tramadoc Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, shahroz98 said: Is there a warm nose near Atlanta or NE Ga ? Im new to some of this stiff so I can't really tell By the looks of the map posted that you questioned, it doesn't look like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, shahroz98 said: Is there a warm nose near Atlanta or NE Ga ? Im new to some of this stiff so I can't really tell Small hint at a warm nose on the SC GA border then it does something funny as you get up into east central NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 13 minutes ago, FallsLake said: From RAH: .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As of 305 PM Wednesday... ...Increasing chance of snow across portions of Central NC between midnight and 7 AM Saturday, with some accumulation on elevated and grassy surfaces possible... Friday and Friday Night: Central NC will be under the influence of deep southwesterly flow aloft as a strong upper level trough to the west swings eastward toward the region. Disturbances in the flow aloft will move over the area, resulting in periods of heavier precipitation. At the surface, Central NC will be sandwiched between the stalled front off the Mid-Atlantic coast and high pressure ridging eastward from the west. With the high in an unfavorable location, the best push of cold air will likely get hung up along the mountains. Expect much of the precipitation to fall as rain, especially early on. Despite the delayed CAA, strong lift in a saturated dendritic growth zone will likely result in precipitation rates strong enough for snow to occur where temperatures are in the 32-36 degree range. This will be an event where the cold air is chasing the precipitation, thus expect most of the precipitation to fall as liquid. Liquid equivalent precipitation totals will range from less than a quarter of an inch in the northwest to nearly 1.75 inches in the southeast. Given the warm ground and boundary layer, snow will have a difficult time accumulating except for on elevated and grassy surfaces and under high precipitation rates. Generally less than an inch of snow is expected at this time, primarily between midnight and 7 AM Saturday. Best chances for accumulating snow along a line from Lexington to Burlington to Roanoke Rapids, generally be along and west of US-1. Highs on Friday in the low to mid 40s with overnight lows in the upper 20s NW to mid 30s SE. Temps are not expected to fall below freezing in the Triad until after midnight. Saturday through Wednesday: As the strong upper disturbance swings through the region Saturday morning, the main precipitation axis will shift east of the area. At the surface, in the wake of the disturbance aloft, west-northwest flow will advect strong cold air into Central NC ahead of a secondary strong vort max aloft diving southward over the area. Saturday and Sunday will be the coldest days Central NC has had in a while, with highs in the low to mid 40s and overnight lows in the low to mid 20s (possibly dipping below 20 in outlying areas Sunday night). Generally dry weather expected for the remainder of the period although a few sprinkles/flurries early next week cannot be ruled out. Temperatures will moderate a bit Monday and Tuesday before another cold front moves through the area. && Doing a double take on the Hwy 1 corridor with the cities mentioned because they don't square....unless RAH NWS means the space in between Hwy 1 and a virtual line drawn connecting those cities Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 RGEM looks similar through 33, maybe a little slower and a tick further south with SLP placement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 A few other EPS means: Davidson: 2.6" Lexington: 3" Asheboro: 3.7" Raleigh: 2.5" CLT: 2.8" 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdevil Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Wow, I cannot believe how good this is looking for Atlanta. This is one of the more sneakier snow storms I have seen in years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 RGEM looks maybe a bit lighter this run. Not much difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow haven Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 4 minutes ago, CaryWx said: Doing a double take on the Hwy 1 corridor with the cities mentioned because they don't square....unless RAH NWS means the space in between Hwy 1 and a virtual line drawn connecting those cities Right? Hwy 1 goes right through Rockingham and im looking at just rain as well as some counties to the west of me Anson, Union... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 I am just going to leave this right here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 RGEM look solid for the ATL... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Wintry mix being reported in Spartanburg..foreshadowing for an over performer this weekend? Hmm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajr Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 9 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: A few other EPS means: Davidson: 2.6" Lexington: 3" Asheboro: 3.7" Raleigh: 2.5" CLT: 2.8" I just don’t see how Raleigh’s temp profile supports anything the models are spitting out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 1 minute ago, WarmNose said: Wintry mix being reported in Spartanburg..foreshadowing for an over performer this weekend? Hmm It's 47 in Spartanburg man--what's mixing in with it exactly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhart Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Any chance we get a little more north and get BHM anything? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 1 minute ago, ajr said: I just don’t see how Raleigh’s temp profile supports anything the models are spitting out going to have wet grass and wet roads, little to nothing will stick outside of car tops and elevated surfaces. model sees .2" qpf falling as snow and paints it on a clown map that people get excited about when .18" of that qpf will melt as soon as it makes contact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shahroz98 Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, DopplerWx said: going to have wet grass and wet roads, little to nothing will stick outside of car tops and elevated surfaces. model sees .2" qpf falling as snow and paints it on a clown map that people get excited about when .18" of that qpf will melt as soon as it makes contact. My local mets in Atlanta are now starting to talk about the potential. One of them is saying 1/2 to 1 inch for now. Its a good sign IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Out to 27 GFS may be more suppressed than 12Z run.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 6 minutes ago, CaryWx said: It's 47 in Spartanburg man--what's mixing in with it exactly? Bobby Mac said pingers on the radio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 6, 2017 Author Share Posted December 6, 2017 7 minutes ago, CaryWx said: It's 47 in Spartanburg man--what's mixing in with it exactly? Sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow haven Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 7 minutes ago, CaryWx said: It's 47 in Spartanburg man--what's mixing in with it exactly? also reported light sleet in Fuquay at 48 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Out to 27 GFS may be more suppressed than 12Z run.. Thats the trend right now... suppressed and more east.... doesnt look like this will be what we were hoping for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Its very similar to 12Z run thru hr 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Just now, BornAgain13 said: Thats the trend right now... suppressed and more east.... doesnt look like this will be what we were hoping for. Not sure what you're watching. May want to turn the channel. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 The GFS is all by itself right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 It's embarrassing we have an American model as bad as the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Its fair to say the UKMET could be as out to lunch as the GFS with its extreme solution 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 GFS still a crappy outlier. Idk how any Met could use the GFS to blend any sort of forecast right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 18z GFS precip axis shifted NW over the gulf coast with the sharper trough. Still east of everyone else but giving it an A for effort. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Snowmap (more like dry/wet ground map) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 6 minutes ago, WarmNose said: GFS still a crappy outlier. Idk how any Met could use the GFS to blend any sort of forecast right now The GFSux. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now