September Discobs 2026

[EastCoast NPZ]

4 hours ago, stormy said:

4 inches of rain by Sept. 26 looks wonderful!!

Well, that would be a nice end to the drought.

[CAPE]

6 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

Well, that would be a nice end to the drought.

Per the latest US Drought Monitor update, both of our yards are still in a moderate drought.

[Jebman]

Missed again. No surprise. Where's all the Moisture?

It's over the Southeastern and Mid Atlantic. Not over Texas. Never will be. Not with this particular Nino.

I am shyte outta luck.

Man, I was shyte outta luck when I was born.

I'm still shyte outta luck right now with no rain at all and torrential storms miles away.

Austin is under progressive Desertification.

The Southeast and the Mid Atlantic will turn into Waterworld. Just like the movie. Atlanta has several Flash Flood Warnings, some places are getting 3-5 inches of fresh, life-giving rainfall.

I've been saying it. I've been saying it all this time. The Southeast is directly underneath that record moisture plume.

[CAPE]

The 0.62" this morning certainly helped here. Maybe in the next few weeks the entire area can get back to 'normal'.

[WxUSAF]

7 hours ago, high risk said:

   Besides the overall NAM Nest struggles this summer that you've documented, this looks to be a classic case of the NAM being too slow with the system, causing it to arrive at a very unfavorable time.    Its timing is a clear outlier for now.

18z mesos were mostly tragic for our yards. My goodness I’m ready for a giant synoptic rain shield and temps in the 50s

[osfan24]

19 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

18z mesos were mostly tragic for our yards. My goodness I’m ready for a giant synoptic rain shield and temps in the 50s

Would love that but would also love not having to constantly cut my grass so…..

[BlizzardNole]

1 hour ago, WxUSAF said:

18z mesos were mostly tragic for our yards. My goodness I’m ready for a giant synoptic rain shield and temps in the 50s

Basically most of this upcoming winter

[Jebman]

6 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

18z mesos were mostly tragic for our yards. My goodness I’m ready for a giant synoptic rain shield and temps in the 50s

Oh, it's on the way. You're going to get your wish. Lots of cloudy synoptic stratiform rains, one after the other for months and months. This super nino has got the DMV's Name all over it, and the moisture Plume is pointed directly at the Southeast and the DMV Regions. You are going to get lots and lots and lots and lots of giant, Brobdingnagian synoptic rain shields this fall, winter and also well into the Spring of 2027.

[stormy]

Many possibilities during the last half of September. Will the Atlantic Tropics finally become involved??

[WxUSAF]

WPC kept the slight risk for heavy rainfall right through the 95 corridor. Still seems like the metro corridor could be a relative minimum based on much of the guidance and the eastern shore would get more? 

[nw baltimore wx]

10 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

WPC kept the slight risk for heavy rainfall right through the 95 corridor. Still seems like the metro corridor could be a relative minimum based on much of the guidance and the eastern shore would get more? 

I’m not very hopeful based on this morning’s models, but maybe we get lucky.