Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 If someone gets a 14-18" lolli...its going to be somewhere that gets OES enhancement I think...it could be one of those storms where a jackpot spot gets 8" more than a spot within 20 miles. North Shore looks good too for a time before the BL goes more northerly. I would think so. TBH based on most of the progs I think we would see lollis to at least that amount but it's far too early to forecast/plan that. Even with the Euro troubles this year I'd still put it ahead of the others, really need to see it rebound here today to be confident. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 How about Beverly to Lynn? Good place for this IMO, should be well within the range or any OES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 How about Beverly to Lynn? WHITE GOLD..no worries what-so-ever. Put an extra log on the fire, pop the cork and enjoy Chris- thanks for the maps. I'm stoked. A great way to start '14 with 14" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 How about Beverly to Lynn? N burbs of bos need to get solid waa snows to really cash in.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I would think so. TBH based on most of the progs I think we would see lollis to at least that amount but it's far too early to forecast/plan that. Even with the Euro troubles this year I'd still put it ahead of the others, really need to see it rebound here today to be confident. Euro definitely bothers me for really hammering the higher totals....but hopefully 12z sheds some light. The other guidance at 12z hasn't really backed down. Ukie ramped up too at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shawnmov Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Sorry for the OT but if you have the NHL channel, check out the pre game scene for the game in Ann Arbor today. 13 degrees and snow for an outdoor hockey game. What a scene! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Canadian ramped up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 You will pile up WAA stuff. I'm a bit worried about a meh sliver....between the best WAA to the north, and the cf enhancement to the ese. But hey, I went 8-12". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 If the Ukie cranked up then the Euro will too since they generally follow the same pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 A little difference in location, but not so far off. 850 mb fgen. Euro EC_06z.jpg GFS GFS_06z.jpg NAM NAM_06z.jpg Can you explain what the colors represent? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Guys how sharp is the WAA snows cut off from pike to rte 2 to snh (MHT area). Can we envision like 2 ,6, 10 respectively . Also is WAA snow gradient strictly N-S Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Canadian ramped up. Finally back into reality. Looks like the RGEM, maybe a touch tamer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Can you explain what the colors represent? They represent frontogenesis, the warmer the color the stronger it is. So the NAM and GFS max out their color scales, the Euro suffers from resolution issues on our displays so appears relatively weaker (I have no doubt in reality it is similar to the Americans). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 They represent frontogenesis, the warmer the color the stronger it is. So the NAM and GFS max out their color scales, the Euro suffers from resolution issues on our displays so appears relatively weaker (I have no doubt in reality it is similar to the Americans). o.k. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Yeah Ryan...those totals just over the border may be just as high as some areas in ern MA. The euro argues a jackpot in SVT and SNH through ME. Yea, this area looks to be sandwiched between the two most favored areas....the immediate coast, and the NH border region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Remember all that Nam chatter about 90 minutes ago? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I could see W ORH county and into CT River valley getting a bit of screwjie if the WAA snows lift north and then the other stuff is mostly along the east slope and eastern MA. Too early to tell though right now. Nothing new about that here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Remember all that Nam chatter about 90 minutes ago? Lol Yup. What it showed at 00z and especially 06z were/are likely overdone. Not sure why you freaked out over it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Yup. What it showed at 00z and especially 06z were/are likely overdone. Not sure why you freaked out over it.I sure didn't. We said toss. But you and some others thought it was correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Ukie's 500mb looks really good, surface doesn't match it though, I like the trend though, I only look at the model for trends lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 10-14" from start to finish..initial burst looks on track based on latest RAP/hrrr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I sure didn't. We said toss. But you and some others thought it was correct And what are the voices telling you now? NAM backs off a little, Euro ramps up a little and we might have a nice little consensus. Although the GFS is most bullish for us on the northern side of things. 0.60" well into NH and SW ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I sure didn't. We said toss. But you and some others thought it was correct I do not toss the 12z NAM solution. It's solution is a reasonable one to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I do not toss the 12z NAM solution. It's solution is reasonable one to me. Yeah sort of reminds me of the 00z Euro. It's easy to toss things when you're wearing weenie goggles! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 what a clown - Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 34s Hoist the http://Weatherbell.com Winter storm flag. Wild 10 days starts with NJ to New England Blizzard. RRRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 That is one ugly dry slot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 And what are the voices telling you now? NAM backs off a little, Euro ramps up a little and we might have a nice little consensus. Although the GFS is most bullish for us on the northern side of things. 0.60" well into NH and SW ME. Why is this so hard for some to comprehend? The 06z NAM was a clear outlier. The 09z SREFs, as far as I know, are based off that, so we should see the 15z SREFs come back down some as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 That is one ugly dry slot I was told there wouldn't be one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 There's alwYs been one modeled south of NYC. No surprises there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Why is this so hard for some to comprehend? The 06z NAM was a clear outlier. The 09z SREFs, as far as I know, are based off that, so we should see the 15z SREFs come back down some as well. Hard to takes those SREF too seriously when more than half spit out 20+ for PWM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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