BlizzardNole Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 I don't see many reasons why that wouldn't continue. How north can it go? Lol At this point I'm feeling pretty mean -- I hope it ends up rain all the way to New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steinweather Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Steven DiMartino @nynjpaweather · 48m48 minutes ago So either that trough moves or the low has to be further south. Will watch the evolution and update accordingly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 These guys look real solid with their prediction. https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=10204058870247355&set=p.10204058870247355&type=1&theater Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 These guys look real solid with their prediction. https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=10204058870247355&set=p.10204058870247355&type=1&theater lulz those guys are morons Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 lulz those guys are morons They seem to come from the JB2 school of thought. Thinking tha the cold air is going to win out. Well, the 12Z Euro is running and it laughs at that idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 These guys look real solid with their prediction. https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=10204058870247355&set=p.10204058870247355&type=1&theater -1 - 4 temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 12Z EC has the first 0.25" liquid tomorrow with surface temps sub freezing at HGR and here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joeride Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 This storm has already sleeted all over us Do you mean sheet all over us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravenfanalways Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 I'm not looking at models Just make crap up about how snowy it will be then get your sheep to swear you were correct all the time. That's how "professionals" like JB2 do it. Well, it's how they make money by getting their sheep onto their web page lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 To me the 1040 high now in southern Provinces is travelling at a speed and angle that would allow it to be over Ohio Valley Sunday afternoon and I think the low is supposed to be there at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Not sure where to get good EURO images free but on their website, they seem to be showing free ensemble images. Here are temps/ the older run/ not the 12Z. Looks good to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 To me the 1040 high now in southern Provinces is travelling at a speed and angle that would allow it to be over Ohio Valley Sunday afternoon and I think the low is supposed to be there at the same time. If the low was weaker perhaps but a 996 can punch through I guess...the thing that surprises me is no CAD signature. I know the HP is not over NY or Maine. Seems like we used to get that more often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 15z SREF finally stops the bleeding, because there is no blood left.....all of a sudden 50 degrees is not out of the question Monday Morning, 48 hrs ago it was supposed to be 20 at this time. Lastly, Tuesday Morning looks like DCA might not even reach the teens now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 15z SREF finally stops the bleeding, because there is no blood left.....all of a sudden 50 degrees is not out of the question Monday Morning, 48 hrs ago it was supposed to be 20 at this time. Lastly, Tuesday Morning looks like DCA might not even reach the teens now. I guess ripping snow at 22 degrees is out of the question now. I might be in until tomorrow's 12z runs to see where this goes. I'll be upset if we don't take a run at the seasonal record of 33* rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Masco has finally conceded this is mostly a rainstorm. So much for the overpowering cold idea lol. Of course he still claims he was correct because his initial call a few days ago was a more northern track(when the models showed that). Always good to take every possible position in order to claim victory. Funny how most of these guys go out of their way to claim they dont model hug, but in reality thats exactly what they do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Masco has finally conceded this is mostly a rainstorm. So much for the overpowering cold idea lol. Of course he still claims he was correct because his initial call a few days ago was a more northern track(when the models showed that). Always good to take every possible position in order to claim victory. Funny how most of these guys go out of their way to claim they dont model hug, but in reality thats exactly what they do I gotta give Bernie Rayno some credit. I watched his video about the Monday storm on Thursday night, and he kept saying how SNE may get a big storm out of this I thought no way was that possible, but alas it is happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 15z SREF finally stops the bleeding, because there is no blood left.....all of a sudden 50 degrees is not out of the question Monday Morning, 48 hrs ago it was supposed to be 20 at this time. Lastly, Tuesday Morning looks like DCA might not even reach the teens now. After reading your post I am really convinced we are done. That it's just not going to happen this winter and that's it. We are exactly where we were after Xmas with nothing to track and the future bleak only now spring is knocking on the door. This has been painful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 18z GFS is colder...subtle but noticeable nevertheless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 I'm guessing there will be an advisory for tomorrow midday to mid evening for HGR/MRB/OKV, etc, especially since a lot of people will be on the roads Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 How are the pressure contours coming along? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 All year the trend was less amped northern stream systems trending south. This one went from 1007 mb over sw va to 995 over Pitt in 36 hours. Every few mb deeper meant more south flow ahead and pushed the boundary north. This isn't a deep trough or upper low driven storm. It's just a wave riding the front so every push north of the boundary was another nail in our coffin. At this point I want it to keep going north. Might help our chances Thursday plus I want the snow far away not teasing me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 How are the pressure contours coming along? ??...If you stay late enough at your SB Party, you might be able to leave in shorts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 ??...If you stay late enough at your SB Party, you might be able to leave in shorts One can only hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 I'm guessing there will be an advisory for tomorrow midday to mid evening for HGR/MRB/OKV, etc, especially since a lot of people will be on the roadsZone forecast says 1" of snow during the day and evening, then freezing rain and sleet. Snow map says 2-3". Point and click says 1-2" tomorrow, 1-2" tomorrow night. Never understood why all those forecasts arent made to agree. Can see how the non-weenie public gets mixed messages.Snow cover held today. Think icing holds on most of tomorrow night here, probably at 32 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Dont get why anyone in the N.VA MD area even cares about this debacle of a storm at this point lol. I guess some get excited by sleet and zr changing to rain, but I have zero interest in it unless its transitioning to snow. I am good with the rain if its not gonna snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 18z GFS is colder...subtle but noticeable nevertheless noise. The track is almost identical. Besides ice sucks. Let's just hope this goes far enough north not to tease us at the last minute only to be let down when it's just another crap event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 I'm just rooting for NYC to get screwed.. GFS moved the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 I'm just rooting for NYC to get screwed.. GFS moved the right direction. they probably get a decent front end thump before going to rain but the big totals will be well nw of NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 noise. The track is almost identical. Besides ice sucks. Let's just hope this goes far enough north not to tease us at the last minute only to be let down when it's just another crap event. Yeah I thought it looked pretty much the same. A tad north if anything and ever so slightly weaker low in SW PA. And I agree, if it isnt gonna snow, its crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 I'm just rooting for NYC to get screwed.. GFS moved the right direction. Well on our way per the 18z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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