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lilj4425

The December to Remember 7th-8th blue turd winter threat thread.

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23 minutes ago, WarmNose said:

Bobby Mac said pingers on the radio 

"Bobby Mac" - that guy needs to retire - I've never heard a more cliche-filled radio show in my life - he is awful - BTW, Bobby Mac's/WORD's "weather" is just as bad - canned, robotic responses from someone out-of-state

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53 minutes ago, HWY316wx said:

I am just going to leave this right here.

Ryan.JPG

This is one of those cases where there could be a narrow band that over performs quite a bit vs most folks. Right now I'm thinking a general 1 to 3 inches very slushy inches is the most likely outcome for most folks.. especially around lagrange, carrolton, newnan, through atlanta and up to maybe gainesville...thanks in part to surface temps possibly getting to and even below freezing..which higher resolution models have been showing...which makes a big difference compared to snow and 33/34. 

 

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Local news station here in Augusta projecting .3" here through Saturday morning. Not sure what model they use but it looked like Augusta is on the southeastern fringe of the frozen precip band.

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12 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

And the 18Z NavGEM looks more west than the 12.  At least we know some models, even if it’s the bad ones aren’t giving in  

Wow...closed southern upper low.

navgem_z500a_us_10.png

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This is one of those cases where there could be a narrow band that over performs quite a bit vs most folks. Right now I'm thinking a general 1 to 3 inches very slushy inches is the most likely outcome for most folks.. especially around lagrange, carrolton, newnan, through atlanta and up to maybe gainesville...thanks in part to surface temps possibly getting to and even below freezing..which higher resolution models have been showing...which makes a big difference compared to snow and 33/34. 

 

Great insight Lookout. Model run to model run will create madness. I'm in Athens and the models are less intense. Really, IMO, a narrow band will set up.

Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk

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Chris Justice is about to delve into what's on the way here in the upstate. Whatever he says here in the next 5 minutes is set in stone. Snow or no snow, it all hinges on what Chris Justice says

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Just now, WarmNose said:

Chris Justice is about to delve into what's on the way here in the upstate. Whatever he says here in the next 5 minutes is set in stone. Snow or no snow, it all hinges on what Chris Justice says

He said snow. Woooooooo

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2 minutes ago, WarmNose said:

Chris Justice is about to delve into what's on the way here in the upstate. Whatever he says here in the next 5 minutes is set in stone. Snow or no snow, it all hinges on what Chris Justice says

Think I’ll just stick to this forum and GSP NWS instead.

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18z CMC looks a little less amped, colder 850s and faster. Less precip inland and a little more suppressed. First image is 18z, second is 12z. 

29496364-1E16-4696-B7FE-ACF9B633389C.gif

B14E98F6-94F6-4422-A710-AE6AA2110F16.gif

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5 minutes ago, snowlover91 said:

18z CMC looks a little less amped, colder 850s and faster. Less precip inland and a little more suppressed. First image is 18z, second is 12z. 

29496364-1E16-4696-B7FE-ACF9B633389C.gif

B14E98F6-94F6-4422-A710-AE6AA2110F16.gif

I might be wrong but shouldn’t they have two different time stamps? They both say 66hrs.

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1 minute ago, lilj4425 said:

Shouldn’t they have two different time stamps? They both say 66hrs.

My bad, yes here’s the same timeframe from 12z run. A little less precip and more positively tilted. Not a huge difference but definitely there. 

A9C7F0F1-FDC7-4E31-846A-7E6B8BD1C2EE.gif

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It’s so odd how the NAVGEM is so amped up and has been for days. It’s notoriously a progressive model 

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I'm sold on this event. Temps and moisture should work out at some point.

As far as hazardous impact outside of the mountains, that I'm not sold on.

It's going to be nice to see a few flakes fly and maybe enough to make some snow balls in a few areas around I85.

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The precip shield on the models is still baffling me. Straight up razor blade cutoff with copious GOM moisture and some orographic lift east of the mtns. Does not compute lol.

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Just now, BIG FROSTY said:

I'm expecting to see a few flurries maybe a shower, why looking to my SE and seeing some real snow off in a distance!!! lol. Good luck down that way everybody!!!!  Be sure and post some pics..............

I wouldn't rule out a tick more than token flakes for us, Frosty! Watch this thing jog NW tomorrow. :)

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