HoarfrostHubb Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 BOX website. Not sure why it is different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 BOX website. Not sure why it is different.Yeah...that's not good coordination Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Not sure where some folks getting those awful maps..anyway..Here's the latest BOX map http://www.weather.gov/box/winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 http://www.weather.gov/box/winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 That's the max map, but still has me at <1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 I'll take 2-3 in a heartbeat. While I didnt' lose the entire glacier over the weekend, it sure looks like crap. I'm going to head out of work at 3:00; try to get out ahead of the traffic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 It's a crap-season when hopes for 3" on January 12th would double your seasonal snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Feeling 2-4" up here. Feeling 2-4" up here. That would be a win. 2" was my win criteria for this storm last friday. But it seems some precip fields put us in a gap between more to our N and NE and more to our S and SE. I think the RGEM last night showed this but so did the NAM. So I don't feel confident for higher amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Something is definitely up with the box maps, the table on the winter front page doesn't line up either. Sometimes I forget they are a government agency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 It's a crap-season when hopes for 3" on January 12th would double your seasonal snowfall. Route 2 might be dicey. I'll be in Newton until 6pm so may just go visit my folks for a few hours until it's over rather than drive through it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 It's a crap-season when hopes for 3" on January 12th would double your seasonal snowfall. We would have been just as excited about 3" on Jan 12 last year … Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 HRRR really has an interesting second part of squalls overnight. I'm not sure it's totally right, but other mesos have hinted at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 HRRR really has an interesting second part of squalls overnight. I'm not sure it's totally right, but other mesos have hinted at it. RGEM has had that general idea since 12z yesterday I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 HRRR really has an interesting second part of squalls overnight. I'm not sure it's totally right, but other mesos have hinted at it. Indeed - pretty much a shut out for HFD/TOL prior to the late-game squalls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 RGEM has had that general idea since 12z yesterday I think. Yeah it has. Seems like it would be CT-RI-SE MA. HRRR bullseyes PYM actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Yeah it has. Seems like it would be CT-RI-SE MA. HRRR bullseyes PYM actually. 4km NAM has had it on and off too. That could drop another quick inch or so on top of the first round which is the one that would have the TSSN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 HRRR really has an interesting second part of squalls overnight. I'm not sure it's totally right, but other mesos have hinted at it. The initial band is really impressive in E MA on the HRRR. Kind of meh in central areas. Starts to blow up as it moves past ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Warnings up in my hood. 6-10" of mash. We take. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk I went 10 to 15 cms in halifax before the warm up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 The initial band is really impressive in E MA on the HRRR. Kind of meh in central areas. Starts to blow up as it moves past ORH. Yeah, a little surprised it didn't get going earlier. I'm still torn about Boston. You can clearly see on meso models like the RPM...it's snow where it's coming down heavy. It is trying to offset WAA in the beginning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 How many microbars of lift make you start considering the possibility of thundersnow? Also, lapse rates look pretty darn solid. Not quite on par with last Valentine's Day, but 7+ ain't bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 HRRR really has an interesting second part of squalls overnight. I'm not sure it's totally right, but other mesos have hinted at it. LOL I was just looking at that new loop, yea that is a second piece of Upper air energy vort that comes in, very interesting day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 How does this setup compare with the squalls that came through here? I believe it was in early December 2003, think they came through around 7-9am and caused traffic to come to a stand still. If I remember right that was more of region wide squall line that came through, where the models here are popping the line a little east of ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Maybe a heavy coating for Kevin on the HRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Maybe a heavy coating for Kevin on the HRRR. hrrr_t_precip_neng_16.png I'll bump your forecast here based on this, this evening.See how it verified Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 I'll bump your forecast here based on this, this evening.See how it verified Not a forecast - just a caution flag. Some of us use all available guidance to make a forecast while others just use whichever model shows the most snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Not a forecast - just a caution flag. Some of us use all available guidance to make a forecast while others just use whichever model shows the most snow. Which is why 1-3 has been a good forecast since we identified this threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Not a forecast - just a caution flag. Some of us use all available guidance to make a forecast while others just use whichever model shows the most snow. 15 minute loop is uber interesting and whats up with batch 2, that is a relatively new intense line especially for the south coast and LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 15 minute loop is uber interesting and whats up with batch 2, that is a relatively new intense line especially for the south coast and LI Yeah - we'll see. I think things look better farther east. We're pretty much waiting for the last minute blossoming of the precip shield. It certainly could happen 30 or 40 miles east of where the NAM is showing which would basically cause a shut out for most of my forecast area. It's a hard forecast because if the NAM is right it becomes a high impact event - if other guidance is right it's NBD. Lots of uncertainty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Pretty much nowcast time hopefully 12z gives a better estimate Yeah - we'll see. I think things look better farther east. We're pretty much waiting for the last minute blossoming of the precip shield. It certainly could happen 30 or 40 miles east of where the NAM is showing which would basically cause a shut out for most of my forecast area. It's a hard forecast because if the NAM is right it becomes a high impact event - if other guidance is right it's NBD. Lots of uncertainty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Pretty much nowcast time hopefully 12z gives a better estimate Yeah today is going to suck... I'm in meetings from 10-3p and then have to catch up on everything for 5p. Interested to see how this all transpires. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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