LithiaWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Here is a game, someone please give your opinion on what Ptype you think this is : Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Why are folks still looking at the gfs? It went all in with a pair of two's and the euro has a royal straight flush. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterhawk Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I was able to manage about 3 hours of sleep last night between radar/model checking. I wonder how much sleep I’ll be able to get tonight with the storm of the century approaching? Anybody else preparing for sleep deprivation over the next 48 hours? Wifey got me 8 2ltr diet mt dews today; I'm good for a bit.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelJ Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The GFS KGSO bufkit made my knees weak. Check out KINT, it's even worse! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Here is a game, someone please give your opinion on what Ptype you think this is The first sounding: freezing rain/sleet mix. 2nd sounding: All sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 GFS looks good to me. More snow and less ice. Just looked at 18z GFS bufkit for RDU. Looks like first 0.75 inches of QPF or so is all snow per soundings. About 0.25-0.3 that is freezing rain, then last 0.1 is snow. I will take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 already am sleep deprived. I haven't slept in 2 weeks because of things not related to weather so this is making it even worse to say the least. And um, yeah..the latest rap radar forecast was.....interesting. I can think of a good joke or two about weenies with this Me too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I like the looks of that baroclinic leaf already developing in Northern Mississippi right now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Check out KINT, it's even worse! Not possible. You are talking about 12 miles. Please post if you can. I am mobile for this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 already am sleep deprived. I haven't slept in 2 weeks because of things not related to weather so this is making it even worse to say the least. And um, yeah..the latest rap radar forecast was.....interesting. I can think of a good joke or two about weenies with this fixed had to sensor it, think of the children. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Here is a game, someone please give your opinion on what Ptype you think this is : IP? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 This is about as off topic as you can get, but if you're taking your mind off the storm and watching the nc state-wake game, look for me! I'll be in the crazy multicolored mask behind the state bench. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Here is a game, someone please give your opinion on what Ptype you think this is : Top one is SN & IP mix, maybe 50/50 - 40-60, bottom one is mostly SN with some (20%) IP mix, both are not classic dendrite reaching the surface, so structures may look a little off giving, and ratios will be lower due to the melting between 825-900mb. A lot will depend on rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I like the looks of that baroclinic leaf already developing in Northern Mississippi right now! No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 This is about as off topic as you can get, but if you're taking your mind off the storm and watching the nc state-wake game, look for me! I'll be in the crazy multicolored mask behind the state bench. Help lead us to victory, we need it! I'll keep my eyes open for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Here is a game, someone please give your opinion on what Ptype you think this is : Graupel. Probably sleet though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Why are folks still looking at the gfs? It went all in with a pair of two's and the euro has a royal straight flush. An argument would be that it has better data sampling since it is a North American model. It theoretically could handle this storm better right now since all the players are on the field. Tonight's 00z runs will be telling as recon is happening right now in the gulf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Why are folks still looking at the gfs? It went all in with a pair of two's and the euro has a royal straight flush. Agreed, the Euro has this tracking over Jacksonville, I am sue JB has it moving either farther west. The GFS/GEFS/UK/GEM/GEMENS all have it tracking right around HAT, big bust coming on those models. I guess RGEM got the message. Hard to believe the Euro has had this storm for about 8 days without losing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 No Looks like it to me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 So does Max just steal posts from other forums and pass them off as his own? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Lets hear ? Somebody is about to get the shaft of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Agreed, the Euro has this tracking over Jacksonville, I am sue JB has it moving either farther west. The GFS/GEFS/UK/GEM/GEMENS all have it tracking right around HAT, big bust coming on those models. I guess RGEM got the message. Hard to believe the Euro has had this storm for about 8 days without losing it. Do you just refuse to read what the WPC said about the Euro track? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crapper Jim Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Channel 4 Met, Greenville, SC can hardly contain himself. Used the word... "historic". He wanted to say "biblical", I suspect. Couldn't see anything below his waist, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Watch out for the monkeys in Alabama! 000 FXUS64 KBMX 112328 AFDBMX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 528 PM CST TUE FEB 11 2014 .UPDATE... FOR 00Z AVIATION. && .DISCUSSION... THE FIRST ROUND OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS OVER FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA BUT THE BRACE BEGINS FOR ROUND TWO. THE FIRST ROUND OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION PRODUCED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF COUNTIES AND THIS SECOND ROUND LOOKS TO PRODUCE HIGHER A**LESS CHAPS WEARING MONKEY AMOUNTS ACROSS A LARGER AREA OF CENTRAL ALABAMA. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IS PICKING UP ON THE MAIN PLAYERS IN THE WEATHER SITUATION OVER THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HRS. THE FIRST UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS DIVING DOWN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WITH THE SECOND MOVING SOUTHEAST DOWN ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. AT THE SURFACE...A LOW IS CURRENTLY DEVELOPING ALONG THE TEXAS COAST IN A BAROCLINIC ZONE. A STATIONARY BOUNDARY CURRENTLY STRETCHES ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crapper Jim Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 NBC News Headline (TV). Lead story w/ the SE Storm. Hope we live up to the hype! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Latest RAP lines up exceptionally well with the 18z GFS @5h when the phasing is happening. 18z GFS might be on to something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Anybody sure when the recon is over with? I know its going on atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Can't be, it's not the Euro track. It actually looks to phase a little later than the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Anybody sure when the recon is over with? I know its going on atm. It should be over around now. Data ingest should take an hour or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 ok some of the posts this afternoon are hysterical lol. finally got caught up on stuff i think. i am tired from todays event - way over performed. wish i hadnt looked out the window at 5 AM (lol joking of course i have been pretty much thinking mostly snow so no issues here. but seeing what this wet snow did today to the trees and limbs, and seeing that it is all still there, makes me wonder about my power now. got my phone and ipad plugged in to keep charged just in case lol. just started realizing the winds should start howling at some point (i have been focusing on today up until now) tell me about it lol. got up at 5 am. as soon as the snow let up and i took the final measurement i went to bed for a 3 hour power nap lol. thinking it will be a smart move seeing whats next. i am still floored by todays over performance and am having trouble grasping whats up next and the amounts i am seeing. i am not dreaming still i hope if this cranks as advertised and getting clobbered with heavy snow again at 2 AM i plan to be up for that! temps slowly (and painfully slowly) dropping. its so foggy that may end up with some freezing fog/drizzle is the winds dont clear things out soon Got up at 5 am but took a 3hr nap during the mass melting. Ready for a long day tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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