80 Degrees to Ripping Snow: March 12th

[Chris78]

15 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Another miss se for the nw crew. Perfect way to end this winter 

Looks about right. 

[ravensrule]

2 hours ago, stormtracker said:

Anafrontal snow with marginal temps are our specialty.  

Have you ever tried it?. 

[BristowWx]

3 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

Looks about right. 

It will be a universal miss.  Not doom casting but precip chasing cold.  We know better.  

[hstorm]

18z 12k NAM says yes:

[hstorm]

3k NAM is less enthused but still gives something to most:

[Ji]

1 minute ago, hstorm said:

3k NAM is less enthused but still gives something to most:

ive never seen the NAM3k enthused about any precip

[LeesburgWx]

I can’t believe this is about to actually happen

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

Am I really looking at snow maps when it’s 86 degrees lol. 

[TSSN+]

Rgem and icon still showing nothing for anyone. Again hilarious to see 18hrs out some models printing out snow while others show nada 

[NorthArlington101]

Just now, TSSN+ said:

Rgem and icon still showing nothing for anyone. Again hilarious to see 18hrs out some models printing out snow while others show nada 

More curious what the even higher rez Canadian says. It was sorta on board last run. 

[wasnow215]

1 minute ago, TSSN+ said:

Rgem and icon still showing nothing for anyone. Again hilarious to see 18hrs out some models printing out snow while others show nada 

I mean if you say that out loud it is the RGEM and Icon lol.  If it was the opposite and the GFS, the euro, and the nam models were showing it and those other two models were,, we wouldn't even have a thread for this.

[paulythegun]

1 hour ago, BristowWx said:

It will be a universal miss.  Not doom casting but precip chasing cold.  We know better.  

It seems like the 3 hour window when snow might be falling is roughly noon to 3pm, which is some bad luck for sure....

[WVclimo]

1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said:

HRRR is in for the entire DMV

That is just the perfect end to a season of suck here.

[paulythegun]

The European Ensemble is very excellent at short term anafront prediction

[CAPE]

16 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Rgem and icon still showing nothing for anyone. Again hilarious to see 18hrs out some models printing out snow while others show nada 

I'm gonna go way out on a limb here lol-there won't be any snow accumulation anywhere along or east of I-95- and likely the same outcome NW. Maybe some snow in the air. There is literally not one single reason to buy the idea of accumulating snow in this situation.

[hstorm]

18z GFS.  Someone who pays money for these things can post a better map:

[hstorm]

Positive snow depth change from the GFS.  Still would be impressive given the circumstances:

[bncho]

1 minute ago, hstorm said:

18z GFS.  Someone who pays money for these things can post a better map:

It's still great.

[high risk]

The forecasted accumulated snow depth maps are the only relevant images for this event.

[hstorm]

2 minutes ago, high risk said:

The forecasted accumulated snow depth maps are the only relevant images for this event.

Hopefully everyone recognizes that . . . but the 10:1 and Kuchera clown maps are a lot more fun.

[Weather Will]

24 minutes ago, high risk said:

The forecasted accumulated snow depth maps are the only relevant images for this event.

WB 18Z GFS snow depth 

[stormtracker]

Might have to go storm mode before 12z tomorrow.  Gonna be a crowd in here. Probably like 5-7 people for the 0z suite.  

[Scraff]

If I don’t see a snownado, did this winter really happen? lol. That said, I’ll be patiently waiting for my Hoco/Moco deathband. Bring that! 

[WEATHER53]

I think for benchmarking that this can work that DcA/BWI need to be down to 50-55 by 1am and 35 at 8am.  40+ after8am won’t get enough evaporational  to make it work 

[SnowGolfBro]

2 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said:

I think for benchmarking that this can work that DcA/BWI need to be down to 50-55 by 1am and 35 at 8am.  40+ after8am won’t get enough evaporational  to make it work 

So we just need to drop about 50 degrees in 14 hours. I’m in

[CAPE]

11 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said:

So we just need to drop about 50 degrees in 14 hours. I’m in

How can this not work out after 2 days of 80+, and precip falling during the day with near mid March sun angle?  Anafrontal miracle?!

[snowfan]

If I'm not clearing snow off severe storm debris, imma be pissed.