joey2002 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 reminds me of a storm in the 90s where I stood on the shore in Misquamicut watching BID get pummeled 12 miles away Was there nice surf at least? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Don't forget the sneaky weenie band models will never pick up on farther north of the main big Qpf area that was duscussed earlier. Lots of tricks try to be played on this one How many Wednesday events have we watched trend south over the past month? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 How many Wednesday events have we watched trend south over the past month?What does the day of the week have anything to do with it? And it's thurdsay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 What does the day of the week have anything to do with it? And it's thurdsay Nothing except most events have trended south over the past month - some to our benefit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Nothing except most events have trended south over the past month - some to our benefit.Well that is true. In fact the south trend has helped in just about every event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 getimg.jpg Yea that's a good bump south from 0z. Oh well, maybe we tick back north a bit after today's system moves out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Nothing except most events have trended south over the past month - some to our benefit.not all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 15Z RPM came significantly north of 12Z, we can all rest easy now...the king has spoken. who was the dude who posted the you tube video melting down after the Blizzard fringed him? wonder if he is still alive/? This ain't settled yet, Matt, H20town_wx, hes a friend of mine and hes definitely alive and bitter maybe hell poke his head in here today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Connecticut Appleman Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 From the silence, I'm assuming the Euro ensembles are south as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Yes they went south... 18Z NAM looks south of 12Z as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thomasnh Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Oh well I wii take my coating to an inch tonight and be happy. At least it is not a rainstorm. Though unfortunately this may be it. Good luck to Boston breaking the record! This was never going to hit SNH anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 NAM is even uglier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I'm not sure ..QPf may have been a bit less..but the features may have bumped back a bit north. Hard to tell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 NAM is even uglier. Wow nothing for.Boston for both events? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Upton issues watches for all of southern CT for 4-8" And the rest of their southern zones including NYC and LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Wow nothing for.Boston for both events? First round looks ok, but barely anything for Thurs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 That's a pretty sharp cutoff on the NAM, goes from 1" QPF on the North Shore of LI to barely anything on the other side of the LI Sound. At least in my experience, models tend to overdo the confluence and the cutoff isn't quite as drastic. It would really surprise me in NYC got 6" and BOS got nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 That's a pretty sharp cutoff on the NAM, goes from 1" QPF on the North Shore of LI to barely anything on the other side of the LI Sound. At least in my experience, models tend to overdo the confluence and the cutoff isn't quite as drastic. It would really surprise me in NYC got 6" and BOS got nothing.It seemed the upper level features looked better. Qpf is useless at this point.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 It seemed the upper level features looked better. Qpf is useless at this point.. Yeah, and all you really need is one weenie deform band to make it north and suddenly everything is thrown off. I wouldn't throw in the towel at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Yeah, and all you really need is one weenie deform band to make it north and suddenly everything is thrown off. I wouldn't throw in the towel at this point. Nam shows us a little love both events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 That's a pretty sharp cutoff on the NAM, goes from 1" QPF on the North Shore of LI to barely anything on the other side of the LI Sound. At least in my experience, models tend to overdo the confluence and the cutoff isn't quite as drastic. It would really surprise me in NYC got 6" and BOS got nothing. Its distinctly possible this still nearly misses NYC...the tendency the last 6 weeks has been S and E movement in the 60-36 hour range followed by continual small jogs south after that, they may see 1-2 or while TTN sees 6 or more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Its distinctly possible this still nearly misses NYC...the tendency the last 6 weeks has been S and E movement in the 60-36 hour range followed by continual small jogs south after that, they may see 1-2 or while TTN sees 6 or more. I don"t think the folks in DC agree with that assessment, there have been some north moves too, what has trended south are the cutters and inside runners. I give this a very good shot of hitting NYC with warning snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I don"t think the folks in DC agree with that assessment, there have been some north moves too, what has trended south are the cutters and inside runners. I give this a very good shot of hitting NYC with warning snow. All I know is if we don't see the trend south stop at 0z, I will lose all confidence in verifying warning anywhere in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 All I know is if we don't see the trend south stop at 0z, I will lose all confidence in verifying warning anywhere in SNE. well thats a given but the Nam did stop trending south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 One thing that has stuck out on all modeling starting in West Virginia the other day, each model run cut back precip to the NE while increasing it to the SW, that has now occurred in SE PA which is now pumping up the QPF, something to watch, it may indicate some changes afoot especially for SCT and NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 18z GFS continues its slow march south. Don't think even the south coast would make advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Maybe 1-2". Hopefully there's a nice band on the northern edge but I have my doubts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 18z GFS continues its slow march south. Don't think even the south coast would make advisory. gives Boston zero snow tonight, um Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Watches hoisted for the south coast and islands by BOX. I have a 7 am flight out of PVD Thursday morning for a week in Orlando, so I am loving these trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Euro ensembles are still north of the OP so who knows. Maybe it can still tick north from here on out. we need to start seeing this at 0z or it's toast imo. (for anything more than a couple inches, which I would gladly take!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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