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October 2026 general discussion


Typhoon Tip
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17 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Peak color here this week but pretty meh overall . Not the best year 

I have to disagree. I was just saying to my daughter that this year's colors have been much more vibrant in the last few years. I think it's looking fantastic.

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 Could not have foreseen this when I came out here last week: 

In addition to the heavy rainfall and flash flood threat, another
threat to watch out for will be severe weather. Given the moderate
levels of instability in place combined with strong 0-6 km vertical
shear in excess of 50 kts, the thunderstorms that do develop will
likely have some organization to them with the potential to acquire
supercellular characteristics. In fact, the Storm Prediction Center
has highlighted much of the higher terrain areas east of Phoenix in
a slight risk (Level 2 out 5) for severe weather for Wednesday, with
a marginal risk (Level 1 out 5) across the rest of south-central AZ,
including the Phoenix metro area. The thunderstorms that do develop
will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, large hail, and
even an isolated tornado given that there will be about 10-20 kts of
low-level shear. The threat of severe weather will also exist into
Thursday as well, especially Thursday morning, as the instability
and shear parameters will still be sufficient.
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8 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah I have a lot of oaks here locally. Strong trees but ugly regarding foliage. I do have a couple on the property that change to red which is nice.

The red oak sapling outside the window has a nice but not vibrant burgundy color but the 24"/90ft red oak 50 yards away is going toward brown.  The only bright red oaks I see in this area are the pin oak street trees in Farmington - moderately common in the mid-Atlantic but not native to Maine.  Jeff has a couple of them in his yard; haven't heard how they've colored this fall.

Other than the oaks and some dark yellow understory beech, we're in stick season.  Many of those beech leaves will turn tan and hang on until bud break in May.

22/25/27 lows the most recent 3 mornings.

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41 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

 Could not have foreseen this when I came out here last week: 

In addition to the heavy rainfall and flash flood threat, another
threat to watch out for will be severe weather. Given the moderate
levels of instability in place combined with strong 0-6 km vertical
shear in excess of 50 kts, the thunderstorms that do develop will
likely have some organization to them with the potential to acquire
supercellular characteristics. In fact, the Storm Prediction Center
has highlighted much of the higher terrain areas east of Phoenix in
a slight risk (Level 2 out 5) for severe weather for Wednesday, with
a marginal risk (Level 1 out 5) across the rest of south-central AZ,
including the Phoenix metro area. The thunderstorms that do develop
will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, large hail, and
even an isolated tornado given that there will be about 10-20 kts of
low-level shear. The threat of severe weather will also exist into
Thursday as well, especially Thursday morning, as the instability
and shear parameters will still be sufficient.

I think it’s a rare severe threat out there too.

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57 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

 Could not have foreseen this when I came out here last week: 

In addition to the heavy rainfall and flash flood threat, another
threat to watch out for will be severe weather. Given the moderate
levels of instability in place combined with strong 0-6 km vertical
shear in excess of 50 kts, the thunderstorms that do develop will
likely have some organization to them with the potential to acquire
supercellular characteristics. In fact, the Storm Prediction Center
has highlighted much of the higher terrain areas east of Phoenix in
a slight risk (Level 2 out 5) for severe weather for Wednesday, with
a marginal risk (Level 1 out 5) across the rest of south-central AZ,
including the Phoenix metro area. The thunderstorms that do develop
will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, large hail, and
even an isolated tornado given that there will be about 10-20 kts of
low-level shear. The threat of severe weather will also exist into
Thursday as well, especially Thursday morning, as the instability
and shear parameters will still be sufficient.

Enhanced risk added with the D2 this afternoon for hail 

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1 hour ago, Cyclone-68 said:

 Could not have foreseen this when I came out here last week: 

In addition to the heavy rainfall and flash flood threat, another
threat to watch out for will be severe weather. Given the moderate
levels of instability in place combined with strong 0-6 km vertical
shear in excess of 50 kts, the thunderstorms that do develop will
likely have some organization to them with the potential to acquire
supercellular characteristics. In fact, the Storm Prediction Center
has highlighted much of the higher terrain areas east of Phoenix in
a slight risk (Level 2 out 5) for severe weather for Wednesday, with
a marginal risk (Level 1 out 5) across the rest of south-central AZ,
including the Phoenix metro area. The thunderstorms that do develop
will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, large hail, and
even an isolated tornado given that there will be about 10-20 kts of
low-level shear. The threat of severe weather will also exist into
Thursday as well, especially Thursday morning, as the instability
and shear parameters will still be sufficient.

the three times I had to go to PHX for work there was some weird weather phenomena...one flash flooding storm, actually made the salt river flow violent for a couple days, a heat wave in July 125+ during the day but the 95+ night wind was worse, and a crazy sand storm I saw coming from south mountain across sky harbor, don't like PHX but Tempe and Mesa were cool. Tempe especially because ASU campus is all around with a plethora of establishments to check out.

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