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4 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Not nearly as widespread as yesterday though. Yesterday we had lines of storms, unlike the isolated smaller cells today.

True - todays are taking 5 minutes to pop up and produce heavy rains another fast popper near south Old Bridge

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6 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

In south plainfield pretty good downpour but not much else

Here it was just a brief moderate shower. Hopefully that's it for today. Nothing more behind this on radar right now, but will keep an eye on it in case something else pops up. 

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16 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Here it was just a brief moderate shower. Hopefully that's it for today. Nothing more behind this on radar right now, but will keep an eye on it in case something else pops up. 

good idea the atmosphere is still primed and ready had a  CTG lightning strike at the western edge of the precip with the sun out temp dropped from 90 to76

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On 8/6/2026 at 12:11 PM, LibertyBell said:

Yes at around 1650 ft elevation near Lake Harmony.  When I set up my Ambient WS-2000 and Ecowitt HP2584 weather stations I had to find the exact lat long and elevation and it came up with 1531 ft but I think that's wrong because it underdoes my Barometric pressure. I had to adjust it upward by about 0.05 inches on both units.  If you have an easier way for me to calculate my exact elevation I'd appreciate it Chris.  Here are the two numbers I used.

Absolute air pressure

28.55 inches

Relative air pressure

30.08 inches

Is the low absolute air pressure the reason I dont feel the Florida type humidity up here?

image.png.b7fffe4a3b6f5812e20a117c96509d38.png

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Aside from a widely scattered shower or thundershower, this evening and tonight will be variably cloudy and warm.

Above normal temperatures will persist through the remainder of the weekend until near the middle of next week. Highs will generally top out in the upper 80s to lower 90s in the warmest spots. 

A somewhat cooler air mass will arrive near mid-week. Afterward, readings will be mainly in the lower to middle 80s for Wednesday and Thursay.

A push of even cooler air is possible by the close of the week. As a result, Friday through Sunday could see highs mainly in the upper 70s and lower 80s.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.3°C for the week centered around July 30. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.53°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.02°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, which has reached super El Niño threshold, will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -16.51 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.288 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 51% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.2° (0.1° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.9° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

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7 hours ago, winterwx21 said:

In June, many people here were talking about how they had never seen lawns burn out so early. It looked terrible with all the brown grass during the severe drought. I understand your point about too much rain, but we want enough to keep things looking green.

As a vegetable gardener, it's always frustrating to me when we don't get enough rain during the spring and summer. You can water all you want and that does keep the plants going, but it's not the same as rain water. I always notice in the spring that the plants in the vegetable garden have a big growth spurt after a good rainfall. That doesn't happen from just watering with the hose during dry periods.

As I mentioned, I lost some of the first tomatoes to sunscald in early July due to the combination of extreme heat and extremely dry conditions. Thankfully things turned around over the last month with plenty of rainfall. The vegetable garden is doing great now. Obviously you and I will never agree on this subject, lol. 

It's not like I'm against all rain just excessive anomalous flooding all day rains. Yesterday was ideal here. It was sunny 90 percent of the day. Clouds moved in around 2 pm and it rained hard for 30 minutes and the sun was back out by 3 pm. 0.7 inches of rain. This is what I like to see and quite normal for summertime not all day cloudy and gloomy with 2 and 3 inches of rain. That was fun in 2011 because it was a novelty but it gets old pretty quickly. The amount of rain we got yesterday was perfect and so was the sunshine the rest of the day the only thing that could have made yesterday better would have been a rainbow after the rain ended.

If we had this kind of monsoon pattern every summer the Yankees and Mets would both need to have domes over their stadiums like the teams in Florida do and something I wished for last night with the game which started after 9 pm and ended after midnight omg.

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10 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

With yesterday's 91° high, 2026 has become only the fifth year on record for Central Park with highs of 90° or above in April, May, June, July, and August. The other years are 1896, 1962, 1991, and 2010. It is the only year that also included a high of 80° or above in March followed by the 90s in April through August. Records go back to 1869.

Don 1991 and 2010 were in a league of their own with 90 degree highs every month from April through September. 1991 had 6 90 degree highs in the month of May and 2010 had upper 90s into September. The period of first 90 degree high to last 90 degree high in 1991 and 2010 might be unsurpassed. Back then we used to go straight from Winter into Summer.

1896 is also notable for having the first extended heatwave on record a 10 day heatwave in which 1500 people died.

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11 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

Don 1991 and 2010 were in a league of their own with 90 degree highs every month from April through September. 1991 had 6 90 degree highs in the month of May and 2010 had upper 90s into September. The period of first 90 degree high to last 90 degree high in 1991 and 2010 might be unsurpassed. Back then we used to go straight from Winter into Summer.

1896 is also notable for having the first extended heatwave on record a 10 day heatwave in which 1500 people died.

Yes. We'll see if 2026 can get a 90° or above high in September. After today or tomorrow, there should be a break in 90s for at least a week or two.

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Our 100° days have been occurring earlier than in the past. Spots in NJ had their earliest 100° day  back on May 19th-20th. No 100° days after August 10th during the 2020s. We haven’t had a 100° day after August 10th since 2005.

Maximum 1-Day Mean Max Temperature 
for HARRISON, NJ Earliest and Latest in Bold during the 2020s
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 106.0 2026-07-03
2 103.0 2026-07-04
- 103.0 2025-06-25
- 103.0 2025-06-24
3 102.0 2025-07-30
- 102.0 2022-07-25
4 101.0 2025-07-31
- 101.0 2024-07-17
- 101.0 2022-08-10
- 101.0 2022-07-24
- 101.0 2021-06-30
5 100.0 2026-07-02
- 100.0 2026-05-20
- 100.0 2025-07-26
- 100.0 2025-06-26
- 100.0 2024-08-02
- 100.0 2024-06-22
- 100.0 2022-07-23
- 100.0 2021-07-01


 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ 100° days after August 10th
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 1953-09-30 5 0
2 1993-09-30 3 0
3 1948-09-30 2 0
- 1944-09-30 2 0
4 2005-09-30 1 0
- 2002-09-30 1 0
- 1973-09-30 1 0
- 1949-09-30 1 0
- 1881-09-30 1 0

 

 

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82 / DP 73 looking mainly dry today and mostly sunny perhaps a bit of an overperformer for warm spots.  Day 4 of the heatwave for some.  Overall warm - hot through THu before cold front / trough builds into the northeast by Friday 8/14 with near / below normal till around 8/17.  Ridge builds back east and next warmup and heat potential in the 8/19 - 8/22 or 23 window.  Overall looking warmer than normal beyond there and see if any tropical activity can pick up and kick in.

 

GOES19-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

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Records:
 

Highs:

EWR: 105 (2001)
NYC: 103 (2001)
LGA: 104 (2001)
JFK: 98 (2001)

 

 

Lows:

EWR: 58 (1944)
NYC: 57 (1989)
LGA: 61 (1962)
JFK: 57 (1989)


 

Historical:
 

1878 - The second most deadly tornado in New England history struck Wallingford CT killing 34 persons, injuring 100 others, and completely destroying thirty homes. The tornado started as a waterspout over a dam on the Quinnipiac River. It was 400 to 600 feet wide, and had a short path length of two miles. (The Weather Channel)

 

1918: One of the worst hot spells on record occurred in Washington, DC with an average high 99.6°F from 5th to 9th, 106° on 6th. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA)

1930: The temperature at Perryville, TN reached 113 °F to establish a state maximum temperature record for Tennessee. (Ref. Lowest and Highest Temperatures for the 50 States)

1959: The Richmond International Airport wasn't affected by this storm. It was the west end of Henrico County, VA that received the heavy rain causing flash flooding. The following reference has several pages of information about this storm. (Ref. Daily News Record Newspaper - Harrisonburg, Virginia)

1963: A severe thunderstorm with extremely strong winds struck Stillwater, OK during the night. At Stillwater Municipal Airport, wind speeds were measured between 92 and 115 mph for eight consecutive minutes, with a peak gust reaching 138 mph. The storm did an incredible amount of damage, especially to the Oklahoma State University campus. Winds caused widespread roof and tree damage, and broke windows out of about 130 automobiles. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)


1969 - A tornado hit Cincinnati OH killing four persons and causing fifteen million dollars property damage. The tornado moved in a southeasterly direction at 40 to 50 mph. (The Weather Channel)

1974: New Jersey--One person was killed when struck by lightning at a rock concert at Atlantic City Race Course. (Ref. Lightning-The Underrated Killer.pdf)

1976: Hurricane Belle formed just to the northwest of the Bahamas on the 6th, rapidly intensified to a Category 3 southeast of North Carolina. Hurricane Belle then began to weaken, moving into western Long Island near Jones Beach as a minimal hurricane during the evening on this date. Hurricane warnings were extended to the coastal sections of New Jersey, New York, Connecticut and Rhode Island where tides as high as 12 to 15 feet were expected. New York City measured a gust to 56 mph. Philadelphia, PA reported 0.51 inches of rain on the 8th, with an additional 1.17 inches on this date. The tide reached 8.8 feet above mean lower low water at Atlantic City, NJ, tying the level reached during the great coastal storm of 3/6/1962, and again reached during the "Perfect Storm" of 10/31/1991. Severe coastal flooding begins at 8.7 feet. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1979: Major flooding occurred on the Lost Creek in West Virginia. Water up to 7 feet deep flooded the town of Clarksburg. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1980: Severe lightning occurred across West Virginia. Two people were struck on a golf course near Vienna, WV. A person standing between the two victims was uninjured. 12 people were injured when lightning struck during a prayer service near Bluefield, WV. Hurricane Allen threatened the Texas coast. Air Force reconnaissance measured a very low central pressure of 909 millibars or 26.84 inches of mercury just in the very early morning hours with maximum sustained winds near 180 mph. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1981: The current all-time record maximum temperature for Portland, OR is now 107 °F set on this date (Extreme Weather p. 276, by Christopher C. Burt)

1987 - Florida baked in the summer heat. Nine cities reported record high temperatures for the date, including Jacksonville with a reading of 101 degrees. Miami FL reported a record high of 98 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Tropical Storm Beryl deluged Biloxi with 6.32 inches of rain in 24 hours, and in three days drenched Pascagoula MS with 15.85 inches of rain. Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in the Southern Plains Region and over the Central High Plains Region. Thunderstorms in Oklahoma producedwind gusts to 92 mph at Harrah. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Evening thunderstorms in Arizona deluged Yuma with record torrential rains for the second time in two weeks. The rainfall total of 5.25 inches at the Yuma Quartermaster Depot established a state 24 hour record, and was nearly double the normal annual rainfall. Some of the homes were left with four feet of water in them. Seventy-six cities in the south central and eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. Lake Charles LA equalled their record for August with a low of 61 degrees. Canaan Valley WV was the cold spot in the nation with a low of 32 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1992 - A tornado packing winds estimated between 113 and 157 mph caused significant damage to the town of Chester, South Dakota. Shortly after 7 pm CDT a tornado tore right through the heart of Chester causing considerable damage. Four businesses were destroyed, three others had significant damage, and five had minor damage. An elevator and new grain bin were leveled, and another bin was heavily damaged. Most of the building housing the fire department was demolished. Also, many houses and vehicles sustained damage, and large trees were uprooted or broken off. In one instance a steel beam was thrust through a garage and into the car inside. One mile north of Chester, an entire house was moved off the foundation. The town had to be evacuated for 19 hours after the tornado because the tornado damaged a 12,000-gallon ammonia tank releasing 4,000 gallons of the liquid gas into the air. The ammonia was a health hazard forcing residents out. To the south of Chester, the storm destroyed a new convenience store and blew two fuel tanks over 100 yards.


1997: Severe thunderstorms with very heavy rain began over central Mohave County around 12:30 AM and ended around 2:30 AM MST. Washes rapidly filled in the vicinity of Kingman and several roads were washed out. At least two cars were caught in a flooded wash and their four occupants had to be rescued by helicopter. Also, one woman was found dead hours later in a sewer drainage pond. It is unknown how she was caught in the flood waters. Another serious result occurred a few hours after the storms ended when a passenger train derailed while crossing a small bridge damaged and weakened by flood waters. Of the 302 passengers and crew members aboard, 116 were injured and of those eight sustained serious injuries.  Further north, severe thunderstorms rolled across the western part of Las Vegas, NV producing damaging winds and hail. A trailer was destroyed and signs and roofs in the area received damage from both the wind and hail. 19,000 homes lost power for a few hours. The storms also produced local street flooding with rainfall amounts up to 0.73 inches in 15 minutes. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

 

2001:  In New York, the temperature reached a record 103 degrees for the date while in neighboring Newark, N.J., it topped 105 degrees, the National Weather Service said. The old record in both cities was 100, set in 1949.  Electricity demand was so high that lights flickered in New York when the metropolitan area suffered scattered outages.  New York Gov. George Pataki ordered parking and admission fees waived at parks statewide. In New York City, municipal pools stayed open until 8 p.m. Mayor Rudolph W. Giuliani called on supervisors of city employees to use common sense in delegating responsibilities, saying that “strenuous work is not suggested at this time, unless it’s an absolute emergency.” In Boston, as temperatures approached a record 99, residents and tourists flocked to malls, museums, movie theaters or any place with air-conditioning.

2002: Washington, DC hits 98° and recorded their 8th consecutive day of 95 °F or higher, the longest such streak in recorded history at this time. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2005: In Eau Claire, WI, a man was struck by lightning while unhooking a chain from a truck. He was taken to a hospital for observation because of “feeling hot,” but otherwise was unhurt. (Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA)

2016: August 9-16. Weak low pressure combined with abundant Gulf moisture produced phenomenal rainfall and flooding across central Louisiana, inundating entire neighborhoods and towns, especially around Lafayette and Baton Rouge. Rainfall totals exceeded 20 inches in as little as two days. Thirteen people died and economic costs ranged from $10 to $15 billion.

2020: In the morning of August 9 Tropical Storm Isaias spawned 8 tornadoes in the Northern Neck of Virginia. See the following two pages about this event.

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42 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Our 100° days have been occurring earlier than in the past. Spots in NJ had their earliest 100° day  back on May 19th-20th. No 100° days after August 10th during the 2020s. We haven’t had a 100° day after August 10th since 2005.

Maximum 1-Day Mean Max Temperature 
for HARRISON, NJ Earliest and Latest in Bold during the 2020s
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 106.0 2026-07-03
2 103.0 2026-07-04
- 103.0 2025-06-25
- 103.0 2025-06-24
3 102.0 2025-07-30
- 102.0 2022-07-25
4 101.0 2025-07-31
- 101.0 2024-07-17
- 101.0 2022-08-10
- 101.0 2022-07-24
- 101.0 2021-06-30
5 100.0 2026-07-02
- 100.0 2026-05-20
- 100.0 2025-07-26
- 100.0 2025-06-26
- 100.0 2024-08-02
- 100.0 2024-06-22
- 100.0 2022-07-23
- 100.0 2021-07-01


 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ 100° days after August 10th
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 1953-09-30 5 0
2 1993-09-30 3 0
3 1948-09-30 2 0
- 1944-09-30 2 0
4 2005-09-30 1 0
- 2002-09-30 1 0
- 1973-09-30 1 0
- 1949-09-30 1 0
- 1881-09-30 1 0

 

 

Notable near miss 2021 8/12: 98 ,  8/13 : 99 

also 2016 8/13: 99 , 8/14: 98

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37 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

Notable near miss 2021 8/12: 98 ,  8/13 : 99 

also 2016 8/13: 99 , 8/14: 98

Almost seems like an aspect of a more monsoonal type climate when the highest annual temperatures occur earlier before the heavier rains arrive.

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