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Waiting on snow

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Everything posted by Waiting on snow

  1. Waiting on snow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Yeah something tells me 2019 will even blow those years away. Maybe I should learn to love heat, if that's even possible.
  2. Waiting on snow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Now, just like winter, I guess we wait until the pattern change that we'll be teased with but never come.
  3. Waiting on snow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Looks like 99% of the temp maps for the se.
  4. Waiting on snow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Already starting off with a bang! Ridge breeds drought and drought strengthens ridge! I think we already know how this ends. Record shattering heat this summer will be the headlines.
  5. Waiting on snow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Take it to the bank! Models can nail a heatwave weeks in advance. It'll verify 100%.
  6. Waiting on snow

    Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent

    I would have though the same about CAE. Not the case though. After they received 16 inches in Feb 73 they didn't get anymore until they received 5.5 inches 6 years later in Feb 79. Then they got 3.5 Jan 2003 and didn't get anymore until 8.9 in Feb 2010. 7 years later!!! And there are multiple 4 and 5 year streaks back to 1960. Their snowfall pattern is roughly the same. Nobody can argue that the upstate has really fallen off since 93 or so though!
  7. Waiting on snow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    I give another win to the models! They said at day 7 Tuesday night wouldn't be a non event. They've done a fine job of telling us at day 7 its not gonna snow instead of day 3 this year. And the only storm we got inside 6 days panned out. I'm speaking for our part of the country only. Haven't paid attention to the overall verification of them.
  8. Waiting on snow

    Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent

    I know! I give the winter a C-. My rant was focused mostly on the people who complain about not getting snow but average 20 inches per year! They don't know how good they have it! And yes the hype this winter had expectations high. I was hoping for a double digit year. Would be the 1st since 93. And double digit years used to occur every three years or so up until then. That was the good ole days!
  9. Waiting on snow

    Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent

    Good riddance to this shit box winter. Tired of seeing the Mid Atlantic weenies cry all winter how bad their winters are. They always get snow its just a matter of time. They keep getting storm after storm now while we fail miserably. Beyond done with it
  10. Waiting on snow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    I cant wait for it to end myself! Ready to put this dumpster fire behind us.
  11. Waiting on snow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    They're strung out a suppressed like they have been for days and that's where I bet it will stay. I'll keep hammering home my point the models have done fantastic inside 7 days with general storm tracks. There are subtle changes but nothing dramatic like years past.
  12. Waiting on snow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    I've seen people on other boards upset with the models that it wont snow as if the models control that. I'll say it again, I think improvements in the models has led to this boring winter. It certainly has sucked this winter, but we did get 1 storm. Most years it's only 1-3 anyway. The models haven't given us snow inside of day 6 or so because they're catching on quicker to the fact it's not gonna snow. Which I like better than constant tracking to have the rug snatched out 48 hrs out. So as the models get better year after year I'd say our time tracking will drop too. Because let's be honest, in the past 9 out of 10 snows went poof at go time. At least we're not seeing that this year because the modeling seems better inside 7 days.
  13. Waiting on snow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Nah the NW trend only applies when it screws us! This one will trend SE. After Dec. it has literally refused to snow here and this wont be any different.
  14. Waiting on snow

    Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent

    Yeah my forecast for 19-20 is above average temps and below average snow. Just forecast that and you're right 90% of the time. This is the easiest part of the country to forecast winter.
  15. Waiting on snow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    The 18z runs are winning! No snow for me of course verbatim, but at least I don't get any 34 degree rain. I call that winning.
  16. Waiting on snow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    I may get bashed for saying this, but the models have been decent inside of 7 days. Not one decent storm threat has made it inside 7 days since Dec. After 7 days they have teased a good pattern with cold and snow but quickly fades at the 7 day mark to snowless and milder. This storm is no different. We haven't had the rug snatched out a 48 hrs yet. The winter has sucked absolutely! But I wonder if the boredom and lack of tracking is because the models have actually improved?
  17. Waiting on snow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    I don't know why you're surprised. This whole winter has been trash outside the first 2 weeks of Dec. Why would that change now?
  18. Waiting on snow

    Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent

    Watching what is most likely final threat of the season go down the ****ing toilet! The way this joke of a winter has been nobody should have expected any different.
  19. Waiting on snow

    Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent

    It is depressing rare snowfalls and and 100 year snow events are happening and we can't get a flurry! I wish our turn would come at setting snow records. All we're good at in the SE is heat records.
  20. Waiting on snow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    I want to pull my kitty fur out everytime I see March 1960 come up! I mean come on, that was 6 decades ago and a whole different climate! I'll buy every single poster from the Upstate a steak dinner if that even comes close to happening again!
  21. Waiting on snow

    Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent

    It's safe to say GSP to CLT to RDU will not see another flake this year. And CAE will go 5 years in a row with no measurable snow. Welcome to the new climate where the SE ridge and +NAO dominate. Smdh
  22. It's just a theory and I'm not a pro by any means, but what if the se ridge is a pattern driver more so than a reaction? We look for ridging to develop in AK, Greenland, etc to drive the pattern, but never hear mention of a mid latitude ridge like the se ridge driving things. Possibly its caused by sst's and then it does it's part to screw up the pattern? Regardless, I'm tired of that ****ing ridge ruining winter year after year!
  23. Waiting on snow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Looking back the writing was on the wall. El Nino struggled to develop and while Nov and early Dec were colder than average and we did get a snow, the Pac quickly showed its hand for the winter in mid Dec. Tropical forcing was all wrong, strong Pac jet and when the EPO tanked the ridge was too far west and allowed a war. I knew in Dec Jan was toast. Remember saying it on here. But I thought we had plenty of time to save Feb and then the Nino faded. That's a couple years lately El Nino has completely failed. I find it amazing in a warming climate and high SST's we cant even get a legit Nino anymore. Cant remember one since 09-10 that wasn't the crap fest super Nino of a couple years ago.
  24. Waiting on snow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Yeah it's time to close the blinds on this dumpster fire. I am shocked how this one ended though. I expect 4 out of 5 to be dumpster fires here but I thought this one would deliver.
  25. Waiting on snow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    I wonder if the SER isn't more of a pattern driver than a result of other teleconnections? I mean we look for ridging to develop over AK, Greenland etc. to drive the pattern. I wonder if ridging in the mid latitudes plays a significant role also? If sea surface temps are the reason for that ****ing ridge year after year I fear we are in a downward spiral toward a permanent SER because we cant stay cold enough long enough to bring sea surface temps around the SE down.
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