Damage In Tolland Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 Its like 30 hours worth of rain...its not THAT fast. But it really dumps on us between midday friday and early Saturday morning. A good chunk of SNE is over 3 inches of rain on the Euro. Big difference between 3+ and 10 inches like Ggem has though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 I stand by my statement. Phil says rain is over early Saturday FTW. Tickle the pickle Good news and lol if the GGEM is right it would be the second coup in two weeks, it nailed the Memorial day Noreaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 Euro is 2.50"-3.50" of rain from NYC to Boston. Not quite as wet as the GGEM but the same general theme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 Big difference between 3+ and 10 inches like Ggem has though I don't think anyone is expecting 8-10 inches of rain. But this is definitely starting to set up as a potential minor flood event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 WOW, look for Peabody on the news if these totals stick Around! Kids floating house to house on mattresses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 Euro is hideous on Monday...we get CAD'd with chilly rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 Analog-based SW CT jackpot FTW: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 I don't think anyone is expecting 8-10 inches of rain. But this is definitely starting to set up as a potential minor flood event. Agreed...the high amounts are likely over-done but a widespread 2-4" is looking more likely. The chance is there for a small local area to go big though if they start training. But I wouldn't worry SNE...climo favors NNE and NY state with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 Agreed...the high amounts are likely over-done but a widespread 2-4" is looking more likely. The chance is there for a small local area to go big though if they start training. But I wouldn't worry SNE...climo favors NNE and NY state with this one. I suppose we also have to adjust for the damaging drought we are having. Dry begets dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 Now it works opposite. Once you eliminate one extreme you create another. Now the threat focuses on flood damage. How many trees and homes will be sucked down swollen rivers ? How much Livestock will perish in floodwaters? How high will water tables get? Will we walking on spongelike lawns filled to capacity? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 Euro is hideous on Monday...we get CAD'd with chilly rain.Despite the warmth on June 1st and 2nd, the first half of the month is almost certainly going to finish below normal with the cool/dry air mass this week and then a Nor'easter. I remember the massive negative departures we accrued in June 2009 when we had a similar set-up. I don't think we'll be as cold as that month though because there are signs of Plains ridging moving east by the month's third week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 What is, "something that CT Blizz would never say in winter", Alex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 so much for those who went warm for June... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 Toggling between the GFS and ECM for 06z Saturday on wunderground is quite comical. Reminds me of a nor'easter during the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 Despite the warmth on June 1st and 2nd, the first half of the month is almost certainly going to finish below normal with the cool/dry air mass this week and then a Nor'easter. I remember the massive negative departures we accrued in June 2009 when we had a similar set-up. I don't think we'll be as cold as that month though because there are signs of Plains ridging moving east by the month's third week. Bad memories of that summer. After nary a drop June 1-8, we had measurable precip on 18 of the final 22 days, and traces on 3 of the other 4. Then measurable on 24 days in July, for a 2-month total precip just over 17". June had 20 days with highs in the 50s and 60s, and its warmest day was only 77. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 4, 2013 Author Share Posted June 4, 2013 I'll be happy to see the heavy stuff continue to shift east. We really don't have any use for flooding here at the Pit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 4, 2013 Share Posted June 4, 2013 18z GFS back to looking convective with the precip with a min over SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 4, 2013 Author Share Posted June 4, 2013 18z GFS back to looking convective with the precip with a min over SNE. I'm inclined to stick with the eastern shift to a max in sne. It--is Sam still in Norman? Has he been involved with any of the storm assessments? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted June 5, 2013 Share Posted June 5, 2013 Despite the warmth on June 1st and 2nd, the first half of the month is almost certainly going to finish below normal with the cool/dry air mass this week and then a Nor'easter. I remember the massive negative departures we accrued in June 2009 when we had a similar set-up. I don't think we'll be as cold as that month though because there are signs of Plains ridging moving east by the month's third week. Not a chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted June 5, 2013 Share Posted June 5, 2013 I would not bet against mr torchey on departures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 5, 2013 Share Posted June 5, 2013 EC ens are pretty wet. 72hr mean at d5 is 1.5"+ through most of VT/NH/MA/RI/CT and SW ME with a 2" bullseye from about BGM-BDL. Hopefully late Saturday gets salvaged for Steve and Kevin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 5, 2013 Share Posted June 5, 2013 I would not bet against mr torchey on departures.The trend is our friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 5, 2013 Share Posted June 5, 2013 Not a chance Good luck....Nights in the 40s here in Dobbs Ferry are going to be chopping off those positive departures fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 5, 2013 Share Posted June 5, 2013 Can't ask for much more really FRIDAY-SATURDAY...CONTINUE TO SEE SIGNALS OF A FLOOD EVENTSOMEWHERE ACROSS THE REGION. NOTING PWAT AXIS OF 1.8 TO 2 INCHESMOVING UP THE COAST DURING FRIDAY...THEN WILL SHIFT E SATURDAY.ALONG WITH THIS IS INCREASING DEWPTS ALONG WITH E-SE WINDSSHIFTING TO S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 5, 2013 Author Share Posted June 5, 2013 I didn't expect to see the 5-day total hpc amounts to look like this. Not so bad once you get north of CT and RI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted June 5, 2013 Share Posted June 5, 2013 so much for those who went warm for June... right, because it is easy to claim victory 4 days into the month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted June 5, 2013 Share Posted June 5, 2013 I didn't expect to see the 5-day total hpc amounts to look like this. Not so bad once you get north of CT and RI. Au revoir, Great Drought 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 5, 2013 Share Posted June 5, 2013 Can't ask for much more really FRIDAY-SATURDAY...CONTINUE TO SEE SIGNALS OF A FLOOD EVENT SOMEWHERE ACROSS THE REGION. NOTING PWAT AXIS OF 1.8 TO 2 INCHES MOVING UP THE COAST DURING FRIDAY...THEN WILL SHIFT E SATURDAY. ALONG WITH THIS IS INCREASING DEWPTS ALONG WITH E-SE WINDS SHIFTING TO S. LOL maybe Sat they tickle 60 for a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted June 5, 2013 Share Posted June 5, 2013 Good luck....Nights in the 40s here in Dobbs Ferry are going to be chopping off those positive departures fast. I don't need luck just knowledge and understanding climo, heck even yesterday was a +1 here with a high of 77..........warm nights coming up will ensure slightly positive departures during this "cool" period thanks to clouds and dews. Its a lock for + departures at all 4 in sne, not even close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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