FPizz Posted Saturday at 01:55 PM Share Posted Saturday at 01:55 PM 1 hour ago, winterwx21 said: Hard to imagine the actual temp hitting 110. Gotta believe the Euro is overdoing it a little bit. But 100 to 105 seems likely -- this is looking like one of our worst heat waves ever. Last year the euro spit out 100° in more than 100 separate runs for the area throughout the summer (tracked on another board). I think we get there, but 110 won't happen. Its got a horrible summer warm bias even just a few days out 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted Saturday at 01:56 PM Share Posted Saturday at 01:56 PM 33 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: If liberty was here he'd be talking about the great heat wave of 1993 Did he get banned? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted Saturday at 01:56 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 01:56 PM 51 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Hrrr shows a half inch for parts of north jersey seems like most of it is north of I-78 again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Saturday at 02:04 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:04 PM 7 minutes ago, FPizz said: Did he get banned? I think he got 5 posted and then left 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted Saturday at 02:06 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:06 PM 1 hour ago, TriPol said: Good thing I have no air conditioning! https://a.co/d/0jetQO6d We dont live in Europe where areas dont allow you to buy one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Saturday at 02:13 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:13 PM 17 minutes ago, FPizz said: Last year the euro spit out 100° in more than 100 separate runs for the area throughout the summer (tracked on another board). I think we get there, but 110 won't happen. Its got a horrible summer warm bias even just a few days out This x 100. Way overdone 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted Saturday at 02:17 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:17 PM 19 minutes ago, FPizz said: Did he get banned? No single poster should take up an entire page when they could just hit the multi quote button 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted Saturday at 02:24 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:24 PM 28 minutes ago, FPizz said: Last year the euro spit out 100° in more than 100 separate runs for the area throughout the summer (tracked on another board). I think we get there, but 110 won't happen. Its got a horrible summer warm bias even just a few days out Agree and the risk of not surpassing last year and 2021's lat june / early uly heat will be any MCS development and storm but Wed-fri look prime for upper 90s / 100+. Next wekend still hot but core of the intense heat shifts south by the 5th. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted Saturday at 02:29 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:29 PM Upton still with only a 30% chance of rain here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted Saturday at 03:17 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:17 PM 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: This x 100. Way overdone Idk it's got model and ensemble support and we're still a few days out. Ridges have only trended stronger as we got closer. In addition the overall dry environment would make higher temps more plausible. I think some 105+ readings are on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted Saturday at 03:21 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:21 PM 4 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Idk it's got model and ensemble support and we're still a few days out. Ridges have only trended stronger as we got closer. In addition the overall dry environment would make higher temps more plausible. I think some 105+ readings are on the table. the euro has a cold 2m temp bias in winter but they never talk about that 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted Saturday at 03:33 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:33 PM Great upton decrease the percentage from 70 to 30 and then only cloudy. Now showers and based on radar it seems it will be raining for a while in the city 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted Saturday at 03:37 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:37 PM 2 hours ago, psv88 said: Selling 107 for Long Island all the way out to Suffolk. Come on now. 98-99 probably the peak here Seems similar to the heat last summer where we got close to 100. 850 temps look similar. Thing is the dry conditions might help add a couple degrees. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boxingdayblizzard Posted Saturday at 03:55 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:55 PM 90% of models were wrong with not showing the rain in north jersey today. Kinda a shame. Good thing have no wedding or event today… latest nam has over an inch…not sure about that but we’ll see.. in any case, very happy to be getting some rain. Just thought it was going to stay to our south. Proves why “now cast” is a thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted Saturday at 04:04 PM Share Posted Saturday at 04:04 PM 9 minutes ago, boxingdayblizzard said: 90% of models were wrong with not showing the rain in north jersey today. Kinda a shame. Good thing have no wedding or event today… latest nam has over an inch…not sure about that but we’ll see.. in any case, very happy to be getting some rain. Just thought it was going to stay to our south. Proves why “now cast” is a thing Yep, kind of sucks with the timing. Already have over 3 inches this week, so was hoping today would be dry. Radar looks robust. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boxingdayblizzard Posted Saturday at 04:20 PM Share Posted Saturday at 04:20 PM 15 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: Yep, kind of sucks with the timing. Already have over 3 inches this week, so was hoping today would be dry. Radar looks robust. Yes , I’m actually happy about it though because my area of north jersey missed out on the heaviest the past week. Just a bad job by all models though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted Saturday at 04:35 PM Share Posted Saturday at 04:35 PM 40 minutes ago, boxingdayblizzard said: 90% of models were wrong with not showing the rain in north jersey today. Kinda a shame. Good thing have no wedding or event today… latest nam has over an inch…not sure about that but we’ll see.. in any case, very happy to be getting some rain. Just thought it was going to stay to our south. Proves why “now cast” is a thing It's funny that for days the models showed the heavier rain missing to the south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted Saturday at 04:40 PM Share Posted Saturday at 04:40 PM EWR top temps last 8 years Year #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 2025 103° (Jun 24) 101° (Jun 23) 101° (Jun 25) 101° (Jul 29) 100° (Jul 8/25/30 tie) 2024 100° (Jun 21) 100° (Aug 1) 99° (Jun 23) 99° (Jul 16) 98° (Jun 26/Jul 15 tie) 2023 97° (Sep 6) 96° (Jul 27) 96° (Sep 7) 95° (Jul 12) 95° (Jul 28/Sep 5 tie) 2022 101° (Aug 9) 99° (Jul 1) 99° (Aug 8) 98° (May 31) 98° (Jul 12/Aug 4 tie) 2021 103° (Jun 30) 102° (Jun 29) 99° (Jun 28) 99° (Aug 13) 98° (Aug 12) 2020 96° (Jul 19) 96° (Jul 20) 95° (Jul 2) 95° (Jul 5) 94° (Jul 3) 2019 99° (Jul 21) 98° (Jul 20) 97° (Jul 19) 96° (Jul 5) 96° (Jul 22) 2018 98° (Jul 2) 97° (Aug 29) 96° (Aug 28) 95° (Jul 5) 95° (Jul 4) NYC Year #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 2025 99° (Jun 24) 97° (Jul 29) 96° (Jun 23) 96° (Jun 25) 95° (Jul 30 / Jul 25 tie) 2024 95° (Aug 1) 95° (Jun 21) 94° (Jul 16) 93° (Jun 22) 93° (Jul 15 tie) 2023 93° (Sep 7) 93° (Sep 6) 93° (Jul 5) 92° (Sep 5) 92° (Jul 28 tie) 2022 97° (Aug 9) 96° (Jul 24) 95° (Jul 20) 95° (Jul 21) 94° (Aug 4) 2021 98° (Jun 30) 97° (Jun 29) 95° (Aug 13) 94° (Aug 12) 93° (Jul 8) 2020 96° (Jul 6) 94° (Jul 19) 93° (Jul 28) 93° (Jul 27) 93° (Jul 20) 2019 95° (Jul 21) 95° (Jul 20) 93° (Oct 2) 93° (Jul 17) 92° (Jul 30) 2018 96° (Jul 1) 95° (Jul 2) 94° (Aug 28) 93° (Sep 6) 93° (Jul 10 / Jun 30 tie) LGA Year #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 2025 101° (Jun 24) 100° (Jul 29) 99° (Jul 30) 99° (Jul 25) 99° (Jun 25) 2024 97° (Jul 16) 97° (Jul 15) 97° (Jun 21) 96° (Jul 31) 95° (Aug 1) 2023 96° (Sep 7) 95° (Jul 27) 94° (Jul 28) 94° (Jul 5) 93° (Sep 6) 2022 98° (Aug 9) 98° (Jul 24) 97° (Jul 23) 97° (Jul 21) 97° (Jul 20) 2021 100° (Jun 30) 98° (Aug 13) 98° (Aug 12) 98° (Jun 29) 96° (Jul 7) 2020 97° (Jul 28) 97° (Jul 27) 97° (Jul 20) 97° (Jul 19) 96° (Jul 30) 2019 100° (Jul 21) 99° (Jul 20) 95° (Oct 2) 95° (Jul 30) 95° (Jul 19) 2018 98° (Aug 28) 97° (Aug 29) 97° (Jul 10) 97° (Jul 1) 96° (Sep 6) JFK: Year #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 2025 102° (Jun 25) 102° (Jun 24) 96° (Jul 29) 95° (Jul 30) 93° (Jul 28) 2024 95° (Aug 28) 93° (Aug 1) 91° (Aug 2) 91° (Jul 31) 91° (Jun 25) 2023 93° (Sep 6) 93° (Sep 5) 92° (Sep 7) 92° (Jul 27) 91° (Jul 28) 2022 96° (Jul 24) 96° (Jul 23) 95° (Jul 22) 95° (Jul 20) 94° (Jul 19) 2021 94° (May 22) 93° (Aug 27) 92° (May 23) 91° (Aug 24) 91° (Aug 14) 2020 97° (Jul 20) 94° (Jul 27) 93° (Jul 28) 93° (Jul 26) 92° (Aug 27) 2019 99° (Jul 21) 99° (Jul 20) 95° (Oct 2) 93° (Jul 14) 91° (Jun 27) 2018 94° (Jul 1) 93° (Sep 4) 92° (Aug 30) 92° (Aug 29) 91° (Jul 2) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted Saturday at 06:23 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:23 PM Good rains in this part of southwest Morris; hopefully cushions the impacts from the coming torch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Saturday at 07:34 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:34 PM just some light sprinkles and light rain here-nothing of consquence-back edge moving thru Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted Saturday at 07:51 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:51 PM i know the euro came in hot because nobody is posting it 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted Saturday at 08:16 PM Share Posted Saturday at 08:16 PM A warming trend will commence tomorrow. June will conclude with above normal temperatures. The guidance is increasingly suggesting the potential for extreme heat to open July. Some of the guidance suggests that the heat could rival that of early July 1966. Much of the region will likely experience its highest temperatures so far this summer. Baltimore, Newark, Philadelphia, and Washington, DC will all likely see the temperatures peak at or above 100°. Washington, DC could make a run at its all-time record of 106°. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.7°C for the week centered around June 17. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.42°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.22°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -19.61 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.016 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 99% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 73.3 (1.3° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.9° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted Saturday at 08:16 PM Share Posted Saturday at 08:16 PM 24 minutes ago, forkyfork said: i know the euro came in hot because nobody is posting it Check the July thread 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted Saturday at 08:18 PM Share Posted Saturday at 08:18 PM 1 minute ago, IrishRob17 said: Check the July thread July 4th thread. Its numbers are unreal for NYC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted Saturday at 08:22 PM Share Posted Saturday at 08:22 PM Approaching 1/2" of rain today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted Saturday at 09:15 PM Share Posted Saturday at 09:15 PM 55 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: July 4th thread. Its numbers are unreal for NYC. 4 straight days over 100 in NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted Saturday at 09:25 PM Share Posted Saturday at 09:25 PM At a backyard hibachi party. Little wet out but no more rain. Please no more rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted Saturday at 09:29 PM Share Posted Saturday at 09:29 PM Actually looks like I might be catching a break being in Chicago. The ridge has been trending east over time and looks like mid 90s there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted Saturday at 09:36 PM Share Posted Saturday at 09:36 PM 1 hour ago, donsutherland1 said: July 4th thread. Its numbers are unreal for NYC. My screen got hot just looking at the maps, .13" today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted Saturday at 09:43 PM Share Posted Saturday at 09:43 PM 8 hours ago, psv88 said: Selling 107 for Long Island all the way out to Suffolk. Come on now. 98-99 probably the peak here You're not escaping this without a 100 degree temp in your area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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