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91 in Brightwaters, which is quite impressive given our proximity to the Atlantic. Hottest day here so far 

note to self: don’t walk 9 miles in this heat. too late 
 

 

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 Mesoscale Discussion 0804
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1252 PM CDT Wed May 20 2026

   Areas affected...portions of the Mid-Atlantic into southern New
   England

   Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely 

   Valid 201752Z - 201845Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

   SUMMARY...Widely scattered thunderstorms will bring a risk for
   damaging wind gusts and isolated large hail through this evening. A
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch will be needed soon.

   DISCUSSION...Latest surface observations indicate that surface
   temperatures have warmed into the low 90s F across portion of the
   Mid-Atlantic. Coupled with mid-60s F dewpoints, this is supporting
   500-1000+ J/kg MLCAPE across the area, with further destabilization
   expected through peak heating this afternoon. Expectation is for
   ongoing thunderstorm activity across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 234
   to expand eastward, with additional development also possible along
   an approaching cold front. 20-30 kts of effective shear will support
   multicells, and perhaps marginal supercells. Steep low-level lapse
   rates (8+ C/km per latest objective analysis) and dewpoint
   depressions of 20-25+ F will promote the potential for damaging wind
   gusts, especially with any more well-organized clusters that
   develop. Isolated large hail may also accompany the most robust
   updrafts. A new Severe Thunderstorm Watch will be needed soon.

   ..Chalmers/Hart.. 05/20/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...

   LAT...LON   40567574 40837554 41157502 41447382 41547334 41607289
               41607231 41517205 41297181 41077177 40877191 40667263
               40517332 40347368 39997393 39627403 39217449 39127488
               39147530 39327557 39787578 40567574 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 235
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   205 PM EDT Wed May 20 2026

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     Southern Connecticut
     Delaware
     Eastern Maryland
     New Jersey
     Southeast New York
     Eastern Pennsylvania
     Coastal Waters

   * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 205 PM
     until 900 PM EDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
     Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

   SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms will develop and track eastward
   across the watch area through the afternoon and evening.  Hot and
   unstable conditions will lead to conditions supportive of damaging
   wind gusts in the strongest storms.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
   statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles northwest of
   Wilmington DE to 25 miles southeast of Groton CT. For a complete
   depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
   tornadoes.

   &&

   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 234...

   AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
   1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
   cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
   27030.

   ...Hart
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5 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

any chance of a tornado this evening?

No mention - just straight line winds where the most severe storms occur - which is yet to be determined BUT at the looks of radar and where the front is now central and south NJ along with Philly look to be most likely IMO

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