SN_Lover

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  1. Climo always wins. Climo says the ridge is over amplified and will weaken and this is a ots. Maybe this rare chance it's wrong. Also shear is 20kts over Dorian right now. Not conducive for strengthening.
  2. This could be a obstruction to Dorian!
  3. Just trying to give my scientific opinion viewpoint. I will try and be more detailed.
  4. That one. 63 degree dew point is very dry. It's still within the threshold.
  5. I think the downslope effect from CUBA is the cause for that dry air. Maybe CUBA is effecting this storm
  6. To the Southwest. It's the yellow color. SAL is also increasing.
  7. There is a blob of dry air to the South. That's why we are witness to the "hook".
  8. That's dry air mixing in, we saw this with Harvey also.
  9. It's still battling dry air and shear. I'm hoping this is a weakening trend! The ridge has trended towards a recurve too.
  10. Dry air and shear really doing a number on Dorian. As long as we have that convective burst to the East, don't see this going through RI. Rather see a ragged storm than a structured one at this point and the future.
  11. Going straight for Mexico City Beach again on the European. Wow.
  12. Florida dumped the strict Miami building code also. This will be another test in 2 years to see if it was the right choice.
  13. Can confirm after driven in that area that it is 60% or more swamp.