78Blizzard Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 The NAM shows the 0C 925 line moving over my area at 0z from the West, yet the GFS shows it moving over at 0z but coming from the NE. Something isn't right here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 4 minutes ago, powderfreak said: One thing that's sort of interesting for parts of CT in this, and I'm not trying to debbie anyone, just speaking what is being shown is that the firehose is north of CT when it is at it's longest fetch. Then as the firehose slides south it seems to be more tied to Eastern New England when the dynamic cooling really takes over. The HRRRX actually looks to flip the coastal plain in Mass over a bit before say the high terrain of NE CT just because of the precip rates. As it slides south and rots tomorrow evening/night it seems to keep the firehose precip band more in E.MA/RI. It'll be interesting to see it develop and could lead to what some were speculating as sort of a gap in snowfall somewhere in there. As once the best thermals move in, the precip band is up north and then curls SE. I am somewhat optimistic for some snow here based on what you have illustrated. Several major models now show something in that neighborhood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I am somewhat optimistic for some snow here based on what you have illustrated. Several major models now show something in that neighborhood A sort of local maximum in E.MA south of BOS is starting to make sense to me if these progs are on the right idea. The moisture feed seems to become more tied to within a certain distance from the ocean tomorrow evening, and although you guys don't have the elevation, you are in some seriously steady precipitation of just constant 0.1-0.2" per hour type stuff after the column has cooled aloft. Sort of like the RGEM, it would argue for some decent possibility for a fun Friday night there for heavy wet snow. What are the elevations like in SE Mass? Anywhere get up near like 400-500ft? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 hour ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: I just called to ask about a closing date for night skiing and at this point there isn't one. Yeah. I just meant for Friday night. They should make it a little longer regardless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 14 minutes ago, powderfreak said: One thing that's sort of interesting for parts of CT in this, and I'm not trying to debbie anyone, just speaking what is being shown is that the firehose is north of CT when it is at it's longest fetch. Then as the firehose slides south it seems to be more tied to Eastern New England when the dynamic cooling really takes over. The HRRRX actually looks to flip the coastal plain in Mass over a bit before say the high terrain of NE CT just because of the precip rates. This thing just mauls E.MA though on this prog. As it slides south and rots tomorrow evening/night it seems to keep the firehose precip band more in E.MA/RI. It'll be interesting to see it develop and could lead to what some were speculating as sort of a gap in snowfall somewhere in there. As once the best thermals move in, the precip band is up north and then curls SE. So in your mind.. what amounts are you thinking around these parts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: A sort of local maximum in E.MA south of BOS is starting to make sense to me if these progs are on the right idea. The moisture feed seems to become more tied to within a certain distance from the ocean tomorrow evening, and although you guys don't have the elevation, you are in some seriously steady precipitation of just constant 0.1-0.2" per hour type stuff after the column has cooled aloft. Sort of like the RGEM, it would argue for some decent possibility for a fun Friday night there for heavy wet snow. What are the elevations like in SE Mass? Anywhere get up near like 400-500ft? Blue Hills just SW of Boston is 635 feet. Probably the best-elevated spot near the coast to watch. I don't see any place in SE Mass over 300 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, wxeyeNH said: Blue Hills just SW of Boston is 635 feet. Probably the best-elevated spot near the coast to watch. I don't see any place in SE Mass over 300 feet. Parts of Foxboro are near 300' near where people live. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Parts of Foxboro are near 300' near where people live. Moose Hill in Sharon has some decent el Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 9 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Yeah. I just meant for Friday night. They should make it a little longer regardless I was just curious as I know some places stop night skiing this weekend. Hopefully their are no weather issues next Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 My 'hood at 400 feet in Holliston could benefit well from that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 I'm assuming the NWS will issue a WWA for Hartford County. Their calling for 1-3" here in Enfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 17 minutes ago, powderfreak said: A sort of local maximum in E.MA south of BOS is starting to make sense to me if these progs are on the right idea. The moisture feed seems to become more tied to within a certain distance from the ocean tomorrow evening, and although you guys don't have the elevation, you are in some seriously steady precipitation of just constant 0.1-0.2" per hour type stuff after the column has cooled aloft. Sort of like the RGEM, it would argue for some decent possibility for a fun Friday night there for heavy wet snow. What are the elevations like in SE Mass? Anywhere get up near like 400-500ft? Maybe Sharon Foxboro area? Parts of Taunton rise to close to 200 feet in the prospect hill area... not to far from me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Maybe Sharon Foxboro area? Parts of Taunton rise to close to 200 feet in the prospect hill area... not to far from me. Moose Hill is 466’ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 17 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Blue Hills just SW of Boston is 635 feet. Probably the best-elevated spot near the coast to watch. I don't see any place in SE Mass over 300 feet. Tim Kelly said on the nooncast that the Blue Hill summit could get 10" while Boston gets an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Peeps pulling out as many inches of elevation as possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 18 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Moose Hill in Sharon has some decent el About 400 ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Peeps pulling out as many inches of elevation as possible. My 119' should help mightily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siker Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Ground is about 670’ but I live on the 2nd floor so I’m hoping that will push me over the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Peeps pulling out as many inches of elevation as possible. This is a storm where you really want to live in a 2-story house and not a ranch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, dendrite said: This is a storm where you really want to live in a 2-story house and not a ranch. A tree topper? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, dendrite said: This is a storm where you really want to live in a 2-story house and not a ranch. Thankfully, my attic is cozy too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, CT Rain said: A tree topper? Snow accumulating into Kevin’s poorly insulated bedroom window, yet melting on contact with LESCO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: My 119' should help mightily. 242 here east side of town for the win lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: This is a storm where you really want to live in a 2-story house and not a ranch. Lmaooo... I literally just burst into laughter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 BOX p n c has bumped up to 4-8 Friday, then 2-4” Friday night for me... 6-12” seems reasonable....but so does 2-3” or 10-20” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 4 minutes ago, CT Rain said: A tree topper? If I set up a tent on top of East Rock, you think I can pick up an inch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: BOX p n c has bumped up to 4-8 Friday, then 2-4” Friday night for me... 6-12” seems reasonable....but so does 2-3” or 10-20” 2-20” is fine, you can narrow the range once it starts snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 I don’t envy you guys in SNE forecasting this for a living tonight. What a crazy amount of uncertainty for just 12-24hrs before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 1, 2018 Author Share Posted March 1, 2018 Welp ...this will be a first for me. I've never seen a 525 DAM cold core low have problems snowing in a CCB ... not like this one will ... apparently. eh hm. It almost needs to find a rare set of circumstantial variables to cause a depth like that to ballast liquid. Perhaps this is one of those times... But I was talking to Harv and it almost pains us to have to concede to that - very strange... It would almost make sense if this thing had a core punch of snow close to those cold heights at the core, which means... a ptype ring circus. You could be snowing out in the Capital district...raining in between... with a snow ball rolling temporarily west under LI when the sfc low (probably) Fuji's during capture. Wouldn't that be an amazing rareness... I gotta wonder about a bigger wind storm potential... we have a 70 kt 925 mb jet coming dead-long on a west fist through heights that are unstable relative to these warm layers beneath. I'm wondering what surprises that may hold in store. Interesting. Oh..heh heh.. .right, Wind WARNING is foisted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 2-20” is fine, you can narrow the range once it starts snowing. BOX has the high end amount of 15” at FIT and 1” for the low end. Sounds about right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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