Baroclinic Zone Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 She's looking good to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Really compressed precip field compared to 6z. Given the u-wind anomalies, I'd toss that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: She's looking good to me. Did you move to NJ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Looks like crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 That's quite a bit further south with the lift in western NY... I think most would want to see it get pretty far into NY given the shunt that happens as it gains longitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like crap. It's warm too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 But hey, Whats a 100 mile shift SE at the surface in 1 run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 H5 did not look as good as 6z imo as it came of the coast, less dynamics maybe.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Luckily the gfs just made a huge jump in the right direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 0.00" QPF for CEF lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like crap. Where did it focus the offshore energy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 The Nam could fuk up a one car funeral. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 “NAM is like a box of chocolates-ya never know what you’re gonna get” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 27, 2018 Author Share Posted February 27, 2018 yup... zactly as I predicted ... came in paltry by comparison... now comes the dark hours waiting on the Euro - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Just now, dryslot said: The Nam could fuk up a one car funeral. Or it could be a correction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Serenity now! (Insanity later) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Why should this storm bomb south of long island? Am I missing something? Its a bowling ball pattern as the storm gets shunted south of the block, not that it matters much since the airmass is beyond stale and maritime. I am not understanding the hype with this storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Just now, sbos_wx said: Luckily the gfs just made a huge jump in the right direction I love this time of entertainment... for all the relentless GFS bashing that happens in this forum, it's the one holding the key right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 At least that would be an easy clean up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like crap. disaster of disasters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 No snow for anyone in the northeast except for some in PA If only we had cold air in place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 It's never the same thing/similar thing twice with that model lol...always wild swings.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 as i soon as i consider driving for the event, the Nam takes me from 15 inches to zero smh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: It's never the same thing/similar thing twice with that model lol...always wild swings.. We went from like 3" qpf with more to come at 6z to .5" at 12z. Gotta love the consistency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Or it could be a correction. Its possible towards some of the other globals, It looked like it would have a sooner faster phase over the upper ohio valley only to close off further south and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 why folks so worry about the NAM, let's see what the rest of the guidance shows.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Just now, dryslot said: Its possible towards some of the other globals, It looked like it would have a sooner faster phase over the upper ohio valley only to close off further south and east. Ya, what happened Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 So what initially looked like what would be a good solution ended up looking like the Euro. Lead southern s/w shoots out ahead not allowing for a sooner/cleaner phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Ya, what happened The northern stream looked like it was weaker in the later panels which allowed the southern s/w to get out ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 27, 2018 Author Share Posted February 27, 2018 Just now, qg_omega said: Why should this storm bomb south of long island? Am I missing something? Its a bowling ball pattern as the storm gets shunted south of the block, not that it matters much since the airmass is beyond stale and maritime. I am not understanding the hype with this storm? It's conditional ...that's why. There's been a dearth of excitement in the weather world... really since the January white hurricane ... and so, the mania that is pretty much the entire Meteorological community of hoi polloi, enthusiasts and even some professions ... is in withdraw symptoms and particularly ready to pounce on potentials - to which ... this is/was. Add to that vulnerability, there have been sporadic model cycles from both dependable and non-dependable model for historic this or that .. all saddled beneath a deep point in a negative NAO burst ... something we have/had not seen in quite some time, which only adds to the fever pitch of the dystopian drug. I'm being snarky/sarcastic to some degree, yes... however, there is some truth to all that. People that engage in this stuff can become a bit prone and thus persuaded by matters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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