weathafella Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 OT but of BOS can't do the record this week all bets are off IMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Strung out weaker system on NAM, energy looks less consolidated and stretches out much further west over KY / IN, and all in all overpowered by confluence NAM had a chance to be taken more seriously and blew it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Blows. Good thing Eduggs rolled with the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Blows. Good thing Eduggs rolled with the NAM.The NAM. Leading the way to the junkyard since 2006. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Blows. Good thing Eduggs rolled with the NAM. Yea, he knows his stuff, but went off the deep end. This was obvious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Blows. Good thing Eduggs rolled with the NAM. Caution flags were being waved Bruce Willis Die Hard 2 style before the 12z suite...might have been for good reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Not a great start to 12Z. South and weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 OT but of BOS can't do the record this week all bets are off IMHO. Another truncated winter....2011 style (n of pike). One for the ages, nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 regardless of what the NAM shows, hard to argue when the GFS and EURO pretty much agree. I think the ensembles are a bit too bullish as well. Ride the OP this close in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Well we tried. Southern stream got sharper over time but heights in southern Ontario/Quebec have been simultaneously trending lower, compressing the field. Should still be a good stream of moisture for the N Mid-Atlantic and maybe southern areas of SNE. I like this sort of setup 8 times out of 10 for a significant northward shift in the guidance in the 2-3 day range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Another truncated winter....2011 style (n of pike). One for the ages, nonetheless. Although truncation post Pday (this winter) is climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Caution flags were being waved Bruce Willis Die Hard 2 style before the 12z suite...might have been for good reason. Waving for awhile now. Same old story...bit of a fold over ridge out west pushing down. We'll see what the real models do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Although truncation post Pday (this winter) is climo. Not in el Ninos it isn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Am I missing something here? I liked the 12z NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Waving for awhile now. Same old story...bit of a fold over ridge out west pushing down. We'll see what the real models do. Not a whole lot of suspense for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Not in el Ninos it isn't. This winter has barely had a Nino signal. Been a strange one. Maybe you could argue a low frequency one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 would be a tough one to swallow... we had 3 shots to get 5.7 inches this week in Boston, and not sure we make it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Am I missing something here? I liked the 12z NAM. You're 50 miles south of me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Caution flags were being waved Bruce Willis Die Hard 2 style before the 12z suite...might have been for good reason. Caution flags aside. When you see that big of a shift in successive model runs, then it's the model rather than the pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 OT but of BOS can't do the record this week all bets are off IMHO. Yeah, get it done now because climo becomes the herd of elephants in the room moving forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Am I missing something here? I liked the 12z NAM. It's more in line with the other models now. Still good for us. GFS and EURO have been consistent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Am I missing something here? I liked the 12z NAM. I dunno, did you see the large shift south? Probably still gives you 3-4 inches there, but that is a big change from 06z which was far more robust. It wouldn't take much more shift on that solution for even SE MA to S CT to get only an inch or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 would be a tough one to swallow... we had 3 shots to get 5.7 inches this week in Boston, and not sure we make it Weak one. Classic at that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Not in el Ninos it isn't. Sure it is. Snow post 1/22/05 started to Peter out. Good feb and March after epic January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 No worries folks. It's the NAM . Come on now Follow the juicy ensembles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Sure it is. Snow post 1/22/05 started to Peter out. Good feb and March after epic January. Obviously March averages less than February...but el Ninos are notourious for strong finishes. Fact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 This was a good run for everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I dunno, did you see the large shift south? Probably still gives you 3-4 inches there, but that is a big change from 06z which was far more robust. It wouldn't take much more shift on that solution for even SE MA to S CT to get only an inch or two. Yes, but I know it had to. I was never expecting a NAM solution prior to today, Looks more in line with other 00z guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 This was a good run for everyone Wrong forum dude. Half of this forum doesn't even get measurable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 The run blows for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.