• Member Statistics

    16,120
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    ISeekSnow
    Newest Member
    ISeekSnow
    Joined
Sign in to follow this  
Jonathan

Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent

Recommended Posts

9 hours ago, jburns said:

My wife just said that all we need is wine and toilet paper.

COSTCO yesterday...kinda weird seeing multiple baskets that looked just like mine. Kirkland paper towels, Charmin TP (can’t skimp for Kirkland on that) and bottles of wine .

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Looks like GSP has backed way off on snow totals here, was 5-11” last night, now just 4”. Discussion sounds unsure, but heavily weighted taking NAM warm nose into account.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, lilj4425 said:

And burrel2 drags me back in. :gun_bandana:

The plot has definitely thickened. Both of the Hi-res short range models are in lock-step with each other, (hrr and rap).

Both of those models have walhalla to pickens to travelers rest with an isothermal all snow sounding starting at midnight through about 4 or 5 am before they would transition to sleet.

From clemson to easley to DT greenville... both models have us going from rain to sleet around midnight and staying sleet for the rest of the storm. These models also are only .2 ish degree's away from being isothermal from midnight to 4am... the difference between isothermal and not for those 4 hours will be the difference between 5 or 6 inches of snow or 1 inch of sleet.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, burrel2 said:

The plot has definitely thickened. Both of the Hi-res short range models are in lock-step with each other, (hrr and rap).

Both of those models have walhalla to pickens to travelers rest with an isothermal all snow sounding starting at midnight through about 4 or 5 am before they would transition to sleet.

From clemson to easley to DT greenville... both models have us going from rain to sleet around midnight and staying sleet for the rest of the storm. These models also are only .2 ish degree's away from being isothermal from midnight to 4am... the difference between isothermal and not for those 4 hours will be the difference between 5 or 6 inches of snow or 1 inch of sleet.

.2!?!?!? Talk about a tough forecast for GSP...yeesh.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, burrel2 said:

The plot has definitely thickened. Both of the Hi-res short range models are in lock-step with each other, (hrr and rap).

Both of those models have walhalla to pickens to travelers rest with an isothermal all snow sounding starting at midnight through about 4 or 5 am before they would transition to sleet.

From clemson to easley to DT greenville... both models have us going from rain to sleet around midnight and staying sleet for the rest of the storm. These models also are only .2 ish degree's away from being isothermal from midnight to 4am... the difference between isothermal and not for those 4 hours will be the difference between 5 or 6 inches of snow or 1 inch of sleet.

Its mostly likely snow with those rates. If this was just a normal event I would say you guys are sol.  

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, burrel2 said:

The plot has definitely thickened. Both of the Hi-res short range models are in lock-step with each other, (hrr and rap).

Both of those models have walhalla to pickens to travelers rest with an isothermal all snow sounding starting at midnight through about 4 or 5 am before they would transition to sleet.

From clemson to easley to DT greenville... both models have us going from rain to sleet around midnight and staying sleet for the rest of the storm. These models also are only .2 ish degree's away from being isothermal from midnight to 4am... the difference between isothermal and not for those 4 hours will be the difference between 5 or 6 inches of snow or 1 inch of sleet.

I'm in Easley!:weep:

Actually I'm the very northern tip of Easley and usually a couple degrees colder than much of Easley and the 123 corridor - so maybe I have a shot (begging and pleading)? Verbatim though, I would get an inch of sleet while my parents 7 miles north would get 5-6 inches! Guess I'll have to take a trip to let the kiddos play. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, burrel2 said:

The plot has definitely thickened. Both of the Hi-res short range models are in lock-step with each other, (hrr and rap).

Both of those models have walhalla to pickens to travelers rest with an isothermal all snow sounding starting at midnight through about 4 or 5 am before they would transition to sleet.

From clemson to easley to DT greenville... both models have us going from rain to sleet around midnight and staying sleet for the rest of the storm. These models also are only .2 ish degree's away from being isothermal from midnight to 4am... the difference between isothermal and not for those 4 hours will be the difference between 5 or 6 inches of snow or 1 inch of sleet.

Friends don’t let friends get RAP’d or HRRR’d!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Short range models tend to go back and forth a lot with the warm nose and cold air push this close to the event. Remember seeing it happen a lot. 

And I guess I should post it here since it got deleted from the storm thread. :rolleyes:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I've just come to the sudden reallization that I'm a terrible parent. We had told our son it may snow today. He got up this morning and looked out of his window, then came into our room to dejectedly report "Daddy, all I see is rain." 

I tell you, teaching my son to be a snow lover AND a Gamecock fan while living in the upstate is setting him up for a life of heartache... what am I doing! :facepalm:

  • Like 1
  • Haha 3
  • Sad 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I love coming to this board every storm and seeing the same people put out the same comments about how this model performs better here and disregard this model as it doesn’t handle this feature well. 

Meanwhile, the Nam continually nails the majority of events and the warm nose is always more pronounced.  We’re always left at the end to come back and bash the models as if we were duped all along. Wherein the NAM was sounding the alarm at its proper time. 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
10 minutes ago, ryan1234 said:

The mods have already said if you can't back up your statements with valid facts then it's probably best to keep quiet and keep this kind of baseless blabbering to yourself. Yet... here you still are.  :rolleyes:

:wub:    :lol:   :wub:  

 

It's hard to keep up with all of the blabbering  :(   Thank you though for the giggle, I sure needed that  :hug: 

 

 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, buckeyefan1 said:

:wub:    :lol:   :wub:  

 

It's hard to keep up with all of the blabbering  :(   Thank you though for the giggle, I sure needed that  :hug: 

 

 

Haha! Glad I could be of service. I know you all are dealing with a lot atm, so I know it's easy to lose track of all the crap. I should have probably posted this in the sanitarium, to begin with, but it just really irked me. Good luck to all of the mods! :hug:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I miss you guys and all of the weather talk.   Tracking with anticipation was the fun of it regardless of how much snow I ever actually got.  Now living in DFW and the Central/Western states forum being my home base, there isn’t much to do.  Don’t think anyone has posted in the TX thread since Thursday.  

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
8 minutes ago, CaryWx said:

buckeye,  why did you wipe my post on the storm thread asking Doppler about the HRRR end of run time?

You do realize I'm not the only Mod/Black Ops Mod here right?    :rolleyes:     Most posts that are deleted for things people ask questions for, usually means if you read what has been posted your answer was probably answered already. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Can I hyperventilate here? That Euro run was amazing and my weenie mode is off the charts. That is all.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, bigdog_10_2002 said:

I love coming to this board every storm and seeing the same people put out the same comments about how this model performs better here and disregard this model as it doesn’t handle this feature well. 

Meanwhile, the Nam continually nails the majority of events and the warm nose is always more pronounced.  We’re always left at the end to come back and bash the models as if we were duped all along. Wherein the NAM was sounding the alarm at its proper time. 

 

Funny thing is, the NAM isn't even the warmest model. RGEM and GGEM are worse. New Euro also.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, WidreMann said:

Funny thing is, the NAM isn't even the warmest model. RGEM and GGEM are worse. New Euro also.

Yes. And I’d be afraid of the RGEM. It has done pretty good in the short term in most cases. I told my relatives in NC wo expect an ice storm on top of snow just in case. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
Sign in to follow this  

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.