Meteorological Super Bowl During AFC Championship? 1/23-1/24, Part II

[BostonWX]

Rpm is going to deliver again

[Hoth]

Ha, even the CRAS has a fairly realistic depiction for how this goes down. That's a first.

[Damage In Tolland]

ULL is just bullying everything northeast. It's much stronger again..This is good

[Morch Madness]

We can hug our sh*tty American models I guess

[powderfreak]

Watch those 700mb-500mb fronto plots.

In all seriousness, the area from Tolland to Boston is going to be fascinating to watch. I could see a sneaky NW frontogenesis band develop and easily overcome the dry air in the vicinity of N.CT to E.MA and lay down a high ratio 6-10", while both sides of that band suck sand and dry, small flakes, and then you move further south and finally get into the real comma head wall of precip towards S.CT to the Cape.

I guess it'll be interesting if any banding develops north of the "wall" of moisture further south...without a decent mid-level band the dry air is going to suck up those 10-20dbz echoes, but pop a narrow area of 25-35dbz that's slow moving west to east, and someone gets relatively surprised.

[ORH_wxman]

Rpm is going to deliver again

 

 

Guess it will wait until the 21z run to pull the rug out...at least it gives 3 more hours of bait.

[BostonWX]

Guess it will wait until the 21z run to pull the rug out...at least it gives 3 more hours of bait.

It's baiting dangerously close to the first beer, not good.

[Ginx snewx]

Watch those 700mb-500mb fronto plots.

[78Blizzard]

NAM thru hr 21 about the same, slightest tick south.

[ORH_wxman]

ULL is just bullying everything northeast. It's much stronger again..This is good

 

 

It is stronger this run but it also looks "flatter"...like its wider from E/W...that is actually not what we want at all. So I think this run will be worse. We want to stretch this sucker N/S as it lifts NE...I mean, maybe it will try and do that in the next few frames, but so far, I don't really love that look.

[CoastalWx]

NAM will come back to reality. 

[JC-CT]

I actually think the depiction is probably more realistic this run. Whether it gets that far north is another story.

[OceanStWx]

In all seriousness, the area from Tolland to Boston is going to be fascinating to watch. I could see a sneaky NW frontogenesis band develop and easily overcome the dry air in the vicinity of N.CT to E.MA and lay down a high ratio 6-10", while both sides of that band suck sand and dry, small flakes, and then you move further south and finally get into the real comma head wall of precip towards S.CT to the Cape.

I guess it'll be interesting if any banding develops north of the "wall" of moisture further south...without a decent mid-level band the dry air is going to suck up those 10-20dbz echoes, but pop a narrow area of 25-35dbz that's slow moving west to east, and someone gets relatively surprised.

 

It will be interesting.

 

Do we saturate H7 only to have H8 stay dry and eat up some of that? It's going to be so close.

[Baroclinic Zone]

NAM thru hr 21 about the same, slightest tick south.

With what?  Try and be more specific.

[Bryan]

Eric Fisher ‏@ericfisher  6m6 minutes agoManhattan, NY

JUST IN: Blizzard Warnings will be coming for Block Island and Martha's Vineyard, per @NWSBoston. #wbz

 

I know this is due to the winds, but just frustrating how close this thing is.

[JC-CT]

EPS?

[78Blizzard]

James getting crushed at hr 27.

[BostonWX]

Rpm is just absurd for BOS points south.

[Ginx snewx]

NAM will come back to reality.

I kind of like this reality it shows, lol

[CoastalWx]

Sorry guys, my sh*t stains will turn this into virga more many.

[Sn0waddict]

NAM moves the CCB into Southern CT/RI, moderate snow makes it up to about the Hartford area.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Crush job nam from epa thru nyc south coast sne.

[CoastalWx]

Rpm is just absurd for BOS points south.

 

Not gonna happen.

[ineedsnow]

Bumps heavier snowfall north a tad from 12z

[SR Airglow]

James is getting croaked by the CCB verbatim at hour 36.

[Damage In Tolland]

It's starting to look like NYC ends up close to the jack as they get both the WWA thump and then the CCB..While DCA to Philly dry slots

[JC-CT]

I kind of like this reality it shows, lol

 

You take that one, I'll take the 4km version

[Damage In Tolland]

Somewhere in NNJ over to w LI will end up with 30 inches or more

[Morch Madness]

Rpm is just absurd for BOS points south.

 

More like TAN south

[ORH_wxman]

NAM was actually slightly better with the front end push in CT...but it was def worse with the second conveyor in E and SE MA.