weathafella Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 All the models tonight are hinting at that fronto band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Yeha maybe some weenie 6-7" totals in the Berks and monads on that...but I'll want to see more support to be convinced. There's some ML fronto that works SE in this so it's possible to see a heavier band or two, but I'd like to see the coastal get more involved to think about warning snows. In the back of my mind, i still think this could be a 1-2" event too. impressive Arctic front though, cold mofo day Friday with wind and whatever falls blowing around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Yeha maybe some weenie 6-7" totals in the Berks and monads on that...but I'll want to see more support to be convinced. There's some ML fronto that works SE in this so it's possible to see a heavier band or two, but I'd like to see the coastal get more involved to think about warning snows. In the back of my mind, i still think this could be a 1-2" event too. are folks in e 1/2 of SNE counting on the offshore Coastal giving us the push into advisory amounts, directly or indirectly? BC I have zero confidence in that coastal at this point I keep telling the ladies at work (gym) the only thing we can do with regard to the snow, is just pray ...for more . Usually results in laughs and head shaking... but there a few snow weenies in the bunch. Besides if they fuss about my pro snow attitude I just hand out more and more squats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 are folks in e 1/2 of SNE counting on the offshore Coastal giving us the push into advisory amounts, directly or indirectly? BC I have zero confidence in that coastal at this pointLol you will do better than me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 are folks in e 1/2 of SNE counting on the offshore Coastal giving us the push into advisory amounts, directly or indirectly? BC I have zero confidence in that coastal at this point I keep telling the ladies at work (gym) the only thing we can do with regard to the snow, is just pray ...for more . Usually results in laughs and head shaking... but there a few snow weenies in the bunch. Eastern areas would probably need the coastal and they are more likely to get it. I also have very little confidence that it will produce much. But even if it only gives an inch or two on top of another inch from the ML fronto band, then you've got low end advisory stuff. Either way, it'll be worth watching, but I'm not expecting warning amounts outside of some weenie spots in CNE that might get lucky from the fronto band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 GFS says not much more than a few snow showers here, maybe an inch. Said the same at 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 New GFS gives James bupkis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 New GFS gives James bupkis Rain FTL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 isn't the RGEM..50 to .75 on your foreign language map in the yellow I love the snow as you know and happy for you guys. I will say that after SnowMaggedon with 35" in my humble backyard, I was OK if it did not snow for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Haven't been looking at this much all day but ML fronto band looks consistent for Berks into S VT S Cent NH and Interior CP of Maine. I wouldn't lock in anything from the coastal at this point....and actually I would think hghest confidence in advisory for SNE currently in Berks- MPM not NE/ E mass just based on set up...and I am a huge snow weenie. Hope the look changes a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 New GFS gives James bupkis We'd tap that. Up to 0.5" at MVL over the next two days would be nice, lol, but good luck with that. I like around 0.25" QPF up here. If its Currier and Ives, that could hit 5" or so. This is what keeps great skiing, well great. The consistent refreshers. Doesn't have to be much, but the slopes have been on quite the run at area resorts since the Grinch storm over a month ago. This looks great for BEast and up and down the Greens/Berks and adjacent Taconics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Euro is now a complete whiff with the coastal for everyone except flurries for the cape and immediate coastline. Looks like lots of C-2" from the overrunning in SNE will do it with generally low end advisory for CNE/NNE. Only guidance supporting an advisory level event now for the eastern areas is the RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Euro has a great ML fronto look for CNE...it clips N of the pike too before weakening as it travels SE...this is basically the event right now...well it has been for us interior folk anyway for the past couple runs since I was counting on little to nothing from the coastal anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 BOX map 2-4 for many with more to the NE Expand0 replies6 retweets0 favorites Reply Retweeted6 Favorite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 BOX map 2-4 for many with more to the NE Expand0 replies6 retweets0 favorites Reply Retweeted6 Favorite BOX is also saying this. The ZFP forecast for the Pit calls for 3-5". My p/c calls for 1" today, 1-3" tonight, 1-3" tomorrow. I'll take that and run. 8.0/4, up from a low of 3.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Obs thread started. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45619-february-4-5-observations/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 This looks pretty meh SE of HFD-ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 This looks pretty meh SE of HFD-ORH. Agreed. That band heading southeast peters out beyond the line you mention, and everything SE of that misses on the glancing blow from the low off the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Agreed. That band heading southeast peters out beyond the line you mention, and everything SE of that misses on the glancing blow from the low off the coast. It's more Berks and Hubbdave on NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 This looks pretty meh SE of HFD-ORH. How long until they realize the 4-6" they have here is absurd? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 How long until they realize the 4-6" they have here is absurd? Maybe they see something I don't, but I don't see that. I suppose if that weenie band were to park further SE it could happen. It seems like you are on the line so I would watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 It's more Berks and Hubbdave on NW. and NE. don't feel the need to limit yourself to SNE. Your lake house could have a great few days....while I sip mint juleps on the porch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 This looks pretty meh SE of HFD-ORH. See if SE areas can get a hail mary from the coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 4-6 nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 This looks pretty meh SE of HFD-ORH. Nothing wrong with a couple inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Maybe they see something I don't, but I don't see that. I suppose if that weenie band were to park further SE it could happen. It seems like you are on the line so I would watch. This reminds me of their rediculous call a week ago....warning for 4-8", that verifed as an inch. I mean, missed forecasts happen, but when it's clear as day to a novice like myself that the forecast doesn't stand a snowball's chance in DC of verifying, then something is wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 NAM may come a bit west.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Maybe they see something I don't, but I don't see that. I suppose if that weenie band were to park further SE it could happen. It seems like you are on the line so I would watch. It'll be gone by the 4 PM package at the latest... down to 1-2 or less, I would guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 This looks pretty meh SE of HFD-ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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