weenie gets 10" of snow and is all giddy and happy walking around getting thy knickers wet.... then someone rides in on horseback talking about how where they just came from got half thy yardstick covered.  The weenie is like oh that's interesting.  Then the mail horse rides in and is like we were over yonder in Bos-Town and the snow was up to thy nutsack.  Then the weenie spends the rest of the day angrily chopping wood, cursing his screw zone.  He was all pleased with his snowstorm until he found out what what happened else where.

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3 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

I just picture back in the 1800s a weather weenie gets 10" of snow and is all giddy and happy walking around getting thy knickers wet.... then someone rides in on horseback talking about how where they just came from got half thy yardstick covered.  The weenie is like oh that's interesting.  Then the mail horse rides in and is like we were over yonder in Bos-Town and the snow was up to thy nutsack.  Then the weenie spends the rest of the day angrily chopping wood, cursing his screw zone.  He was all pleased with his snowstorm until he found out what what happened else where.

Jackpot fetishes have been around for generations

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3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

I certainly do. That's 15 plus for Fairfield County.

Living on the edge of all the guidance.

We’re fine dood. Still like our 10-16” call from merrit on north. If things break well I can see lollies of 18-20” in lucky spots. 

Doesnt mean we dont tickle the sleet line but thats playing with fire, how we like it.

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3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

We’re fine dood. Still like our 10-16” call from merrit on north. If things break well I can see lollies of 18-20” in lucky spots. 

Doesnt mean we dont tickle the sleet line but thats playing with fire, how we like it.

I hope our coastal friends score big too like the RGEM.

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