dendrite Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 RPM has done very well this winter. It's nailed max areas of snow in countless storms. At times it's high numbers have verified. I wouldn't toss those amounts at allLooks like it is trying to upslope over your scalp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 I need 13.5" the last two storms have overproduced for me i'm hoping this one does too. 17" here... Maybe next week... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Looks like it is trying to upslope over your scalp.Im not saying its right but it nailed Dec 27, the Blizz and March 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 I always hedge negatively by a few when we play with the east wind. Given I only tracked the blizzard, I'm not sure where to put the seasonal trend into my forecast. As usual early late season, put a big asterisk anywhere with elevation and increase their totals. I guess 3-6" for BOS would be fair at this point. What would be the high end bust for us in your opinion? See I think winds will be more NE like 060 or 070. Not the 090 stuff the GFS has out. 8-9 is high end I think. I don't have the stones to put that out unless the euro went nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Also, we may see a cold air tuck develop and try to tickle south during the day. That complicates things if low pressure intensifies near the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 "In fairness, Ed was talking pavement temps" Coming late to this item... Given a breakfast time thump with temps in the 20s, it's going to take some time before the sun can even see pavement. Unless the crummy rates last many hours (and clouds thin to where the sun is a visible dot), I can see pavement remaining at least slushy throughout the day, maybe with white patches where tall softwoods line the south side of the road. Memory includes storms of 3/15/99 and 3/30/01 where moderate snow at 30-32 had trouble whitening the roads but kept all but the major routes slushy through the early aft, before the evening +SN pounded us. GYX progs Jeff for high of 30 tomorrow, and upper 20s for MBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 RPM crush job from here north with 12+ and 16+ for Will north http://twitter.com/RyanBretonWX/status/313682736772694018/photo/1 BANG! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 12z RGEM is warm at 850mb. Nice front end for S/SNE but looks to change most over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 RGEM looks close even where I sit... 850 temps have been a concern for a little while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 12z Ukie brings the 850 0c line up to CT/MA/RI border. Still a solid front end though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 lol at the rpm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterLand Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 lol, sick gradient near Boston on rpm... I have a hard time believing that model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Im not saying its right but it nailed Dec 27, the Blizz and March 8 Didn't it have like 50-70 inch snows for some in the Blizzard... and like 30-40" snows on March 8? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 18, 2013 Author Share Posted March 18, 2013 Didn't it have like 50-70 inch snows for some in the Blizzard... and like 30-40" snows on March 8? Yeah, That's why i said it was a weenie model, It had some outlandish totals on a few of these events, I really don't know how accurate it has been, Not much mention about it up this way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 I thought that was the nam? Didn't it have like 50-70 inch snows for some in the Blizzard... and like 30-40" snows on March 8? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Didn't it have like 50-70 inch snows for some in the Blizzard... and like 30-40" snows on March 8?Youre thinking about those weenie Sref plumes. Those things have been brutal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Tamarack- I'm having trouble replying to posts for some reason, but March insolation doesn't care about clouds, lol. You guys will do fine, but don't be surprised to see wet/slushy pavement especially on main roads through 21z or so. After that you'll rip hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Euro is significantly cooler, and a little weaker on precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Euro is a tick colder with the 850 0C line. Gets it to CEF to about BOS or a hair north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 My stab at it: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Wow, the Euro is cold...its going to allow the secondary to produce more in SNE...the front end thump is weaker at its expense though...however I think the end result will be better for some areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Wow, the Euro is cold...its going to allow the secondary to produce more in SNE...the front end thump is weaker at its expense though...however I think the end result will be better for some areas. it really redevelops precip from ORH to BOS and on north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Euro is a tick colder with the 850 0C line. Gets it to CEF to about BOS or a hair north. Makes a world of difference with the backside potential though for areas around the Braintree split and upper SO. Shore through BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Two votes Euro "colder" one vote Euro "tick" colder. What's the net result for Tolland? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 it really redevelops precip from ORH to BOS and on north. What is that falling as, though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 it really redevelops precip from ORH to BOS and on north. That's a great run from NE Mass on north. I'm wondering how it looks at 925mb and in the BL. I'm thinking sleet after the snow 12z-18z around here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 it really redevelops precip from ORH to BOS and on north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Euro is a tick colder with the 850 0C line. Gets it to CEF to about BOS or a hair north. <kev> Yeah as we thought, cold, cold, cold and snowy is the way to go. Ballz deep. NUDE! <kev> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 What is that falling as, though? Probably rain to brief snow here? It may be that the rasn line is literally near your hood or just NW. Very tight, but every tick SE helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Sounds like it keeps most folks all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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