SouthCoastMA Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 It is a bit further south than the NAM but not hugely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I agree, RGEM is south of the NAM...but not hugely so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 It is a bit further south than the NAM but not hugely.R u talking the RGEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 we have the same weenie goggles according to Max,hey mine are Oakley Airbrakes and they saw 6 inches last night and see 6-8 Thursday You have been cleaning up the last few events. What's your season total? Thursday is intriguing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Enjoy. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 This ones coming and that should bring BOS over the top. It's always coming according to you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 It's always coming according to you. It's been a weak winter then hasn't it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 R u talking the RGEM? Yeah. At 48 hours. Ideally you want to see some bigger improvements from the OP GFS and Euro later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Enjoy. Sent from my iPad Wow! Jackpot TAN! LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 The northern stream induced confluence is a formidable obstacle...it is what worries me in this event. On one hand, it is our friend to a point since it provides the cold and also the backstop to produce the ML frontogenesis, but on the other hand, it is very powerful and overbearing should we get too high of a dose of it. We're really looking for the Goldilocks solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 You have been cleaning up the last few events. What's your season total? Thursday is intriguing.96,:-} Thursday is something I have been following for over a week,hope it pans out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Yeah. At 48 hours. Ideally you want to see some bigger improvements from the OP GFS and Euro later. Okay. No matter what happens what an amazing run for us S Cst. peeps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Thursday AM ftl As Will said, QPF depictions could be underestimated under these bands: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 It's always coming according to you.Energizer winter the batteries are backwards instead of going and going they keep coming and coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Okay. No matter what happens what an amazing run for us S Cst. peeps. For sure. Some more work to do to top 04/05 but there's a chance with a good March. we'll need Thursday to produce..but regardless..awesome winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Thursday AM ftl As Will said, QPF depictions could be underestimated under these bands: frontb59.png one of the best I have seen and been watching those for ten years. That's 2-4 per hour stuff with the right DGZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I think this gfs run will be disappointing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 GFS is gonna whiff again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 96,:-} Thursday is something I have been following for over a week,hope it pans out You have been following it...you were mentioning it when most didn't even know it was a possibility...rather a very minor after thought after Tuesday night/Wednesday system. Hope you/we can cash in. Would certainly help my totals out(at about 70" so far), and boost them up a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Backed off a tad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Looks like about 0.4 to the pike. Hard to figure out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 GFS is gonna whiff again Did not whiff but not like the nam by any means. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 No change per gfs. Nice modest event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 No change per gfs. Nice modest event.For all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Almost a carbon copy of the 18z...might have been slightly more generous with the 1-2" northern periphery and slightly less robust on the south coast, but that is very minor detail. I was really hoping to see improvement from the GFS to start thinking seriously about a widespread warning event in this....particularly because the GEFS have been balls to the wall with a huge snowstorm on at least half the members and probably more than half. We'll see what the GGEM, Ukie, and Euro do though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Did not whiff but not like the nam by any means. Yeah, ended up better than I thought it would be, but not great. Kind of frustrating to see the NAM and GFS so far apart within 60 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 GFS is 4-8 Pike south , getting close to consensus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I think we can most likely not expect what the NAM is showing to happen. At this point, since the GFS is consistent on a more modest scenario, maybe we take a blend of the two, and that might be more realistic. Even that wouldn't be all that bad. Euro wasn't all to good on its 12z run today, so if that too doesn't trend better, NAM may be really overdoing this. Fun to follow nevertheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Early look on GGEM through 36h is more suppressed than the 12z run...which wasn't exactly a crusher itself. 00z has been a step backwards overall thus far with still 2 big boy models to run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Some 0z NAM Bufkits... these will probably be underforecast in the best bands, taking the NAM verbatim: KBOS 6.8" / 0.68 qpf (includes 1.2"/1.5" snow hours 59/60) KTAN 6.8" / 0.75 qpf KORH 7.2" / 0.2 qpf KPYM 8.9" / 0.96 qpf KBED 6.4" / 0.63 qpf KLWM 5.2" / 0.5 qpf Note these do not include the SWFE Tuesday, where ~2" falls at most of these places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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