July 2026

[FPizz]

4 minutes ago, Santa Claus said:

i want as much rain as possible

Id rather dry than rain.  Cleaning the dogs paws off because of constant mud is annoying.  

[PhiEaglesfan712]

I will go with colder than 94-95, but warmer than 09-10, for this upcoming winter. Depends on the PDO, though. If it stays deeply negative, it will end up closer to 94-95, but if it can go towards neutral, then it will end up closer to 09-10.

[Santa Claus]

23 minutes ago, FPizz said:

Id rather dry than rain.  Cleaning the dogs paws off because of constant mud is annoying.  

if it’s too dry the dogs will dry out.  you have to keep the dogs moist

[SnoSki14]

2 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

so much for your epic torch July 

Strong Ninos are supposed to have cool summers and we'll be near normal at best 

[donsutherland1]

A cooler regime is in place and will remain in place through the remainder of July. Highs will generally reach the lower 80s through much or all of the remainder of July. The warmest spots could reach the middle 80s on occasion.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.1°C for the week centered around July 15. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.20°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.82°C. The ongoing strong El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -12.70 yesterday. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.537 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 73% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.7° (0.8° below normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.2° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[rclab]

2 hours ago, Santa Claus said:

if it’s too dry the dogs will dry out.  you have to keep the dogs moist

No wonder your reindeer can fly. As always …..

[WestBabylonWeather]

5 hours ago, FPizz said:

Id rather dry than rain.  Cleaning the dogs paws off because of constant mud is annoying.  

I clean my dogs paws everytime she comes in with wipes. I wipe till they wipe clean. 

[WestBabylonWeather]

Sunset from Nicky’s on the bay in bay shore. Top ten day weather wise. 

[SACRUS]

Today's Highs
 

PHL: 84
New Brnswck: 83
EWR: 82
TEB: 81
LGA: 81
ACY: 80
TTN: 80
BLM: 79
JFK: 79
ISP: 79
NYC: 79

[Psychguy]

54 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

Today's Highs
 

PHL: 84
New Brnswck: 83
EWR: 82
TEB: 81
LGA: 81
ACY: 80
TTN: 80
BLM: 79
JFK: 79
ISP: 79
NYC: 79

Today was gorgeous especially with dewpoints in the low 50’s!!

[guinness77]

There are some strange cats on this forum 

[NorthWestNJ]

8 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

Strong Ninos are supposed to have cool summers and we'll be near normal at best 

I thought strong Nino summers generally have a cool second half and a more normal first half. Could be wrong though.

[[email protected]]

38 minutes ago, NorthWestNJ said:

I thought strong Nino summers generally have a cool second half and a more normal first half. Could be wrong though.

That's exactly how this summer seems to be shaping up to be.

 

[ForestHillWx]

52 at the homestead currently; awesome for late July. 

[PhiEaglesfan712]

6 hours ago, NorthWestNJ said:

I thought strong Nino summers generally have a cool second half and a more normal first half. Could be wrong though.

Not really. 2009 was cold throughout, with the exception of one week in August. 2015 was warm from July-September. 2023 was cold in June, but very warm in July and September.

[TWCCraig]

Some unofficial lows around the area this morning:

• Monticello: 48
• Somerville: 52
• Toms River: 51
• Westhampton: 50
• East Hampton: 50
• Central Park: 66

[lee59]

Nice sleeping weather for late July. 59 here this morning but near 50 and even some 40s north and west.

[bluewave]

This California Coast weather is much nicer than the top 5 warmest June 1st through July 15th that much of the Northeast just experienced. This was a first for such a strong El Niño.

All our other developing super El Niños were much cooler. So a continuation of the very warm 2020s summer -PDO/+AMO atmospheric pattern even with such a strong El Niño. 

This was also the first time the area had 104° to 106° heat during such a strong developing El Niño at any point in the summer. 

Most other years with such high maximum temperatures were La Ninas.

 

Developing super El Niño June 1 to July 15 average temperature

EWR

2026….77.0°

2023….74.8°

2015…..73.8°

1997…..73.2°

1982….70.6°

1972….71.0°

HPN

2026….72.6°

2023….70.4°

2015….69.4°

1997…..70.8°

1982….68.5°

1972….66.8°

ISP

2026….72.8°

2023…70.8°

2015…70.3°

1997….70.3°

1982…66.7°

1972…66.7°

 

Data for June 1, 2026 through July 24, 2026
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

NJ	HARRISON	COOP	106
NJ	NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP	WBAN	105
NY	LAGUARDIA AIRPORT	WBAN	104
NY	PORT AUTH DOWNTN MANHATTAN WALL ST HEL	ICAO	103
NY	FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP	WBAN	102
NY	JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT	WBAN	102
NJ	CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP	WBAN	102
NJ	TETERBORO AIRPORT	COOP	101
NY	MONTGOMERY ORANGE COUNTY AP	WBAN	101
NY	CENTERPORT	COOP	101
NY	BAITING HOLLOW	COOP	101
NJ	TETERBORO AIRPORT	WBAN	101

 

Data for June 1, 2023 through August 31, 2023
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

NJ	HARRISON	COOP	97
NJ	NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP	WBAN	96
NJ	CANOE BROOK	COOP	96
NJ	CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP	WBAN	96
NY	WEST POINT	COOP	95
NY	LAGUARDIA AIRPORT	WBAN	95

 

Data for June 1, 2015 through August 31, 2015
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

NJ	CRANFORD	COOP	100
NJ	NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP	WBAN	98
NJ	HARRISON	COOP	98
NJ	TETERBORO AIRPORT	WBAN	98
NJ	TETERBORO AIRPORT	COOP	98
NJ	CANOE BROOK	COOP	96

 

Data for June 1, 1997 through August 31, 1997
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

NJ	NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP	WBAN	101
NJ	CANOE BROOK	COOP	101
NJ	TETERBORO AIRPORT	WBAN	101
NJ	CRANFORD	COOP	100
NY	RIVERHEAD RESEARCH FARM	COOP	100

 

Data for June 1, 1982 through August 31, 1982
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

NY	MIDDLETOWN 2 NW	COOP	102
NJ	WANAQUE RAYMOND DAM	COOP	101
NY	DOBBS FERRY-ARDSLEY	COOP	100
NJ	NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP	WBAN	100

 

Data for June 1, 1972 through August 31, 1972
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

NY	JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT	WBAN	100
NY	NEW YORK LAUREL HILL	COOP	98
NJ	PATERSON	COOP	97
NJ	WANAQUE RAYMOND DAM	COOP	97
NY	WEST POINT	COOP	97
NJ	JERSEY CITY	COOP	96
NJ	NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP	WBAN	96

 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Jan through Dec All-time maximum temperatures 
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2011	108	0
2	2026	105	161
-	2001	105	0
-	1993	105	0
-	1966	105	0
-	1953	105	0
-	1949	105	0
-	1918	105	0
3	2012	104	0
-	1995	104	0
-	1936	104	0

 

 

 

 

 

[FPizz]

Very pleasant 55 this morning

[lee59]

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

This California Coast weather is much nicer than the top 5 warmest June 1st through July 15th that much of the Northeast just experienced. This was a first for such a strong El Niño.

All our other developing super El Niños were much cooler. So a continuation of the very warm 2020s summer -PDO/+AMO atmospheric pattern even with such a strong El Niño. 

This was also the first time the area had 104° to 106° heat during such a strong developing El Niño at any point in the summer. 

Most other years with such high maximum temperatures were La Ninas.

 

Developing super El Niño June 1 to July 15 average temperature

EWR

2026….77.0°

2023….74.8°

2015…..73.8°

1997…..73.2°

1982….70.6°

1972….71.0°

HPN

2026….72.6°

2023….70.4°

2015….69.4°

1997…..70.8°

1982….68.5°

1972….66.8°

ISP

2026….72.8°

2023…70.8°

2015…70.3°

1997….70.3°

1982…66.7°

1972…66.7°

 

Data for June 1, 2026 through July 24, 2026
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

NJ	HARRISON	COOP	106
NJ	NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP	WBAN	105
NY	LAGUARDIA AIRPORT	WBAN	104
NY	PORT AUTH DOWNTN MANHATTAN WALL ST HEL	ICAO	103
NY	FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP	WBAN	102
NY	JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT	WBAN	102
NJ	CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP	WBAN	102
NJ	TETERBORO AIRPORT	COOP	101
NY	MONTGOMERY ORANGE COUNTY AP	WBAN	101
NY	CENTERPORT	COOP	101
NY	BAITING HOLLOW	COOP	101
NJ	TETERBORO AIRPORT	WBAN	101

 

Data for June 1, 2023 through August 31, 2023
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

NJ	HARRISON	COOP	97
NJ	NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP	WBAN	96
NJ	CANOE BROOK	COOP	96
NJ	CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP	WBAN	96
NY	WEST POINT	COOP	95
NY	LAGUARDIA AIRPORT	WBAN	95

 

Data for June 1, 2015 through August 31, 2015
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

NJ	CRANFORD	COOP	100
NJ	NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP	WBAN	98
NJ	HARRISON	COOP	98
NJ	TETERBORO AIRPORT	WBAN	98
NJ	TETERBORO AIRPORT	COOP	98
NJ	CANOE BROOK	COOP	96

 

Data for June 1, 1997 through August 31, 1997
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

NJ	NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP	WBAN	101
NJ	CANOE BROOK	COOP	101
NJ	TETERBORO AIRPORT	WBAN	101
NJ	CRANFORD	COOP	100
NY	RIVERHEAD RESEARCH FARM	COOP	100

 

Data for June 1, 1982 through August 31, 1982
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

NY	MIDDLETOWN 2 NW	COOP	102
NJ	WANAQUE RAYMOND DAM	COOP	101
NY	DOBBS FERRY-ARDSLEY	COOP	100
NJ	NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP	WBAN	100

 

Data for June 1, 1972 through August 31, 1972
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

NY	JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT	WBAN	100
NY	NEW YORK LAUREL HILL	COOP	98
NJ	PATERSON	COOP	97
NJ	WANAQUE RAYMOND DAM	COOP	97
NY	WEST POINT	COOP	97
NJ	JERSEY CITY	COOP	96
NJ	NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP	WBAN	96

 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Jan through Dec All-time maximum temperatures 
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2011	108	0
2	2026	105	161
-	2001	105	0
-	1993	105	0
-	1966	105	0
-	1953	105	0
-	1949	105	0
-	1918	105	0
3	2012	104	0
-	1995	104	0
-	1936	104	0

 

 

 

 

 

That extreme heat was brutal, thank goodness we had so many near or even below normal days between those heat waves. I think it was the first time I had 2 consecutive above 100 degree days. After all that heat most places should end up with a near normal temperature in July, would not have expected that.

[bluewave]

26 minutes ago, lee59 said:

That extreme heat was brutal, thank goodness we had so many near or even below normal days between those heat waves. I think it was the first time I had 2 consecutive above 100 degree days. After all that heat most places should end up with a near normal temperature in July, would not have expected that.

Yeah, this is a nice change following the record heat. The July normals have been increasing steadily across the area. So an average finish near 78.2° at a spot like Newark is still the 26th warmest July.

The last time we finished in the top 20s for a cool July was 2009. So departures this month would be higher if the departures were fixed at period like 1961-1990 or even 1951-2000.

Adjusting the departures warmer every 10 years really masks or normalizes the long term warming.

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Jul Warmest Average Temperatures 
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2011	82.7	0
2	2022	82.6	0
3	1993	82.5	0
4	2010	82.3	0
5	2025	82.1	0
6	1994	81.9	0
7	2024	81.3	0
8	2013	80.9	0
9	2020	80.8	0
-	2012	80.8	0
-	1999	80.8	0
10	2023	80.6	0
-	2019	80.6	0
11	1955	80.5	0
12	1988	80.4	0
13	2002	80.0	0
14	2016	79.9	0
15	1887	79.8	0
16	1983	79.6	0
-	1966	79.6	0
17	1995	79.5	0
-	1949	79.5	0
18	2026	79.4	8
-	2006	79.4	0
-	1987	79.4	0
19	1981	79.2	0
-	1952	79.2	0
20	2015	79.0	0
21	2021	78.8	0
-	1980	78.8	0
-	1878	78.8	0
22	2008	78.7	0
23	1973	78.6	0
24	1876	78.5	0
25	2005	78.3	0
-	1982	78.3	0
26	2018	78.2	91-20 Mean

 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Jul Coolest Average Temperatures 
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	1859	70.3	0
2	1862	71.0	0
3	1867	71.1	0
4	1860	71.3	0
5	1871	71.6	0
6	1895	71.7	0
-	1861	71.7	0
7	1884	71.8	0
-	1857	71.8	0
8	1869	72.2	0
9	1902	72.5	0
-	1865	72.5	0
10	1864	72.6	0
11	1904	72.7	0
-	1888	72.7	0
12	1914	72.9	0
13	1923	73.0	0
-	1875	73.0	0
14	1956	73.1	0
-	1863	73.1	0
15	1853	73.3	0
16	1922	73.4	0
17	1858	73.5	0
18	1909	73.6	0
-	1893	73.6	0
-	1874	73.6	0
19	2000	73.7	0
-	1903	73.7	0
20	1996	73.8	0
-	1962	73.8	0
-	1933	73.8	0
-	1918	73.8	0
-	1899	73.8	0
21	1920	73.9	0
-	1915	73.9	0
22	2001	74.1	0
-	1945	74.1	0
23	1969	74.2	0
-	1967	74.2	0
-	1873	74.2	0
24	2009	74.3	0

[SACRUS]

75 / 57 day 2 of the 4 day gorgeous stretch low - mid 80s through Sunday - sunny.   Trough brings next front Mon and it looks to linger around till Wed with on off rain / showers and storms and another >1 inche of rain for many.  Beyond there a similar nice / dry stretch into later next week.  Heat capped in the west and south.   Heat from the west starts coming east as EC heights rise in the 8/3 - beyond with a moderation to an overall warmer with next heat spike.