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The Valentine's Day Massacre Obs--A snow job or does it only blow?


moneypitmike

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METAR KTAN 151152Z AUTO 32012G19KT 1/4SM FZFG VV001 M06/M08 A2928 RMK AO2 PK WND 33026/1125 SNEMM SLP914 P0016 60018 70047 T10611078 11061 21078 55011 PWINO FZRANO $

METAR KTAN 151252Z AUTO 34012G23KT 1/2SM FZFG VV005 M06/M08 A2932 RMK AO2 PK WND 33027/1236 SLP927 P0005 T10611078 PWINO FZRANO $

METAR KTAN 151352Z AUTO 35015G30KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV006 M06/M08 A2935 RMK AO2 PK WND 35030/1346 SNB10 SLP939 P0002 T10611083 $

METAR KTAN 151452Z AUTO 35015G31KT 310V010 1/4SM +SN VV010 M07/M09 A2938 RMK AO2 PK WND 34032/1424 SLP949 P0001 60008 T10671094 53022 $

SPECI KTAN 151521Z AUTO 34015G37KT 1/2SM HZ VV010 M07/M09 A2941 RMK AO2 PK WND 32037/1517 SNEMM P0000 T10671094 PWINO FZRANO $

42mph

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BOS has an AWPAGs now and came in with 0.62". That's probably a little low due to wind, but the ASOS has a wind shield. I'm interested to see what BOX goes with for the w.e. total.

 

Yeah ratios were definitely high, but my guess is a lot of areas will probably have >.75" LE easily. Tough to get a lot of TSSN with arctic fluff too.

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Those are 7am though, right? I'd imagine we'll have a lot of obs over 0.75" once the full event is taken into account

Most are 7-8am.

Don't get me wrong...I'm not saying modeled QPF was right. The euro was definitely low with that 0.50" east of BOS, but IMO the runs getting 0.75" to BOS weren't that far off. I think it was the 00z RGEM that really started ramping it up for E MA last night. It had a 3hr period where it crushed Cape Ann with 0.50"+.

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17.5" will do it

Final.

Dim orb of sun choking off final flakes.

 

102" on the season.

 

New all-time depth record established.

 

37"...ranges from 34"-40"

Surpasses that of February 1969 by 1".

 

First time in my life that I had to not only wade through waist deep snow (I'm 5'7"), but had to employ two stacked yard sticks to accolade total depth.

 

16.8/15

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17.5" will do it

Final.

Dim orb of sun choking off final flakes.

102" on the season.

New all-time depth record established.

37"...ranges from 34"-40"

Surpasses that of February 1969 by 1".

First time in my life that I had to not only wade through waist deep snow (I'm 5'7"), but had to employ two stacked yard sticks to accolade total depth.

Two yard sticks, sick. Congrats.

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Looking back which models did the best with this one? 

 

GFS totally failed back here with 0.5-1.0" of liquid modeled with most areas getting <0.25" in CT. How did things fare up toward Boston? 

Despite it not verifying that well in the end, I have to give the UKMET credit for being the first to sniff out that western areas would be out of the game. I remember I think it was it's 12z run on Thursday that cut amounts to nearly nothing for western areas while all other models were still game on for warning snows pretty far west and it was universally tossed, but it turned out to be more right than not there. Between that and being the only one to never bite on the NYC blizzard, it's had a pretty good winter.

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Milton, MA / Blue Hill Region       (Vs. Me)   

 

Blizzard of 2015           -           31"    (24")  

Swiffy                      -                16"    (12")  

OverRunner               -             27"    (13")    

Valentine's Day Blizzard    -    21"    (~11"-13")         

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I will say some of the issues were distance too. Like, models were maybe 15-20 miles off and we know how the banding tends to setup a bit west of what models have. That 700mb back bent front we talked about was key, but this wasn't all 700. The LLJ went nuts below 850 and helped almost inject this feature with rocket fuel. Some mesos had it, but were just too far east.

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Funny, you beat me by about 10" in the last event, I only had 15'", and about 4" in this event, yet only have 5-8" more depth (34-40").

 

Emphasizes the point RE just how much it compacts at these extraordinary depths.

 

Yeah it's crazy. Depths along the walkway are over 50 inches, but mid yard we're in the range.

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Sounds like the Scott (messenger hate is pretty strong this a.m.).  I went back many pages to see any of his comments, but looks like they're all deleted, so all I get is half of a conversation.  Many folks get emotional over this stuff (see Jebman in mid-Atlantic), but I suppose if there were personal attacks, the delete button must be used. 

 

Anyway, looking forward to seeing some sweet pics from around the region. 

lol at Cantore too.

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is it me or did that area along coast between Eastport, Maine and West to Portland bust incredibly horribly. 5" in Portland and ova. East port was given feet and feet and ummm......this was a difficult storm

 

Love how they just interviewed (TWC) a guy in Portland who traveled there to see the blizzard, he was upset at the lack of snow and said he traveled their FOR IT, and will go back south and try to catch OCTAVIA , what a weenie!

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