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Damage In Tolland

Storm Disco for Manitoba Mauler 01/26/27

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I'd love to on the NW periphery of the heavier QPF in this.....deformed to hoy hell.

Yeah you usually want to be right on the heavier gradient to really jack. Like if it goes from 1.4-0.4" in a short distance...you want to sit on the 1.2" line or so haha.

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I was thinking of that same post where Scott told James it was over, but James wouldn't let it go...He must have saw something that kept his hopes up...nice job/persistance James.  And yes, nobody saw this type of evolution at all just 12 hours ago.  Hopefully all of SNE gets in on it??  Fun Fun.

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Shift that a little further west and it will match my avatar........lol

HAHA Nice. Well I'm sure glad I didn't come home for the 3-6 dud (Which I felt was a dud all along) but I'm supposed to come home Tuesday from the NAMM Show in LA. I'm relying on All my best weather buds to tell me if I should change flights to Monday (Currently about 200 bucks more) to not miss this.

Thanks in Advance!

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Earlier in the season you weren't a fan of retro storms or hook and ladder backing in systems ;). I doubt that'll be the case this time.

 

There is a decent air mass and high in canada so no, Not this time

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Me FTL. Although, ask anybody if they expected this.

Nope.  The signal was there a week ago or so but as of yesterday it had flatlined.  Love when systems like this materialize on the models so close in.

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HAHA Nice. Well I'm sure glad I didn't come home for the 3-6 dud (Which I felt was a dud all along) but I'm supposed to come home Tuesday from the NAMM Show in LA. I'm relying on All my best weather buds to tell me if I should change flights to Monday (Currently about 200 bucks more) to not miss this.

Thanks in Advance!

 

 

Change it to Monday

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I'm not talking about today..... And shouldnt you be icing your injuries after your fall?

Damn.  You're fast.  I deleted that within a minute.

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Yeah...they can get thrown way back NW with those large mid level circulations. I'm cautiously optimistic up here.

Yeah I think you are good. I need the EURO to come in like some of the ARW members of the SREFS, lol, which had the deform zone like over Montreal with a SFC low on the coastline :lol:.

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Let's get this inside 36 hours. Still have nightmares about a last minute NW correction.

 

lol, You and one other may have that nightmare, If todays is and indicator, I would worry more about it going to far east

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HAHA Nice. Well I'm sure glad I didn't come home for the 3-6 dud (Which I felt was a dud all along) but I'm supposed to come home Tuesday from the NAMM Show in LA. I'm relying on All my best weather buds to tell me if I should change flights to Monday (Currently about 200 bucks more) to not miss this.

Thanks in Advance!

Change it. You won't make it in Tuesday. And how is a 3-6 a dud this winter? This is a nice event today.

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Fair enough...I wasn't following the model thread closely the last day or two so I missed that. Kudos to you and anyone who hadn't given up on this.

Sent from my iPhone

 

:)   what, give up ... a snow chance, on THIS forum?!   

 

j/k... Yeah, in fairness it was really just all about wave-length conservation/arguments, and that an east position didn't make sense with a ridge node fixed 120W over the Rockies and not progressing east and/or breaking down in doing so.  The west correction seems sort of simple now in retrospect.. .

 

Buuut, we'll see how it plays out..

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lol, You and one other may have that nightmare, If todays is and indicator, I would worry more about it going to far east

Well the concern to watch with this system will be does it bomb out like modeled. We've had a few systems this season that look like nukes in this 48-84 hour range, only to back off a bit on strength as Hour-0 approaches.

This past system did it a little bit, and our paste storm last week also trended a little weaker and east in the last 24 hours.

I'd feel good about this one on the coast, but inland will have to watch how it deepens. But that's a game time concern...one of those things where each RAP run comes out a few miles east and weaker as it approaches.

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dt going big time took from the nyc forum

 

ANALOGS      Break out the KU    2  volumes books

 

     
8-10 FEB 1969   the Lindays storm  
5-7 FEB  1978   .. Enough said 

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:)   what, give up ... a snow chance, on THIS forum?!   

 

j/k... Yeah, in fairness it was really just all about wave-length conservation/arguments, and that an east position didn't make sense with a ridge node fixed 120W over the Rockies and not progressing east and/or breaking down in doing so.  The west correction seems sort of simple now in retrospect.. .

 

Buuut, we'll see how it plays out..

 

Of course...pretty self explanatory...not sure how we all missed that  :P

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Cory change it, if this is legit you'll be stuck out there for a couple days before you can get rescheduled. No one is flying in or out of BOS/PVD Tuesday if todays 12z suite has a clue.

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At 7am. But I'm not aware of any euro maps available before 12:45-12:50.

 

 

Well the site I'm looking at says currently processing hour 12, so it changed from 00Z to 12Z run, map not actually visible yet.

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