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Just now, WestBabylonWeather said:

On my deck now under patio umbrella. It’s tolerable in the shade. Minus the wasp nest in my patio umbrella. That’s a problem 

There is nothing tolerable about this lol 

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More severe wind gust potential with the storms later as the nadocast did very well yesterday.

data.nadocast.com/viewer.html

Forecast for yesterday with the verification

IMG_6868.thumb.png.2b183137907410e3daf5ceae9ad18234.png

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Forecast for later today into tonight 

 

IMG_6867.thumb.png.d557a5ff5c341123f1a86800f566bfe8.png

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11 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

Severe Watch Issued 3:30 PM - ( 5 minutes later than yesterday's FWIW...)

WWUS from KWNS

Kind of weird that portions of NE New Jersey and NYC are not included in the watch - ( doesn't mean though that there won't be any heavy rains wind and lightning.).........which may give some folks a false sense of security when outdoors later

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Power still out here.  Finally received an update with expected restoration time of 7am tomorrow and crew has been dispatched.   Anything severe later could delay restoration.  Thankfully generator is humming away.  Took 6 years but it finally paid for itself!  Got it installed after Isaias in 2020.  It was a 'WWI" purchase...wife wanted it.  No way I was going to get away with putting it off any longer.  Not after Sandy, Irene and numerous other snow / ice related outages over the years.  She was having no part of it anymore.

Cell service has been spotty at best.  Internet was down but just came back.  Have not been out but talked with people who have been and lots of trees and wires down.

Picked up .71" rainfall in about 12 minutes with the storm last night.

Happy 4th to all.  Hopefully for those without power it will be restored sooner rather than later.  I think several days for total restoration.

 

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3 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

Kind of weird that portions of NE New Jersey and NYC are not included in the watch - doesn't mean though that there won't be any heavy rains wind and lightning..........which may give some folks a false sense of security when outdoors later

There could always be a further downstream watch issued later, gotta keep an eye on the discussions to see what the SPC is thinking.

 

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The popular notion and indeed most long range thinking this summer has been for the more typical El Nino pattern to emerge after the current heatwave with the big ridge retrograding and ending up out west leaving near to below normal temperatures mostly in the east with only short episodes of heat. I am rejecting this thinking and feel that today's Euro AI, GEFS, and Op Euro are more accurate in the depiction of two massive heat ridges, one out west and WAR. I believe that temperatures in the east are going to continue to be well above normal for most of the balance of the summer here in the NYC Metro Region. 

WX/PT

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2 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

The popular notion and indeed most long range thinking this summer has been for the more typical El Nino pattern to emerge after the current heatwave with the big ridge retrograding and ending up out west leaving near to below normal temperatures mostly in the east with only short episodes of heat. I am rejecting this thinking and feel that today's Euro AI, GEFS, and Op Euro are more accurate in the depiction of two massive heat ridges, one out west and WAR. I believe that temperatures in the east are going to continue to be well above normal for most of the balance of the summer here in the NYC Metro Region. 

WX/PT

How this translates to winter is anyones guess especially if the warmer water centers in region 3/4 mid Pacific Ocean and is considered a Modoki El Nino at that time IMO

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5 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

99 at jfk but 92 in the park. That’s just laughably bad


.

If someone can post a pic of both stations and their surrounding area everyone will understand why

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19 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

The popular notion and indeed most long range thinking this summer has been for the more typical El Nino pattern to emerge after the current heatwave with the big ridge retrograding and ending up out west leaving near to below normal temperatures mostly in the east with only short episodes of heat. I am rejecting this thinking and feel that today's Euro AI, GEFS, and Op Euro are more accurate in the depiction of two massive heat ridges, one out west and WAR. I believe that temperatures in the east are going to continue to be well above normal for most of the balance of the summer here in the NYC Metro Region. 

WX/PT

I agree. 

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19 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

The popular notion and indeed most long range thinking this summer has been for the more typical El Nino pattern to emerge after the current heatwave with the big ridge retrograding and ending up out west leaving near to below normal temperatures mostly in the east with only short episodes of heat. I am rejecting this thinking and feel that today's Euro AI, GEFS, and Op Euro are more accurate in the depiction of two massive heat ridges, one out west and WAR. I believe that temperatures in the east are going to continue to be well above normal for most of the balance of the summer here in the NYC Metro Region. 

WX/PT

How common would such a pattern be in summer with West and East both under massive heat ridges? Not happy to hear as I detest hot, humid conditions.

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Looking like we get nailed yet again in Chicago. South of Aurora looks like 70mph velocities. That part looks to slide to the south of here but another part of the line to the north looks like it’s bowing out. Hope this is done tomorrow when I fly home and it’s out in time for fireworks. 

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37 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Power still out here.  Finally received an update with expected restoration time of 7am tomorrow and crew has been dispatched.   Anything severe later could delay restoration.  Thankfully generator is humming away.  Took 6 years but it finally paid for itself!  Got it installed after Isaias in 2020.  It was a 'WWI" purchase...wife wanted it.  No way I was going to get away with putting it off any longer.  Not after Sandy, Irene and numerous other snow / ice related outages over the years.  She was having no part of it anymore.

Cell service has been spotty at best.  Internet was down but just came back.  Have not been out but talked with people who have been and lots of trees and wires down.

Picked up .71" rainfall in about 12 minutes with the storm last night.

Happy 4th to all.  Hopefully those without power it will be restored sooner rather than later.  I think a several days for total restoration.

 

My updated time is 6pm tomorrow - good luck man. 

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2 hours ago, NEG NAO said:

Kind of weird that portions of NE New Jersey and NYC are not included in the watch - ( doesn't mean though that there won't be any heavy rains wind and lightning.).........which may give some folks a false sense of security when outdoors later

Watch was extended into NYC and now all 21 NJ counties Radar looks like storms will arrive right around fireworks time and last a few hours from DC through Boston .

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