moneypitmike Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 Definitely some weenie runs overnight both op and ensembles. We live for 10 day events. Looks like some deep winter incoming. For now, we wait during an AN January 1 morning. 31.9/25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 We live for 10 day events. Looks like some deep winter incoming. For now, we wait during an AN January 1 morning. 31.9/25 A rather mild morning. Early next week will be cold, and then a little more milder weather before perhaps things change for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 something small on the 8th or 9th and then something bigger around the 11th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2016 Author Share Posted January 1, 2016 Still looks like a 1-3 type event on the table for SNE Monday Am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 BOX has seen fit to lower the floor of Monday night temps in GC to 0*. Too bad we don't have a snow-pack to help drive things even lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 Still looks like a 1-3 type event on the table for SNE Monday Am Flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2016 Author Share Posted January 1, 2016 Flakes.s/w with Inv trough can yield surprisesSometimes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 Boring begets boring I was thinking (not forecasting) that this winter might wind up producing less snow IMBY than 2011-2012... That would be funny I still feel that the second half of Jan and Feb and some of March will produce, but it is possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 s/w with Inv trough can yield surprises Sometimes I'm just thinking a dusting for some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 Boring begets boring I was thinking (not forecasting) that this winter might wind up producing less snow IMBY than 2011-2012... Alot of things need to go wrong for this to happen. I mean like a complete bombardment of whiffs or inland runners. It's an extreme scenario to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 Alot of things need to go wrong for this to happen. I mean like a complete bombardment of whiffs or inland runners. It's an extreme scenario to say the least. I did get 44" that season. Half from the October storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 BOX has seen fit to lower the floor of Monday night temps in GC to 0*. Too bad we don't have a snow-pack to help drive things even lower. You don't have snow cover? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 I did get 44" that season. Half from the October storm I got 90" that winter...so I'm still 80" away from that, haha. Could get four 20-inch storms just to tie 2011-2012 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 I did get 44" that season. Half from the October storm Ah...yea that's not THAT bad then my bad. I think I had like 25", 18" from octobomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 I got 90" that winter...so I'm still 80" away from that, haha. Could get four 20-inch storms just to tie 2011-2012 . I'm definitely not thinking that I finish under 44" for what is left. But no real threats until maybe around the 10th or so. 2 good storms could eclipse it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 Boring begets boring I was thinking (not forecasting) that this winter might wind up producing less snow IMBY than 2011-2012... That would be funny I still feel that the second half of Jan and Feb and some of March will produce, but it is possible. I didn't even have a frost that winter. I think you'll do better than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 I didn't even have a frost that winter. I think you'll do better than that.Where were you living at the time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 You don't have snow cover? Oh no--we're covered. I'm talking about the benefit of deep snow cover. I believe the more the better with respect to maximizing cold air masses. Maybe I've misunderstood that from posts here. 33.9/24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 The 12z GFS now has that dreadful suppression look...Looks like I would have to move back to Delaware to enjoy that look. North trend anyone? Happy New Year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2016 Author Share Posted January 1, 2016 Looks like some nice squalls this evening. Some towns may grab a quick inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 The 12z GFS now has that dreadful suppression look...Looks like I would have to move back to Delaware to enjoy that look. North trend anyone? Happy New Year! Cant take it verbatim. The fact there's been a good signal for something big is all we can ask for. I like the look. Far out though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 The New Year finally woke Lake Erie up. Here is to a much better pattern in 2016!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 most models have something Looks like some nice squalls this evening. Some towns may grab a quick inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 Cant take it verbatim. The fact there's been a good signal for something big is all we can ask for. I like the look. Far out though. I agree, never want to be in the bullseye this far out, we all know how that seems to work out...definitely love the look. My wife's holiday party is in Tarrytown next Saturday, that almost guarantees there will be something falling from the sky to make the roads a mess... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 Very active STJ on 12z GFS should give NE multiple storm "threats" beginning next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 12z GFS long range was a pants tent for the mid-Atlantic... there's like 3 different long range events down there that then exit stage right without coming up the coast. Would be fascinating to jump right into a mid-Atlantic snowstorm pattern after the last month, lol. Its like the GFS engineered any way possible to avoid snowing in New England the next 16 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 12z GFS long range was a pants tent for the mid-Atlantic... there's like 3 different long range events down there that then exit stage right without coming up the coast. Would be fascinating to jump right into a mid-Atlantic snowstorm pattern after the last month, lol. Its like the GFS engineered any way possible to avoid snowing in New England the next 16 days. USA_ASNOWIPER_sfc_384.gif GFS trying to make us pay the bill for last year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 One trend I have been noticing is for that 1/10 threat to be a bit of a late bloomer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 One trend I have been noticing is for that 1/10 threat to be a bit of a late bloomer. We can clean up in those. And we usually don't see a hit until we're within 72 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 Looks like some nice squalls this evening. Some towns may grab a quick inch I'm surprised there hasn't been more talk about this .. def think theres the potential for a quick 1/2" - 1" locally with any squalls. Not often you get a remnant LE streamer to cross through the area like that. decent s/w picking up some lakes moisture, steep low lvl lapse rates, and a little instability should be enough for a couple squalls. BTV WRF seems to indicate this potential with the snow squall parameter fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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