June 2026

[mikeysed]

13 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said:

Congrats central NJ

Yeah futurecast looks like a central NJ special.

 

Anyone have any short range models now through midnight?

[MANDA]

Just got home and pretty lame total here so far.  Only .20”.  Radar looks sad to my west and west-southwest.

NWS doubled down on Flood Watch into early tomorrow. We’ll see I guess.  Certainly  not seeing anything heavy up my way for next several hours at least.  CNJ looks to do best over the next few hours.

 

 

[FPizz]

14 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Just got home and pretty lame total here so far.  Only .20”.  Radar looks sad to my west and west-southwest.

NWS doubled down on Flood Watch into early tomorrow. We’ll see I guess.  Certainly  not seeing anything heavy up my way for next several hours at least.  CNJ looks to do best over the next few hours.

 

 

Only .10 here.  Best stuff north first, now south. 

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

.01” here.


.

[Brian5671]

29 minutes ago, mikeysed said:

Yeah futurecast looks like a central NJ special.

 

Anyone have any short range models now through midnight?

[donsutherland1]

Through 6 pm, rainfall amounts included:

Bridgeport: 0.78"
Islip: 0.07"
New York City: 0.58"
Newark: 1.00"
White Plains: 0.50"

Showers and periods of rain will likely continue into early tomorrow. Some locations could experience a thunderstorm. A general 0.50"-1.50" rainfall is likely. Some locally higher amounts are possible. Following the storm, readings will reach the middle and upper 70s tomorrow. Wednesday through Friday will likely see highs in the lower 80s. Some showers are possible as a warm front moves across the region on Friday.

A warming trend could commence during or after the next weekend. Some of the guidance suggests that hot weather could return to conclude June.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.7°C for the week centered around June 17. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.42°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.22°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -19.68 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.029 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 90% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 73.8 (1.8° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.4° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[winterwx21]

Good batch of moderate to heavy rain here over the last half hour. Close to a half inch for the day, so I'm glad it hasn't been a bust here. Models show a good soaking for tomorrow too, so overall this is the best event since Memorial Day weekend. Desperately needed. 

[MANDA]

5 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Through 6 pm, rainfall amounts included:

Bridgeport: 0.78"
Islip: 0.07"
New York City: 0.58"
Newark: 1.00"
White Plains: 0.50"

Showers and periods of rain will likely continue into early tomorrow. Some locations could experience a thunderstorm. A general 0.50"-1.50" rainfall is likely. Some locally higher amounts are possible. Following the storm, readings will reach the middle and upper 70s tomorrow. Wednesday through Friday will likely see highs in the lower 80s. Some showers are possible as a warm front moves across the region on Friday.

A warming trend could commence during or after the next weekend. Some of the guidance suggests that hot weather could return to conclude June.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.7°C for the week centered around June 17. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.42°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.22°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -19.68 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.029 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 90% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 73.8 (1.8° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.4° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

 Nice total for EWR.

[psv88]

0.51" On and off showers and a few rumbles of thunder. Birds seem happy

[winterwarlock]

30 minutes ago, FPizz said:

Only .10 here.  Best stuff north first, now south. 

Yep

 

.19 imby from 2 rounds

[Euripides]

And yet another bust as they fell apart approaching my area.

[doncat]

North and South mostly for me also so far...just had some moderate rain so up to 0.23" for day.

[BoulderWX]

Finishing the day with .80”

[Brian5671]

Upton mentions a wave on the front tonight/tomorrow which will bring more rains especially east of NYC

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
The chance for showers has been expanded Tuesday as a wave of
low pressure develops along a departing cold front.

[Prue11]

News 12 reporting some 2” amounts in northern nassau can’t anyone confirm? Seems way overdone 

[weathermedic]

.22 here in Sheepshead Bay 

[uofmiami]

0.70” for Syosset & 0.65” for Muttontown so far. 

[jm1220]

Radar says some 2-2.5” amounts just to my south. 

[Santa Claus]

maybe some trainingish rains building in CNJ though they aren’t exactly on a line

[FPizz]

Finally some heavy rain

[Picard]

0.40" here for the day.  Better than nothing, but well under some of the models.

[winterwx21]

Pouring again. Very pleased. 

[Stormlover74]

1 minute ago, winterwx21 said:

Pouring again. Very pleased. 

Should be here momentarily 

[Brian5671]

Everyone's going to win with this one...several more rounds before it's done.

[MarcmmKU]

We'll need soakers like this once or twice a week for a month or two more to finally kill the on and off 2 year long drought. 

[MANDA]

Heavy downpour in progress from a very small fast moving shower.

Will check the gauge in the morning but probably pushing .35” I’m guessing at this hour.

[Santa Claus]

68 degrees with a dewpoint of about 67.9999

lightning flashing in the cell over union county

[psv88]

1 hour ago, jm1220 said:

Radar says some 2-2.5” amounts just to my south. 

radar estimate is way off. has me at nearly 2". cannot go by that today

[MANDA]

2 minutes ago, Santa Claus said:

68 degrees with a dewpoint of about 67.9999

lightning flashing in the cell over union county

Fog is quite dense here.  About 1/4 mile visibility.

[Santa Claus]

11 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Fog is quite dense here.  About 1/4 mile visibility.

deep moisture, been a minute since one of these climate max PWAT events.