powderfreak Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 How the hell is the GFS that warm at 925mb with that track. SFC low is over like MVY at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 It's still warm at 925. But obviously encouraging to go from track over land to the islands in one run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm Not saying it' right or wrong...just mentioned it. Still a good storm there. How worried are you about mixing or dry slot up that way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Euler Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 What a stunning image! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Nothing I mean zero to do with forcing, apparently Wrong.. Forcing and lift explodes over NYC and sw CT, before shunting east, then lifting up over e MA again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: How worried are you about mixing or dry slot up that way? Worried...some guidance shows that. Possibility. But I'm hopeful I'll do ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm Not saying it' right or wrong...just mentioned it. Still a good storm there. 18z GFS does it too.. Not saying its right but load is blown western SNE and then up in your area up into NH/ME. Berkshires are destroyed this run. No thermal issues and great moisture feed into the terrain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: 18z GFS does it too over NE CT. Not saying its right but load is blown western SNE and then up in your area up into NH/ME. Yes, it' not the topographical minimum often seen in the CTRV....we are all privy to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, powderfreak said: 18z GFS does it too over NE CT. Not saying its right but load is blown western SNE and then up in your area up into NH/ME. Well if it's right it doesn't matter, now does it. Snowfall will end up looking like the last storm lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Wrong.. Forcing and lift explodes over NYC and sw CT, before shunting east, then lifting up over e MA again. Get a clue. Here your clue, of course there is a redevelopment of lift, what we are talking about is the QPF depiction location is forever wrong every time, can you follow the CTRIVER valley here all the way to VT. Stop being a know it all dick, cuz you dont. There is down sloping also involved Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Tension Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: Tension Are you trying to steal my mid level forcing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 9 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Tolland County is the second one in from RI right? Its depends on where the snow jack is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Here your clue, of course there is a redevelopment of lift, what we are talking about is the QPF depiction location is forever wrong every time, can you follow the CTRIVER valley here all the way to VT. Stop being a know it all dick, cuz you dont. There is down sloping also involved I think the model knows where the valley is. That is not because of elevation. You would think someone so tech savvy relative to his age would be better schooled in this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: Tension Lol , hopefully this redevelops in the GOM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 GFS really whacks the Berkshires. N ORH naso much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think the model knows where the valley is. That is not because of elevation. You would think someone so tech savvy relative to his age would be better schooled in this. again it happens every time, it shows a minimum displaced east, climo dude. I understand the redeveloping forcing but lol we are talking .25 qpf displaced east. Your age discrimination is displaced, many people my age are teaching your age code. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: GFS really whacks the Berkshires. N ORH naso much Doesn't it show 1.0-1.4" in northern ORH County for QPF? Did expectations get that high? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Just now, Ginx snewx said: again it happens every time, it shows a minimum displaced east, climo dude. I understand the redeveloping forcing but lol we are talking .25 qpf displaced east. I'v seen the mimimum correctly placed squarely over the valley with a local maxima over Kevin quite often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 i am praying selfishly for a GFS solution, reality is save a horse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 27 minutes ago, erfus said: This is a couple hours old, but... http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=pmdhmd Per BTV: "The guidance has come into better agreement and the solutions lie fairly clustered in regards to the low track, with a slight westward trend over the past couple of runs. The European model (ecmwf) continues to be a southern outlier and has generally been disregarded for this package. The 12z GFS was just a touch further west than the NAM and the Canadian, and thereby is a bit warmer. Have stayed close to a model blend to account for these small but potentially significant differences." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Tension I just picture back in the 1800s a weather weenie gets 10" of snow and is all giddy and happy walking around getting thy knickers wet.... then someone rides in on horseback talking about how where they just came from got half thy yardstick covered. The weenie is like oh that's interesting. Then the mail horse rides in and is like we were over yonder in Bos-Town and the snow was up to thy nutsack. Then the weenie spends the rest of the day angrily chopping wood, cursing his screw zone. He was all pleased with his snowstorm until he found out what what happened else where. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Fisher fully embracing the dryslot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Man nice 1.5” swath thru here now on the GFS is it’s all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 39 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Oh how we pray...... I certainly do. That's 15 plus for Fairfield County. Living on the edge of all the guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said: Fisher fully embracing the dryslot. of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I just picture back in the 1800s a weather weenie gets 10" of snow and is all giddy and happy walking around getting thy knickers wet.... then someone rides in on horseback talking about how where they just came from got half thy yardstick covered. The weenie is like oh that's interesting. Then the mail horse rides in and is like we were over yonder in Bos-Town and the snow was up to thy nutsack. Then the weenie spends the rest of the day angrily chopping wood, cursing his screw zone. He was all pleased with his snowstorm until he found out what what happened else where. Jackpot fetishes have been around for generations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: I certainly do. That's 15 plus for Fairfield County. Living on the edge of all the guidance. We’re fine dood. Still like our 10-16” call from merrit on north. If things break well I can see lollies of 18-20” in lucky spots. Doesnt mean we dont tickle the sleet line but thats playing with fire, how we like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 Harvey sticking with the GFS. 1-2" Boston south, 2-4" 128 into Northern RI, 4-6" NW RI into Worcester/NH border. 6-12" NH/W MA lolli's to 12+ Monad's/Berks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 6, 2018 Share Posted March 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We’re fine dood. Still like our 10-16” call from merrit on north. If things break well I can see lollies of 18-20” in lucky spots. Doesnt mean we dont tickle the sleet line but thats playing with fire, how we like it. I hope our coastal friends score big too like the RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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