Organizing Low Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 00z ECM holds and actually got wetter up here. Decent area of 1.8-2" in VT over to NNH/BML/ME MTNS. 1.75-2" includes myself, JSpin, mreeves, cardinal, the Lyndon guys, Allenson, hitman, etc. That's fairly impressive for the Op ECM so close in. There's going to be some good banding. Nice stuff out west by ORD to DTW. QPF seems to be there with ORD/Chicago area with 0.5"+ melted precip in 6-hours as snow. ORD picked up 0.2"/hr fall rates as snow, so the atmosphere seems to have some juice in the cold sector too. impressive numbers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 The weeniest of weenie questions...... Are things further west playing out as progged with respect to temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 these webcams are fun to look snowing in alot of vermont by the looks of things http://vtransmaps.vermont.gov/VTrans511/511live.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted March 12, 2014 Author Share Posted March 12, 2014 Latest maps from BTV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted March 12, 2014 Author Share Posted March 12, 2014 And the latest advisory from BTV EASTERN CLINTON-SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN- WESTERN CLINTON-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE- WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE- CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND- WINDSOR-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON- EASTERN RUTLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLATTSBURGH...STAR LAKE... SARANAC LAKE...TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID... PORT HENRY...TICONDEROGA...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS... NEWPORT...ISLAND POND...BURLINGTON...JOHNSON...STOWE... ST. JOHNSBURY...MONTPELIER...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES...BRADFORD... RANDOLPH...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD...WHITE RIVER JUNCTION... ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...RIPTON... EAST WALLINGFORD...KILLINGTON 509 AM EDT WED MAR 12 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON CONTINUES THE WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY. * LOCATIONS...THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACK MOUNTAINS...CHAMPLAIN VALLEY...AS WELL AS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN VERMONT...INCLUDING THE NORTHEAST KINGDOM. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...12 TO 20 INCHES OF SNOW. * MAXIMUM SNOWFALL RATE...1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...MAINLY THIS EVENING THROUGH MIDNIGHT. * TIMING...LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND INCREASE IN INTENSITY BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL TAPER OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS ON THURSDAY. THE SNOW COULD MIX WITH SLEET ACROSS PARTS OF RUTLAND AND WINDSOR COUNTIES WEDNESDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS...DIFFICULT TRAVEL EXPECTED WITH HEAVY SNOW AND AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. WHITEOUT CONDITIONS WILL EXIST AT TIMES. * WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...HIGHS AROUND 20. LOWS 1 BELOW TO 5 ABOVE ZERO. * VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES IN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...ESPECIALLY FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Light rain in Hubbardston. 33.5F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Light rain in Hubbardston. 33.5F You managed cooler than here--perhaps that'll bode well for you. Later this morning/noonish I'll take a quick drive to see what's going on in Heath. Should be rain by all models, but curious to see how the temps differ between here and there. 36.0/30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Obs in the obs thread guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Yeah any ZR obviously would be narrow and localized, I just thought it was an interesting aspect. Those elevations around 1000-2000 feet should get blasted too. There just won't be enough time to refreeze before hitting the mountains. A place like Sunapee could glaze over pretty badly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skimore Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 00z ECM holds and actually got wetter up here. Decent area of 1.8-2" in VT over to NNH/BML/ME MTNS. 1.75-2" includes myself, JSpin, mreeves, cardinal, the Lyndon guys, Allenson, hitman, etc. That's fairly impressive for the Op ECM so close in. There's going to be some good banding. Nice stuff out west by ORD to DTW. QPF seems to be there with ORD/Chicago area with 0.5"+ melted precip in 6-hours as snow. ORD picked up 0.2"/hr fall rates as snow, so the atmosphere seems to have some juice in the cold sector too. What do you project your lift situation to be tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Reminds me of the day after 3/8/05 flash freeze storm. I think we had a high of like 17 with absolutely brutal winds. Can't imagine how nasty it felt up in the mountains that day. Thursday will be similar. 3/18/67, day after a 6" clipper - NYC max was 20 (latest they've ever had that cold a high) and we only reached low teens in NNJ, with wind. GYX snow tool amounts, 7:30 AM version: PWM....4.1" LEW....8.4" AUG...10.1" RUM...17.5" Rangeley..21.9" Map has loads of 18-24" in foothills/mys, with one teeny spot of 24-30" at the "Loaf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 3/18/67, day after a 6" clipper - NYC max was 20 (latest they've ever had that cold a high) and we only reached low teens in NNJ, with wind. GYX snow tool amounts, 7:30 AM version: PWM....4.1" LEW....8.4" AUG...10.1" RUM...17.5" Rangeley..21.9" Map has loads of 18-24" in foothills/mys, with one teeny spot of 24-30" at the "Loaf. And confidence is proportional to snow totals. The more snow in the forecast the better I feel about it, the less snow in the forecast the more likely we bust. I don't know why we bother blending in anything with the Euro anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Any mets ideas..for Sne tonight/tomorrow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Any mets ideas..for Sne tonight/tomorrow... You have said you are one. So what are your thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Any mets ideas..for Sne tonight/tomorrow...Euro has 2 in your hood wrap around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdgraves Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 PWM downgraded to "little or no accumulation". Guess I gotta go to work today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Yeah maybe an inch or two for most..perhaps 2-3 or so near rt 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 You have said you are one. So what are your thoughts? lolz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 A nightmare commute tomorrow morning. Flash over with little or no lead time to treat roads. Worst scenario, better all snow. I'm happy for the NNE crew but the impact is greater in more populous areas of SNE. OT: Finally can see the blades of brown matted grass! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Euro has decent wrap around, NW Mass over by MPM is an interesting spot tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Wrap around is always a crap shoot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 A nightmare commute tomorrow morning. Flash over with little or no lead time to treat roads. Worst scenario, better all snow. I'm happy for the NNE crew but the impact is greater in more populous areas of SNE. OT: Finally can see the blades of brown matted grass! Yeah. It will be interesting to see how this affects the commute/schools etc Impossible to pin down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Euro has decent wrap around, NW Mass over by MPM is an interesting spot tonight. not for 'nothing, but I like where that 30-36 bullseye sits. I better get on the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Guys looking forward to all the reports. Please post up some photos and videos too. Heading north tonight I think to get some skiing in or may wait until later Thursday. 2 feet looks like a solid possibility from Stowe to Sugarloaf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 I assume that's the midlevel front moving north along that sharp edge on radar? On my phone so I dont have much to go by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Guys looking forward to all the reports. Please post up some photos and videos too. Heading north tonight I think to get some skiing in or may wait until later Thursday. 2 feet looks like a solid possibility from Stowe to Sugarloaf. have fun, polar gear needed Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 Well,good luck to all the mets with this as well NNE crew. Sent from my VS980 4G using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 I will be grabbing pics etc. when we get into the worst conditions tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 12, 2014 Share Posted March 12, 2014 I assume that's the midlevel front moving north along that sharp edge on radar? On my phone so I dont have much to go by. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/mobile.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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