doncat Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 98/69 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Hrrr seems to be pushing rain back to 4-6z hopefully it’s right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 More severe wind gust potential with the storms later as the nadocast did very well yesterday. data.nadocast.com/viewer.html Forecast for yesterday with the verification Forecast for later today into tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 A watch for some of us to start out the day around here is likely: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1494.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 I have the rosary beads in hand now so who is the patron " saint of good weather" as I need to start a novena ,,,,,,,,like most of you I need it to remain dry until midnight then all hell can break loose 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Severe Watch Issued 3:30 PM - ( 5 minutes later than yesterday's FWIW...) WWUS from KWNS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 12 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: A watch for some of us to start out the day around here is likely: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1494.html And here it is: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0459.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 3rd 100 straight day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 11 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: Severe Watch Issued 3:30 PM - ( 5 minutes later than yesterday's FWIW...) WWUS from KWNS Kind of weird that portions of NE New Jersey and NYC are not included in the watch - ( doesn't mean though that there won't be any heavy rains wind and lightning.).........which may give some folks a false sense of security when outdoors later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Power still out here. Finally received an update with expected restoration time of 7am tomorrow and crew has been dispatched. Anything severe later could delay restoration. Thankfully generator is humming away. Took 6 years but it finally paid for itself! Got it installed after Isaias in 2020. It was a 'WWI" purchase...wife wanted it. No way I was going to get away with putting it off any longer. Not after Sandy, Irene and numerous other snow / ice related outages over the years. She was having no part of it anymore. Cell service has been spotty at best. Internet was down but just came back. Have not been out but talked with people who have been and lots of trees and wires down. Picked up .71" rainfall in about 12 minutes with the storm last night. Happy 4th to all. Hopefully for those without power it will be restored sooner rather than later. I think several days for total restoration. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 3 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: Kind of weird that portions of NE New Jersey and NYC are not included in the watch - doesn't mean though that there won't be any heavy rains wind and lightning..........which may give some folks a false sense of security when outdoors later There could always be a further downstream watch issued later, gotta keep an eye on the discussions to see what the SPC is thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 The popular notion and indeed most long range thinking this summer has been for the more typical El Nino pattern to emerge after the current heatwave with the big ridge retrograding and ending up out west leaving near to below normal temperatures mostly in the east with only short episodes of heat. I am rejecting this thinking and feel that today's Euro AI, GEFS, and Op Euro are more accurate in the depiction of two massive heat ridges, one out west and WAR. I believe that temperatures in the east are going to continue to be well above normal for most of the balance of the summer here in the NYC Metro Region. WX/PT 1 3 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 99 at jfk but 92 in the park. That’s just laughably bad . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 2 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: The popular notion and indeed most long range thinking this summer has been for the more typical El Nino pattern to emerge after the current heatwave with the big ridge retrograding and ending up out west leaving near to below normal temperatures mostly in the east with only short episodes of heat. I am rejecting this thinking and feel that today's Euro AI, GEFS, and Op Euro are more accurate in the depiction of two massive heat ridges, one out west and WAR. I believe that temperatures in the east are going to continue to be well above normal for most of the balance of the summer here in the NYC Metro Region. WX/PT How this translates to winter is anyones guess especially if the warmer water centers in region 3/4 mid Pacific Ocean and is considered a Modoki El Nino at that time IMO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 5 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: 99 at jfk but 92 in the park. That’s just laughably bad . If someone can post a pic of both stations and their surrounding area everyone will understand why 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 7 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: 99 at jfk but 92 in the park. That’s just laughably bad . 96 at farmingdale and 95 at islip and 92 in manhattan. Sure. 96 here as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Down to 90 here with more clouds now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 19 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: The popular notion and indeed most long range thinking this summer has been for the more typical El Nino pattern to emerge after the current heatwave with the big ridge retrograding and ending up out west leaving near to below normal temperatures mostly in the east with only short episodes of heat. I am rejecting this thinking and feel that today's Euro AI, GEFS, and Op Euro are more accurate in the depiction of two massive heat ridges, one out west and WAR. I believe that temperatures in the east are going to continue to be well above normal for most of the balance of the summer here in the NYC Metro Region. WX/PT I agree. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Andrew Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 19 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: The popular notion and indeed most long range thinking this summer has been for the more typical El Nino pattern to emerge after the current heatwave with the big ridge retrograding and ending up out west leaving near to below normal temperatures mostly in the east with only short episodes of heat. I am rejecting this thinking and feel that today's Euro AI, GEFS, and Op Euro are more accurate in the depiction of two massive heat ridges, one out west and WAR. I believe that temperatures in the east are going to continue to be well above normal for most of the balance of the summer here in the NYC Metro Region. WX/PT How common would such a pattern be in summer with West and East both under massive heat ridges? Not happy to hear as I detest hot, humid conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Looking like we get nailed yet again in Chicago. South of Aurora looks like 70mph velocities. That part looks to slide to the south of here but another part of the line to the north looks like it’s bowing out. Hope this is done tomorrow when I fly home and it’s out in time for fireworks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 37 minutes ago, MANDA said: Power still out here. Finally received an update with expected restoration time of 7am tomorrow and crew has been dispatched. Anything severe later could delay restoration. Thankfully generator is humming away. Took 6 years but it finally paid for itself! Got it installed after Isaias in 2020. It was a 'WWI" purchase...wife wanted it. No way I was going to get away with putting it off any longer. Not after Sandy, Irene and numerous other snow / ice related outages over the years. She was having no part of it anymore. Cell service has been spotty at best. Internet was down but just came back. Have not been out but talked with people who have been and lots of trees and wires down. Picked up .71" rainfall in about 12 minutes with the storm last night. Happy 4th to all. Hopefully those without power it will be restored sooner rather than later. I think a several days for total restoration. My updated time is 6pm tomorrow - good luck man. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 98 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 9 minutes ago, BoulderWX said: My updated time is 6pm tomorrow - good luck man. You as well! Not fun especially over a holiday weekend. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 JFK 98 ISP 96 FRG 97 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 WPC going with the wetter guidance. Local 5" amounts verbatim over the next 7 days with most of that from later Sunday into Monday. Local flash flooding possible despite the ongoing dryness. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 101 today peak heat index of 109 3 straight days 100 plus 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 2 hours ago, NEG NAO said: Kind of weird that portions of NE New Jersey and NYC are not included in the watch - ( doesn't mean though that there won't be any heavy rains wind and lightning.).........which may give some folks a false sense of security when outdoors later Watch was extended into NYC and now all 21 NJ counties Radar looks like storms will arrive right around fireworks time and last a few hours from DC through Boston . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 4 Author Share Posted July 4 ACY 106. Seems high 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 All the action is currently in NE PA on radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 4 minutes ago, SI Mailman said: All the action is currently in NE PA on radar and more approaching State College which might reach here later and others popping up near Harrisburg - Atmosphere will develop more pop ups as it is played out....too hot and humid 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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