Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Looks like we may go 4-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 I may be completely off but it seems that the globals aren't seeing and picking up on the upper levels cooling as much as maybe the NAM is?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 going with 6-8" for my area.. if we can flip a little before 21z and keep going past 6z-8z with the small pieces of energy we might do even better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 I’m expecting 0.0, but would happily take a few inches of mashed potatoes following the storm surge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: going with 6-8" for my area.. if we can flip a little before 21z and keep going past 6z-8z with the small pieces of energy we might do even better Still not sure what exactly I'll do, but coming into focus a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 It also has the band too that the other models had, but not as robust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Still not sure what exactly I'll do, but coming into focus a bit more. I’d think 3-6” there. Glop too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Still not sure what exactly I'll do, but coming into focus a bit more. Man, it's really close to allot more.. i hope it trends a little cooler, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, Bostonseminole said: Man, it's really close to allot more.. i hope it trends a little cooler, This reminds me of the marginal call to end last season that I blew...April 1. Mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 The GFS is rather progressive. It did scoot out a bit quicker than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: The GFS is rather progressive. It did scoot out a bit quicker than 12z. as Ray said, seems every positive bring on a negative.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: as Ray said, seems every positive bring on a negative.. There is no margin for error, so it certainly seems that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Cop out range but I'd go 2-6'' final for eastern areas. Looks like .75''ish QPF as snow is the best case and ratios will sub 10:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 850's almost wire to wire outside 495 on 18z gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The GFS is rather progressive. It did scoot out a bit quicker than 12z. I love how we have a bomb taking a perfect track and being captured, yet it manages to remain progressive and stacks the vorticity on the se side of the ULL...while all the cold is on the other side of the globe. Cosmic dildo, anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The GFS is rather progressive. It did scoot out a bit quicker than 12z. Of course....there is always a counter punch....sign of a flawed synoptic playing field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 I think the issue on some of the models for areas north of me is that just as heights crash the best dynamics shift south and this is why you are seeing higher totals in SE areas. Whether this is true or not remains to be seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 The GFS is still a torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Well given the 18z stuff, I wouldn't really hop on one tick SE. Just my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, CT Rain said: The GFS is still a torch 1000 shades of suck...authored by the last 36 hour's worth of solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 What could have been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Yeah GFS sucked. I want to say it's showing the "usual southeast progressive bias", but I know that's a selectively applied flag. Best 12z/18z models for eastern SNE: 12k/3k NAM, followed by 18z RGEM. Specifically based on those, I'm still not sure if ceiling for Boston is 3-4" or 6-8"? Maybe even higher if flip timing is underestimated. We know where the floor is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Should be a good storm in the Berks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 29 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I happen to be in the area, gf giving me a bunch of s*** about leaving her to chase snow though lol. Reminds me of the time I was with my gf staying overnight when I was living in the south end circa February 1975. I had this loft with a great window. Anyway, I wake Sunday morning to heavy snow. I jump out of bed stark naked while she beckons me to return. I tell her I need to see the snow. Her fateful line “what’s more important, the snow or me”. When I refused to answer the light went on. Quick breakup thereafter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Reminds me of the time I was with my gf staying overnight when I was living in the south end circa February 1975. I had this loft with a great window. Anyway, I wake Sunday morning to heavy snow. I jump out of bed stark naked while she beckons me to return. I tell her I need to see the snow. Her fateful line “what’s more important, the snow or me”. When I refused to answer the light went on. Quick breakup thereafter. lol I've heard that line too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 7 minutes ago, CT Rain said: The GFS is still a torch What do you make of these RAP and HRRR runs in NW CT Berks , thats pretty insane so quick 15-20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 I dunno, look how cold the GFS gets at 850 at 21z. I can't buy the low level furnace as much as the GFS shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 12 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I think the issue on some of the models for areas north of me is that just as heights crash the best dynamics shift south and this is why you are seeing higher totals in SE areas. Whether this is true or not remains to be seen. Yup... exactly. It’s not impossible that happens though. Make no mistake, that is well within the possibilities of what will happen. A lot of models have that little finger of accumulation nosing down into SE Mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: What do you make of these RAP and HRRR runs in NW CT Berks , thats pretty insane so quick 15-20 Possible - I've been mentioning a tick colder and it's more than a foot about 1kft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Possible - I've been mentioning a tick colder and it's more than a foot about 1kft damn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.