Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Euro ensembles are still north of the OP so who knows. Maybe it can still tick north from here on out. we need to start seeing this at 0z or it's toast imo. (for anything more than a couple inches, which I would gladly take!) RGEM is further north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 What happened to my question? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 RGEM is further north That's great to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Yeah GFS and nam. Well you just have to completely toss them for this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 RrGEM through 48 and still snowing at 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 54 RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 That doesn't really help us since it includes tonight's precip. I do agree the RGEM looked slightly better at 18z vs 12z, but that precip map that includes the entire run is not really relevant for just the anafront portion of the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 It's still close to a virga storm. Gonna need 00z runs for anything convincing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 It's still close to a virga storm. Gonna need 00z runs for anything convincing.Its just not the winter of virga or virga storms. Haven't had one yet. Won't be this one. It wants to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 That doesn't really help us since it includes tonight's precip. I do agree the RGEM looked slightly better at 18z vs 12z, but that precip map that includes the entire run is not really relevant for just the anafront portion of the event. well you figure out how to separate it , geez, its further north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Here's your RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Its just not the winter of virga or virga storms. Haven't had one yet. Won't be this one. It wants to snowenough with the weenie posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 enough with the weenie posts.Angry you lost your snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Here's your RGEM. image.jpg and still snowing, thanks, thats a productive mod if I ever saw one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Its just not the winter of virga or virga storms. Haven't had one yet. Won't be this one. It wants to snowDisagree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Well, box are giving themselves the opportunity to look at runs closer to the time and see how this stage plays out as well. That's exactly what a watch is for, but it seems we'll go watch into advisory unless something changes. The last low warning didn't verify either, but better safe than sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Well, box are giving themselves the opportunity to look at runs closer to the time and see how this stage plays out as well. That's exactly what a watch is for, but it seems we'll go watch into advisory unless something changes. The last low warning didn't verify either, but better safe than sorry. there were widespread 6's in washington county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 and still snowing, thanks, thats a productive mod if I ever saw one. It's pretty much done at that point...maybe a couple hundredths left. Angry you lost your snow?I was never in on this. Your posts are just annoying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 there were widespread 6's in washington county Fair enough, but it mostly didn't verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Disagree.On what? You think this is no snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 It's pretty much done at that point...maybe a couple hundredths left. .3-6 nice thanks again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 It's pretty much done at that point...maybe a couple hundredths left. I was never in on this. Your posts are just annoying.Then don't get annoyed so easy. Not sure what else to tell you. Relax Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I just don't see the need to always run with the coldest and snowiest models. I really think 00z is an important run to see what we have. That's fine if you want to go with your own ideas, but there are plenty of reasons that this could be a really minor event. I would say the same statement if I lived in Miscquamicut or Stowe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I just don't see the need to always run with the coldest and snowiest models. I really think 00z is an important run to see what we have. That's fine if you want to go with your own ideas, but there are plenty of reasons that this could be a really minor event. I would say the same statement if I lived in Miscquamicut or Stowe. Yeah I am with you. I don't think it's a big event. I think we lost the chance at warning snows..but still think a high end advisory is on the table anyway. Hope this doesn't come across as annoying. it's not meant to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Yeah I am with you. I don't think it's a big event. I think we lost the chance at warning snows..but still think a high end advisory is on the table anyway. Hope this doesn't come across as annoying. it's not meant to be. It's not. Everyone has ideas, and I know Steve throws the RGEM at us which does look better. But we all have seen it before and IMHO I'd rather wait to see what 00z does. That dam confluence is a killer. I'm not trying to force or change any opinion, just my thoughts. I think Will and others share similar thoughts too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 It's not. Everyone has ideas, and I know Steve throws the RGEM at us which does look better. But we all have seen it before and IMHO I'd rather wait to see what 00z does. That dam confluence is a killer. I'm not trying to force or change any opinion, just my thoughts. I think Will and others share similar thoughts too.No I know. And that was what I thought I was doing. But it seemed some were annoyed. Anyway.. Do you think confluence may trend a bit weaker? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 No I know. And that was what I thought I was doing. But it seemed some were annoyed. Anyway.. Do you think confluence may trend a bit weaker? It's tough to predict that. Those ridges out west where the top sort of folds over seems to be a theme lately. I think the confluence stays so what I want to see is the same that others have stated. A stronger srn s/w that isn't left behind and stretched out to the southwest. You need that to real curl up at the base of the trough and pump up heights over the SE. If that happens, then the flow in the mid levels backs to a more SW direction which would bring the snow in. Otherwise you get something where the snow tries to bulge north but then gets shunted east as the flow aloft stays WSW and that nrn stream trough presses down on us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I just don't see the need to always run with the coldest and snowiest models. I really think 00z is an important run to see what we have. That's fine if you want to go with your own ideas, but there are plenty of reasons that this could be a really minor event. I would say the same statement if I lived in Miscquamicut or Stowe. Go snowy or go home sometimes is the motto on here. I think this one probably warrants the big caution flag seeing the trends in the past 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Amazed that coastal CT is in a watch with the latest trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 That doesn't really help us since it includes tonight's precip. I do agree the RGEM looked slightly better at 18z vs 12z, but that precip map that includes the entire run is not really relevant for just the anafront portion of the event. To me the 18Z RGEM ticked south with the precip for the anafront. Valid the same time the precip shield is farther south than 12Z, the reason I think it looks better is because it has an extra 12 hours, 6 at 48 and 12 at 54 that we couldn't see with the 12Z run. Correct me if im wrong here but it looked like a negative trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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