JoshM Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Well... the wind and heat will really suck this summer since all the trees in my neighborhood will be gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Check out @WxSouth's Tweet: https://twitter.com/WxSouth/status/432709088598695936 Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I'm sure there is some good reason you are allowed to post here. (Mods: my report button won't submit, so please accept this as the same) RDU rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 LMAO, the WeatherBell clown is awesome for the 00z NAM. Too bad it's almost all IP and/or ZR (depending on where you are). This LMA poster is a grade A troll and is just lying about stuff now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Well it's the NAM at 60+ hours, I would be more concerned if it was wide right off the coast. It very well maybe right, and all the models tonight trend to a super bomb that tracks inland and we get cold rain. But, I didn't believe the 18z NAM run and I don't believe this 0z NAM run and I didn't believe the NAM runs yesterday that was giving all of NC 15" of snow which was modeled out to 60+ hours out. RGEM will be telling in about 15 minutes.Yep zero consistency with the Nam so why would anyone believe in it at this point?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Not after the 00z NAM. IF the NAM is right RDU may not indeed need a watch, but the triad still would for ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 More likely we get an inland track than offshore track. How often are there significant snowstorms that take the CMC's track with a +NAO, -PNA, and +AO? Hell imagine if we had some blocking with this storm coming through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 LOL.....ain't gonna be rain kids. Keep sayin' that and I'll keep laughing.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 IF the NAM is right RDU may not indeed need a watch, but the triad still would for ice. The Triad would be absolutely crippled with tons of IP/ZR and then backside snow. But it's the NAM and the NAM doesn't get into its wheelhouse until hr 0. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Lettuce how it goes. Yeah the models have really beefed up their totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 For some real perspective. Still ice for RDU on the NAM. Soundings say this is mostly all freezing rain and some sleet for RDU. Brief period of rain as well and snow at the end. NAM goes bonkers closes off the 500mb s/w at 84 hours, wraps in the surface low bringing a big surge of warm air aloft. This is probalby another extreme solution. Holy cow the model waffles/confusion is amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Yep zero consistency with the Nam so why would anyone believe in it at this point?? And not surprising but the RGEM isn't nearly as amped at 48 as the NAM is. We are still 60 hours out, these mesoscale models are not very good outside 36 hours. Now watch the UK/GFS/CMC all come in crazy amped, LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I know he's trying to type NOAA, but he's done it twice now and he's just lying about things. The NOAA has said no such thing. In fact, RAH mentioned in their afternoon AFD that a Winter Storm Watch would probably be needed by tomorrow afternoon. I'd like to see him back up his statement. Someone knowingly posting false information is a problem for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I'm sure there is some good reason you are allowed to post here. (Mods: my report button won't submit, so please accept this as the same) Complete, LMA will be sitting this one out, thanks Skip! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Yeah the models have really beefed up their totals. totally gone banana's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 For some real perspective. Still ice for RDU on the NAM. Actually that makes me feel better about this trending to rain for us, if that crazy inland track doesn't make us all rain than we have a fighting chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 These puns are cheesy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 These puns are cheesy. I see what you did there, even if unintentional (which I'm giving you the benefit of the doubt that it was indeed intentional) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Shawn must have drunk himself to death after seeing the NAM Sent from my HTC One using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Not sure if anyone has posted this but Robert put up a video on his site for paying members. All of the SE will love it. (if this has already been posted, mods can delete) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Of course JB says he likes the NAM track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Shawn must have drunk himself to death after seeing the NAM Sent from my HTC One This made me spit pepsi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 The NAM Cobb output gives GSO 1.8" of SN (and more SN to come with the band after hr 84), 1.12" PL, and 0.54" ZR with temperatures in the low to mid 20s. Armageddon. Of course, I'm sure it's wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 And not surprising but the RGEM isn't nearly as amped at 48 as the NAM is. We are still 60 hours out, these mesoscale models are not very good outside 36 hours. Now watch the UK/GFS/CMC all come in crazy amped, LOL.the nam did not start phasing until hour 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 For reference the 0z NAM output for ice... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 And not surprising but the RGEM isn't nearly as amped at 48 as the NAM is. We are still 60 hours out, these mesoscale models are not very good outside 36 hours. Now watch the UK/GFS/CMC all come in crazy amped, LOL.the nam did not start phasing until hour 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 NAM 1.24qpf 850s below 0 temps 19-25 wow, but I don't believe it. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I think everyone north and west of the southeastern corner of Wake Co will stay frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I think everyone north and west of the southeastern corner of Wake Co will stay frozen.I'm hoping for a cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I'm hoping for a cold rain.Lolxz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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