Meteorological Super Bowl During AFC Championship? 1/23-1/24, Part II

[dryslot]

The SREFS were mentioned and posted more than they were that entire blitz last February...and this just cements how useless they are in winter storms.

Some really reached deep into the model bag and dusted off some real relics along the way. Lol

[OSUmetstud]

I haven't even looked closely. Even if we do, the Euro is the worst case...and we still pop around 20, which is is almost good for second all time. Unbelievable.

Thats if dca measures it lol. It rips before that happens obviously. The huge amounts will be west.

[Morch Madness]

The SREFs are hilarious

[BostonWX]

The SREFs are hilarious

Go on

[ORH_wxman]

The SREFs are hilarious

 

 

They increased QPF again.

 

This is why powderfreak would stare at them until the last drop was gone from his bottle of jack.

[JC-CT]

They increased QPF again.

 

This is why powderfreak would stare at them until the last drop was gone from his bottle of jack.

 

Do they ever give up? Or do they just keep busting every 6 hours over and over again?

[Baroclinic Zone]

Some really reached deep into the model bag and dusted off some real relics along the way. Lol

Well, we need to keep the mood light in here.  It's just snow after all, not life and death..

[JC-CT]

Some really reached deep into the model bag and dusted off some real relics along the way. Lol

 

CRAS was a good hit

[Morch Madness]

Go on

 

1.25 QPF plus around Boston lol

[ORH_wxman]

Do they ever give up? Or do they just keep busting every 6 hours over and over again?

 

They will eventually cave...I think ti took until about 18 hours out or so in the blizzard last year. In the feb 7-9 event, it was similar, maybe even 12 hours out, lol.

[JC-CT]

They will eventually cave...I think ti took until about 18 hours out or so in the blizzard last year. In the feb 7-9 event, it was similar, maybe even 12 hours out, lol.

 

So what I heard you say is there is still time

[dryslot]

CRAS was a good hit

How about the Fim?

[Hoth]

Those trusty ARW members...

[JC-CT]

How about the Fim?

 

It's experimental, we don't use those

[dryslot]

It's experimental, we don't use those

But we used the Euro para. Lol

[Hoth]

When do the 18z WOTY projections  come out?

[dryslot]

Well, we need to keep the mood light in here.  It's just snow after all, not life and death..

 

Not up this way, Down south may be another story though

[Ginx snewx]

Jeff likes being a wet blanket when he has zero stake. I will totally enjoy my forecasted 2 -3 inches and hope the Globals continue to inch north.

[Typhoon Tip]

They will eventually cave...I think ti took until about 18 hours out or so in the blizzard last year. In the feb 7-9 event, it was similar, maybe even 12 hours out, lol.

 

they got to be coded (the physical algorithms being perturbed) deliberately that way.  it's just to fantastically bad not to be - it's like they can initialize properly, then - okay. 

 

their native processes (whatever they are) force absurd results in as little as 6 to 12 hrs out in time, smacks to me as forcing a result experimentally. 

[CoastalWx]

Oh the SREFs. 

[JC-CT]

Jeff likes being a wet blanket when he has zero stake. I will totally enjoy my forecasted 2 -3 inches and hope the Globals continue to inch north.

 

Ditto, exactly why I'm here. We can joke about the NAM and SREFs all we want but it wouldn't take all that much from the globals to be meaningful for us, especially you IMO. Heck, Ukie would be a nice little event for many if it actually reached the ground.

[dryslot]

Jeff likes being a wet blanket when he has zero stake. I will totally enjoy my forecasted 2 -3 inches and hope the Globals continue to inch north.

 

Nice try, I'm not trying to steal your snow Steve, Congrats, I will keep this on the back burner

[Go Kart Mozart]

Precip shield on radar more advanced into PA and OH than depicted on NAM simrad:

 

[OSUmetstud]

Virga?

[Ginx snewx]

Tuck that low 20 miles north and that inflow deform really crushes the south coast. Total now cast for them. I give more credence to mesos like the RGEM inside 24 for that stuff. Totally immersed in this on my day off. What a beast

[HoarfrostHubb]

Some really reached deep into the model bag and dusted off some real relics along the way. Lol

Things I have never heard of.  The Meteofrance thing... Ginxy's HIWPPs... all sorts of fun toys

[dendrite]

Precip shield on radar more advanced into PA and OH than depicted on NAM simrad:

19z vs 18z

[Morch Madness]

Precip shield on radar more advanced into PA and OH than depicted on NAM simrad:

 

Not really

[ORH_wxman]

The thing about the NAM sim radar is that it generally drops qpf under it...so in that sense, the qpf is lining up pretty well. Ther'es been snow in extreme southern Ohio and SW PA.

[dryslot]

Things I have never heard of.  The Meteofrance thing... Ginxy's HIWPPs... all sorts of fun toys

Hiwipps i heard of and looked at , But the metrofrance i did not know of